Brian Bethune
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Articles by Brian Bethune
The Fed is facing these 5 powerful forces now boosting the economy and markets
By Brian Bethune Businesses are managing tariffs, and AI is raising productivity - the Fed will need to be cautious Shipping containers sit at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, Calif. U.S. businesses have largely absorbed the shock from higher import tariffs. The glide path to lower rates in 2026 is not going to be linear. U.S. businesses and the economy will continue to dynamically adjust and forge ahead in 2026.
The Fed is facing these 5 powerful forces now boosting the economy and markets
The glide path to lower rates in 2026 is not going to be linear. U.S. businesses and the economy will continue to dynamically adjust and forge ahead in 2026. The business sector demonstrated remarkable capabilities for dynamic, on-the-fly adjustments last year, setting the stage for a stronger 2026. By the fourth quarter of 2025, businesses generated productivity gains and the economy was seeing solid growth. So 2026 opens under highly constructive conditions for the economy.
The Fed is facing these 5 powerful forces now boosting the economy and markets
By Brian Bethune Businesses are managing tariffs, and AI is raising productivity - the Fed will need to be cautious Shipping containers sit at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, Calif. U.S. businesses have largely absorbed the shock from higher import tariffs. The glide path to lower rates in 2026 is not going to be linear. U.S. businesses and the economy will continue to dynamically adjust and forge ahead in 2026.
Opinion: These 5 economic and market forces can power solid growth for jobs and stocks in 2026
Outside the Box Businesses are managing tariffs, and AI is boosting productivity — improving prospects for the economy, profits and financial markets Published: Jan. 8, 2026 at 8:45 a.m. ET Shipping containers sit at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, Calif. U.S. businesses have largely absorbed the shock from higher import tariffs. Photo: Justin Sullivan/Getty Images U.S. businesses and the economy will continue to dynamically adjust and forge ahead in 2026.
These 5 economic and market forces can power solid growth for jobs and stocks in 2026
By Brian Bethune Businesses are managing tariffs, and AI is boosting productivity - improving prospects for the economy, profits and financial markets Shipping containers sit at the Port of Oakland in Oakland, Calif. U.S. businesses have largely absorbed the shock from higher import tariffs. U.S. businesses and the economy will continue to dynamically adjust and forge ahead in 2026.
getting out of its own way
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The Fed's biggest problem: getting out of its own way
By Brian Bethune U.S. central bank needs to steer real interest rates down to the 2% range The performance of the U.S. economy during the expansion until the first quarter of 2024 was astonishingly positive, either under an absolute basis or on a relative basis compared to other major advanced economics. Real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 2.5% through the first quarter of 2024.
Opinion: Recession isn’t the biggest risk to the economy - it’s the Fed
Outside the Box Opinion: Recession isn’t the biggest risk to the economy — it’s the Fed U.S. central bank needs to steer real interest rates down to the 2% range Published: Aug. 19, 2024 at 7:15 a.m. ET The performance of the U.S. economy during the expansion until the first quarter of 2024 was astonishingly positive, either under an absolute basis or on a relative basis compared to other major advanced economics. Real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 2.5% through the first quarter of 2024.
Recession isn't the biggest risk to the economy - it's the Fed
By Brian Bethune U.S. central bank needs to steer real interest rates down to the 2% range The performance of the U.S. economy during the expansion until the first quarter of 2024 was astonishingly positive, either under an absolute basis or on a relative basis compared to other major advanced economics. Real GDP grew at an average annual rate of 2.5% through the first quarter of 2024.
The novel ‘Eris’ blends thriller, philosophical musing and despair at our onrushing future
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The novel ‘Eris’ blends thriller, philosophical musing and despair at our onrushing future Original
Within “Greenhouse,” the immersive metaverse game at the heart of Larry Gaudet’s “Eris,” players can use credits to replace a violence-ridden Toronto public housing project with an urban farm or support rewilding in Portugal. Or they can hunt down environmentally destructive “Corporatives” and feed their corpses to vultures.
In the rollicking comic novel ‘Kilworthy Tanner,’ a bar band guitarist hopes to become a literary star
Jonno, the ambitious young narrator of Jean Marc Ah-Sen’s rollicking new novel “Kilworthy Tanner” is clearly — albeit superficially, one hopes, for the sake of the actual author’s family and friends — Ah-Sen himself.
In the rollicking comic novel ‘Kilworthy Tanner,’ a bar band guitarist hopes to become a literary star Original
Jonno, the ambitious young narrator of Jean Marc Ah-Sen’s rollicking new novel “Kilworthy Tanner” is clearly — albeit superficially, one hopes, for the sake of the actual author’s family and friends — Ah-Sen himself.
In the rollicking comic novel ‘Kilworthy Tanner,’ a bar band guitarist hopes to become a literary star
Jonno, the ambitious young narrator of Jean Marc Ah-Sen’s rollicking new novel “Kilworthy Tanner” is clearly — albeit superficially, one hopes, for the sake of the actual author’s family and friends — Ah-Sen himself.
Sheila James' 'Outcaste' is an intricate, time-hopping story set against real history
By Brian Bethune Special to the Star The brief opening prologue in Sheila James' compelling novel "Outcaste" unfolds in southern India in 1952, where a young revolutionary lies hidden in a banyan tree, ready to assassinate a new district commander as he drives by. Ready, that is, until Malika recognizes her target, Rayappa.
