Cameron McMillan
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Articles by Cameron McMillan
Trump’s U.S., Greenland Deal Changes Less Than It Seems
Trump's new deal reaffirms broad basing access already in place. To get it, he damaged trust among America's European allies and created strains in NATO. The damage couldn't have come at a worse time. Read Full Article » Show comments Hide Comments
Trump’s US, Greenland deal changes less than it seems
“A dream come true.” That is how President Donald Trump described an agreement the United States, Denmark and Greenland signed on Sept. 22. He says it will guarantee America’s “permanent control over security” of the Danish territory. In reality, the deal largely restates defense arrangements already in place.
Trump's US, Greenland deal changes less than it seems | Opinion Original
Sept. 29, 2026, 6:06 a.m. ET “A dream come true.” That is how President Donald Trump described an agreement the United States, Denmark and Greenland signed on Sept. 22. He says it will guarantee America’s “permanent control over security” of the Danish territory. In reality, the deal largely restates defense arrangements already in place.
Eyeing Russia and Iran, Berlin and Jerusalem Share Naval Capabilities
Amid acts of Russian sabotage throughout Europe, NATO announced Wednesday that Germany completed a test launch of an Israeli-made ballistic missile in the North Atlantic. The test followed Tuesday’s transfer of a German-made submarine to Israel as the two countries continue increasing their defense ties.
What is the Axis of Aggressors doing in Europe and the Middle East?
China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea are engaged in “unprecedented” cooperation, and that is empowering Russian aggression in Ukraine and making the regime in Iran more lethal and resilient. Axis security cooperation is iterative and flowing in both directions across the bilateral relationships within the Axis, making its militaries more formidable and eroding the margin of safety for Americans and their partners. What is the latest in Ukraine? How are Axis members supporting Putin’s invasion?
Drone Warfare
Introduction Chairman Bruck, Vice Chair Meerman, Vice Chair Mentzer, and distinguished members of the committee, thank you for the opportunity to join today’s hearing. My name is Cameron McMillan. I am a senior research analyst for the Center on Military and Political Power at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies (FDD), a Washington, DC-based, nonpartisan, 501(c)(3) research institute focusing on national security and foreign policy.
How China and Russia keep Iran armed and dangerous
Iran’s extensive list of demands for opening the Strait of Hormuz has many scratching their heads and wondering how to make sense of a frenetic U.S. approach toward a regime in Tehran that is exercising influence. A significant reason for Iran’s resilience, lethality and leverage is the growing support Tehran is receiving from China and Russia.
Two countries are keeping Iran armed and dangerous
Two countries are keeping Iran armed and dangerous (washingtonpost.com) Two countries are keeping Iran armed and dangerous By Bradley Bowman; Cameron McMillan 2026081810010300 Iran's extensive list of demands for opening the Strait of Hormuz has many scratching their heads and wondering how to make sense of a frenetic U.S. approach toward a regime in Tehran that is exercising influence.
Axis of Aggressors Military Cooperation Is Worse Than You Think
The United States now confronts one of the most dangerous geostrategic environments since 1945, in no small part because of the emergence of a new Axis of Aggressors consisting of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Their cooperation is making each of these adversaries more capable and increasing the chances that the United States may find itself fighting simultaneous major wars for which Washington is not prepared. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen.
Axis of Aggressors
The United States now confronts one of the most dangerous geostrategic environments since 1945, in no small part because of the emergence of a new Axis of Aggressors consisting of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Read Full Article »
Axis of Aggressors Military Cooperation Is Worse Than You Think
The United States now confronts one of the most dangerous geostrategic environments since 1945, in no small part because of the emergence of a new Axis of Aggressors consisting of China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea. Their cooperation is making each of these adversaries more capable and increasing the chances that the United States may find itself fighting simultaneous major wars for which Washington is not prepared. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen.
What is Iran’s breaking point? Part 2
In part two of their conversation, Generation Jihad’s Bill Roggio, FDD CMPP Senior Director Bradley Bowman, and FDD Senior Analyst Cameron McMillan ask a tough question following months of kinetic warfare with Iran: What’s the Pentagon’s readiness for the next battle? The US currently falls dangerously short on munitions supply, a modernized naval fleet, and the manpower to fight in multiple theaters.
What is Iran’s breaking point?
