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Brad W. Setser on Muck Rack

Brad W. Setser

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Articles

China’s New and “Improved?” BOP Data

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By Brad W. Setser
| The Council on Foreign Relations
China released its “improved” balance of payments data for the first time at the end of the first quarter. It isn’t much of an improvement. If I was an external referee, I would argue that the IMF should ask China to revise and resubmit. In theory, China was going to provide a bit more of a breakdown of its investment income returns.
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China’s Customs-BOP Gap Is Not a Customs Problem

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By Brad W. Setser
| The Council on Foreign Relations
This is a joint blog with Brian Peters, a former risk manager and supervision officer at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. There are two significant reasons why China’s reported current account surplus ($735 billion) is much smaller than its goods surplus ($1.2 trillion), even after accounting for the ~$200 billion services deficit.
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China Is Pulling Up the Ladder Behind It

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By Shoumitro Chatterjee, Arvind Subramanian, Brad W. Setser
| Hoover Institution
China is increasingly embracing the mantle that comes with being a global superpower. Its rise is forcing the rest of the world to assess its credentials as a potential hegemon and a provider of public goods. And in one significant area, its strength may be a real weakness. Many poorer countries fear that China’s economic rise will not leave room for them to industrialize.
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