Massacres in India and the downing of Air India 182: Sheila James’ ‘Outcaste’ is an intricate, time-hopping story set against real history Original
The brief opening prologue in Sheila James’ compelling novel “Outcaste” unfolds in southern India in 1952, where a young revolutionary lies hidden in a banyan tree, ready to assassinate a new district commander as he drives by. Ready, that is, until Malika recognizes her target, Rayappa. Already a Subscriber? Sign in You are logged in Switch accounts Although the setting then abruptly moves to Toronto in 1997, it’s clear soon enough just what Malika decided to do a half-century earlier.
Massacres in India and the downing of Air India 182: Sheila James’ ‘Outcaste’ is an intricate, time-hopping story set against real history
The brief opening prologue in Sheila James’ compelling novel “Outcaste” unfolds in southern India in 1952, where a young revolutionary lies hidden in a banyan tree, ready to assassinate a new district commander as he drives by. Ready, that is, until Malika recognizes her target, Rayappa. Although the setting then abruptly moves to Toronto in 1997, it’s clear soon enough just what Malika decided to do a half-century earlier.
Massacres in India and the downing of Air India 182: Sheila James’ ‘Outcaste’ is an intricate, time-hopping story set against real history
The brief opening prologue in Sheila James’ compelling novel “Outcaste” unfolds in southern India in 1952, where a young revolutionary lies hidden in a banyan tree, ready to assassinate a new district commander as he drives by. Ready, that is, until Malika recognizes her target, Rayappa. Although the setting then abruptly moves to Toronto in 1997, it’s clear soon enough just what Malika decided to do a half-century earlier.
Massacres in India and the downing of Air India 182: Sheila James’ ‘Outcaste’ is an intricate, time-hopping story set against real history
The brief opening prologue in Sheila James’ compelling novel “Outcaste” unfolds in southern India in 1952, where a young revolutionary lies hidden in a banyan tree, ready to assassinate a new district commander as he drives by. Ready, that is, until Malika recognizes her target, Rayappa. Although the setting then abruptly moves to Toronto in 1997, it’s clear soon enough just what Malika decided to do a half-century earlier.
The ebb of Canada’s past — University Affairs
As Western universities began their rise almost a millennium ago, there was no question as to which area of study was the “Queen of Sciences.” And as theology began its slow slide into relative obscurity — not just in the life of the mind but as a crucial stepping stone along the path to a prosperous career — it’s easy to imagine theologians in their common rooms debating the causes, the losses incurred, the villains responsible and possible counter measures.
What's a wonk? - Public Policy Forum
By Brian Bethune The sort of human who knows the minutia of Canadian tariff regulation in the marrow of their bones is a wonk. We can all agree on this. How the name 'wonk' came to be, however, is a somewhat more wonky story. There's been fanciful speculation dating back to the post-war world, as the Age of the Wonk-and its inevitable reaction, Rage Against the Wonk-dawned.
mental illness and 'grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy'
Mike Barnes is a superb writer, with poetry collections shortlisted for major awards, short fiction published in "Best Canadian Stories" and "The Journey Prize Anthology," a memoir and novels to his name. He has a particular gift for simile and metaphor, an element in his craft honed not just by and for his art but by his efforts to understand his own life. Now 68, Barnes has cycled in and out of mental illness for almost half a century.
A book of indescribable beauty and courage: mental illness and ‘grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy’
Mike Barnes is a superb writer, with poetry collections shortlisted for major awards, short fiction published in “Best Canadian Stories” and “The Journey Prize Anthology,” a memoir and novels to his name. He has a particular gift for simile and metaphor, an element in his craft honed not just by and for his art but by his efforts to understand his own life. Now 68, Barnes has cycled in and out of mental illness for almost half a century.
A book of indescribable beauty and courage: mental illness and ‘grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy’
Mike Barnes is a superb writer, with poetry collections shortlisted for major awards, short fiction published in “Best Canadian Stories” and “The Journey Prize Anthology,” a memoir and novels to his name. He has a particular gift for simile and metaphor, an element in his craft honed not just by and for his art but by his efforts to understand his own life. Now 68, Barnes has cycled in and out of mental illness for almost half a century.
A book of indescribable beauty and courage: mental illness and ‘grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy’
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A book of indescribable beauty and courage: mental illness and ‘grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy’
Mike Barnes is a superb writer, with poetry collections shortlisted for major awards, short fiction published in “Best Canadian Stories” and “The Journey Prize Anthology,” a memoir and novels to his name. He has a particular gift for simile and metaphor, an element in his craft honed not just by and for his art but by his efforts to understand his own life. Now 68, Barnes has cycled in and out of mental illness for almost half a century.
A book of indescribable beauty and courage: mental illness and ‘grace even in the worst moments, when terror turns to joy’
Mike Barnes is a superb writer, with poetry collections shortlisted for major awards, short fiction published in “Best Canadian Stories” and “The Journey Prize Anthology,” a memoir and novels to his name. He has a particular gift for simile and metaphor, an element in his craft honed not just by and for his art but by his efforts to understand his own life. Now 68, Barnes has cycled in and out of mental illness for almost half a century.
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