The US says it’s degrading Iran’s threat, but as the renewed air campaign approaches the two-week mark, the math still doesn’t check out. In Part 1 of this conversation, Generation Jihad’s Bill Roggio joins FDD CMPP Senior Director Bradley Bowman and Senior Analyst Cameron McMillan to discuss the real gap between degrading Iran’s missile, drone, and naval capabilities and actually eliminating them, and why murky end goals could lead to a long-term, inconclusive standoff.
Hope isn’t strategy
July 21, 2026 | The World and Everything in it
No easy Iran answers, but not control of the Strait of Hormuz
No easy Iran answers, but not control of the Strait of Hormuz
Russia, Hamas, and China: Three Reasons Turkey Shouldn’t Get the F-35
After President Donald Trump said he would make Turkey's leader "very happy," analysts from the Foundation for Defense of Democracies warn in this op-ed that including Ankara in the F-35 program is still the wrong move Read Full Article » Show comments Hide Comments
Don’t Decimate U.S. Military Posture in Europe
As NATO leaders gather in Ankara next week, there is much to celebrate. Ukraine is gaining the upper hand on the battlefield against Russia. European defense spending is way up. Many European allies are stepping forward to carry more of the security burden on the continent. These are major, positive developments. Despite this good news, transatlantic ties have been strained in the past year.
NATO Summit: Alliances under Strain
About As NATO members head to Ankara, the Alliance is under strain — clashing over defense spending levels, the Russo-Ukrainian and US-Iran wars, and the shrinking U.S. military footprint in Europe. Trump comes to the table with real leverage, but both Europe and America have real grievances, and the outcome may hinge on which one drives his approach.
Previewing the NATO Summit in Ankara
JOE DOUGHERTY: Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for today’s media call as FDD experts preview next week’s NATO Summit in Ankara. My name is Joe Dougherty. I’m Senior Director of Communications here at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. We’ve got a lot to go over today, so we’re going to get right to it. We’ve got three tremendous experts today to preview the upcoming summit.
Russia, Hamas, and China: Three reasons Turkey shouldn’t get the F-35
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan appears eager to impress Washington and Brussels at the upcoming NATO summit in Turkey, with Ankara undertaking robust preparations and Turkish officials trumpeting Erdogan’s personal ties with President Donald Trump. Erdogan, no doubt, has many goals heading into the summit, including strengthening Turkey’s defense industrial base and championing its growing arms exports. Erdogan would also like to see Turkey readmitted to the F-35 fighter jet program.
Canceled Poland Deployment Further Weakens American Deterrence in Europe
In a move that will likely send shockwaves across Europe, the Pentagon reportedly halted the scheduled deployment of a roughly 4,000-strong U.S. Army armored brigade to Poland on Wednesday. The news follows the Trump administration’s decision earlier this month to withdraw approximately 5,000 American troops from Germany amid a spat between President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz over the war with Iran.
This Is No Way To Treat Our European Allies
The Trump administration is fond of reminding allies that NATO is a two-way street. But at present, Washington seems to need that message most. Earlier this month, amid a feud between President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Washington announced it will withdraw roughly 5,000 troops from Germany over the next six to 12 months.
This Is No Way To Treat Our European Allies
This Is No Way To Treat Our European Allies The Trump administration is fond of reminding allies that NATO is a two-way street. But at present, Washington seems to need that message most Read Full Article »
This Is No Way To Treat Our European Allies
The Trump administration is fond of reminding allies that NATO is a two-way street. But at present, Washington seems to need that message most. Earlier this month, amid a feud between President Donald Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz, Washington announced it will withdraw roughly 5,000 troops from Germany over the next six to 12 months.
Trump Administration Requests Extraordinary $1.5 Trillion Defense Budget
After years of bipartisan failures to devote sufficient resources to defense, the Trump administration requested an extraordinary 44 percent increase in defense spending in its roughly $1.5 trillion Fiscal Year (FY) 2027 defense budget proposal on Tuesday. That topline number is split between $1.1 trillion in base defense discretionary budget authority and an additional $350 billion that would require passage of a separate mandatory so-called “reconciliation” bill.
8 Things To Know About Marine Expeditionary Units
Two U.S. Marine Expeditionary Units (MEUs) are poised to play a role in the Middle East as a tenuous ceasefire takes hold between the United States and Iran. The 31st MEU, based in Okinawa, Japan, arrived in the Middle East on March 28, while the 11th MEU is steaming toward the region after deploying in late March from San Diego, California.
