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Projections of the probability of the “Elfsteden” ice skating tour under future climate scenarios using lake models

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By Richard Bintanja, Guus Velders, Erik van Meijgaard, David Verbruggen, Cisco de Bruijn
| Nature Verified
Abstract The Elfstedentocht is a culturally significant long distance ice skating tour held in Friesland, the Netherlands. The frequency of the tour has been declining over the last century due to increasingly mild winters. This study investigates the probability of an “Elfsteden” ice skating tour under different future IPCC climate scenarios: SSP1-2.6 (low emissions), SSP2-4.5 (intermediate emissions) and SSP5-8.5 (high emissions).
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