How to assess America’s 40 days of war against Iran
Washington and Tehran are both arguing that they were victorious after 40 days of fighting. A detailed analysis, however, suggests a more nuanced picture in which American forces degraded Iran’s core military capabilities but failed to fully achieve some of the operation’s stated objectives. With negotiations in Islamabad potentially imminent, it remains unclear whether the United States will translate operational gains into durable strategic and political outcomes that advance American interests.
Generation Jihad | Risky Raid Behind Enemy Lines
By Cameron McMillan & Bill Roggio | April 8, 2026 | Bill Roggio and FDD Senior Analyst Cameron McMillan unravel the complex rescue of two US airmen shot down over Iran, including the strategic coordination and risks involved with the operation, plus the current state of the Iranian ballistic missile program and Tehran’s strategic adaptability amidst the dynamic conditions of this war.
Generation Jihad | The Kharg Island Trap
Kharg Island looks like the perfect target — take it, and you choke off Iran’s oil. But it’s not that simple. Bill Roggio is joined by FDD’s Ryan Brobst and Cameron McMillan to discuss why seizing Kharg could hand Tehran exactly what it wants: a wider war, a vulnerable US position, and a fight on the regime’s terms.
Why seizing Iran’s Kharg Island could be a trap of America’s own making
The battle for the Persian Gulf could be entering a new phase as thousands of US Marines are reportedly due to arrive in the Middle East on Friday, the same day that President Donald Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz expires. The Marines’ arrival follows reports that Trump has potentially set his sights on seizing Iran’s Kharg Island, Iran’s vital oil export hub, in hopes of securing a quick opening of the strait and a decisive end to the conflict.
Analysis: Why seizing Iran’s Kharg Island could be a trap of America’s own making
A US Navy Landing Craft, Air Cushion (LCAC) “leaves the well deck of amphibious transport dock USS Portland (LPD 27), transporting Marines and equipment with the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU)” during a training exercise on March 22, 2021.
Tag Archives: Strait of Hormuz
A US effort to seize Kharg Island, the Islamic Republic’s critical economic hub, would be a high-risk operation that would likely entail significant costs for little gain. Kharg is much more likely to become a liability than an asset, drawing the Trump administration closer to the war of attrition it is trying to avoid. Bill Roggio sits down with shipping expert Sal Mercogliano to break down Tehran’s latest act of war: turning the world’s most critical shipping chokepoint into leverage.
Tag Archives: Kharg Island
A US effort to seize Kharg Island, the Islamic Republic’s critical economic hub, would be a high-risk operation that would likely entail significant costs for little gain. Kharg is much more likely to become a liability than an asset, drawing the Trump administration closer to the war of attrition it is trying to avoid.
Operational gains against Iran continue, but threats to US forces persist
The United States, along with its Israeli partners, continues to make considerable progress toward its military objectives of removing Iran’s primary military means to threaten the region in the third week of Operation Epic Fury. Despite these operational successes, however, Tehran and its proxies retain the ability to attack US forces.
Analysis: Operational gains against Iran continue, but threats to US forces persist
“A sailor signals the launch of an F/A-18E Super Hornet aircraft on the flight deck of the USS Gerald R. Ford during Operation Epic Fury [on] March 15, 2026.” (US Department of War) The United States, along with its Israeli partners, continues to make considerable progress toward its military objectives of removing Iran’s primary military means to threaten the region in the third week of Operation Epic Fury.
Black Caps v India live updates: T20 World Cup final
4 players in India’s T20 World Cup 2026 squad who played the 2023 ODI World Cup semifinal vs New Zealand Team India are all set to take on New Zealand in the T20 World Cup 2026 final at the Narendra Modi Stadium in Ahmedabad. The Men in Blue booked their …
Why Iran’s ballistic missile launches are declining
Since the United States and Israel initiated large-scale combat operations against Iran on February 28, Tehran has lashed out at its neighbors with hundreds of missiles and drones. Despite the scale of the initial attacks and the damage they have done to Americans, Israelis, and Arabs, the daily rate of Iranian ballistic missile attacks is decreasing over time.
US and Israel race to defeat Iranian missiles and drones following early campaign successes
The United States and Israel launched an ambitious, large-scale war against the Islamic Republic of Iran on February 28, and US officials have communicated several goals for the campaign.
On Europe, the Trump administration is out of step with Congress, Americans
The Trump administration sent shockwaves across the Atlantic last week with its new National Security Strategy.
On Europe, the Trump administration is out of step with Congress, Americans
Insights & Reports The Trump administration sent shockwaves across the Atlantic last week with its new National Security Strategy.
12/15/25 National Security News and Commentary
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Quotes of the Day: “What a monument of human smallness is this idea of the philosopher king. What a contrast between it and the simplicity of humaneness of Socrates, who warned the statesmen against the danger of being dazzled by his own power, excellence, and wisdom, and who tried to teach him what matters most — that we are all frail human beings.” – Karl R. Popper, The Open Society and Its Enemies "When listening to politicians, distinguish certain words.
By Laurence Norman Verified, Tom Fairless Verified, Sadie Gurman Verified, Cameron McMillan Verified
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Eyeing Russia, Germany Fields First Israeli Arrow 3 Missile Defense System
The renewed Russian threat to Europe led Germany to field its first Israeli Arrow 3 ballistic missile defense system on Wednesday. Europe is working to improve its air and missile defenses in the face of an increasingly aggressive Russia and as Israel aims to bolster its defense ties with Europe.
Ford Carrier Strike Group transitions to SOUTHCOM and Venezuela
October 29, 2025 | The John Batchelor Show Ford Carrier Strike Group transitions to SOUTHCOM and Venezuela
Ford Carrier Strike Group Departs Europe for Latin America
The Trump administration is dramatically increasing U.S. military firepower in Latin America. As the administration continued to strike vessels belonging to alleged narco-traffickers while escalating pressure on the regime of Nicolas Maduro in Venezuela, the Pentagon directed the Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group (CSG) on Friday to depart the Mediterranean and sail to the U.S. Southern Command (SOUTHCOM) area of responsibility.
Iranian Assistance Enables Russian Drone Incursions Into Poland and Romania
Russian drones are increasingly threatening NATO, and Iranian support has helped make recent violations of NATO airspace possible. Poland reported increased drone activity near its border this week, as the Russian-led “Zapad” military drills in Belarus concluded. This comes after Russian drones, some of them built with Iranian assistance, violated Polish and Romanian airspace earlier this month.
U.S. and Partners Conclude Month of Military Exercises in the Pacific While Eyeing China
The Department of Defense concluded large-scale military exercises in the Indo-Pacific on August 8 that honed skills critical to thwarting potential Chinese aggression. REFORPAC 2025 focused on demonstrating and improving the U.S. military’s ability to surge aircraft throughout the theatre and operate alongside allies and partners like Japan. U.S. forces also participated in Talisman Sabre in Australia, which brought together troops from 19 nations in a series of air, naval, and land exercises.
Can the U.S. Arm Itself and Ukraine?
Donald Trump announced on Monday that the United States will continue arming Ukraine through a deal with NATO, whereby European allies will pay for American-made weapons to be delivered to Kyiv. That pivots from the Pentagon’s decision to pause critical munitions deliveries, driven by claims that dwindling U.S. weapons stockpiles could not be spared for Kyiv and would endanger U.S. readiness to counter China.
‘Only Encourage the Aggressor’: Trump Administration Pauses Critical Weapons Shipments to Ukraine
The Trump administration announced July 1 that it would pause the delivery of needed munitions to Ukraine as the beleaguered democracy continues to defend itself against Russian aggression. The White House justified the decision by citing concerns regarding the size of U.S. stockpiles of certain air defense and precision munitions Ukraine needs, since the U.S. military may need them for a future conflict in the Indo-Pacific.
U.S. Military Surges Combat Power to the Middle East
The Pentagon is surging additional combat power to the Middle East and Europe as the ongoing Israel-Iran conflict shows no signs of cooling down. The USS Nimitz Carrier Strike Group (CSG) is reportedly heading from East Asia to the Middle East. A large fleet of U.S. Air Force air-to-air refueling aircraft also reportedly flew across the Atlantic to Europe on June 15, where they could be used to support operations in the Middle East.
U.S. Forces in the Middle East: Under Attack and Defending Israel
U.S. forces are under attack in the Middle East. U.S. officials stated on June 14 that three drones had been launched at Al-Asad Air Base in western Iraq, where U.S. troops are stationed. The drones were almost certainly fired by Iranian-backed proxies and were intercepted before hitting their targets.
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