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Articles by Dan Altman
Knobbe Martens Partners Named Among Global IP Leaders in IAM Strategy 300 Guide
IRVINE, Calif., August 14, 2026 – Knobbe Martens is proud to share that eight of the firm’s partners were recognized in the 2026 edition of IAM Strategy 300: The World’s Leading IP Strategists.
Why I Support FRAC: Q&A With Economist and Bestselling Author, Daniel Altman
Published February 10, 2026 Q. Why is ending hunger in America important to you A. We’re a nation with enough resources to feed everyone. Hunger has been our choice, and I thinkit’s the wrong choice for both moral and economic reasons. Hunger among children is particularly cruel, since there’s nothing they can do about the circumstances into which they were born. As a society, we can choose to give every child a healthy start in life. Q.
Rewind and Reconnoiter: What the History of Modern Conquest Tells Us About China and India’s Border Crisis with Dan Altman
In 2020, Dan Altman wrote “What History of Modern Conquest Tells Us About China and India’s Border Crisis,” which explores the relationship between territorial conquests, war, and the ongoing border conflict between China and India. Four years later, we invited him back to discuss how the conflict has developed and how it applies to other ongoing conflicts. Read more below.
How to Convince Putin He Will Lose
Two ideas dominate discussions about how to bring the war in Ukraine closer to an end: the West should either pressure Ukraine to make concessions to Russia or support Ukraine’s efforts to win on the battlefield. Both approaches rightly recognize that negotiations will remain futile until changing circumstances compel one side to accept peace terms that it rejects today. Nonetheless, neither approach is likely to end the war.
How to Convince Putin He Will Lose
Two ideas dominate discussions about how to bring the war in Ukraine closer to an end: the West should either pressure Ukraine to make concessions to Russia or support Ukraine’s efforts to win on the battlefield. Both approaches rightly recognize that negotiations will remain futile until changing circumstances compel one side to accept peace terms that it rejects today. Nonetheless, neither approach is likely to end the war.
6/12/14 National Security News and Commentary
Quotes of the Day: “Anti-intellectualism has been a constant thread winding its way through our political and cultural life, nurtured by the false notion that democracy means that ‘my ignorance is just as good as your knowledge.’” – Isaac Asimov “I define manhood simply; men should be tough, fair, and courageous, never petty, never looking for a fight, but never backing down from one.” – John Wayne “Compulsive liars shouldn't frighten you. They can harm no one if no one listens to them.
NPEs in the new UPC patent landscape
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smarterscout
"The best available product on the market" – Premier League club Head of Recruitment Evaluate the performance of football players from around the world. Assess their contributions to winning, playing style, and skill levels. NOTE: Some leagues will not update while we switch to a new data provider. Data will be backfilled in July for complete coverage.
The uncertain and ever-changing disclosure requirements for pharma and biotech patents
The uncertain and ever-changing disclosure requirements for pharma and biotech patents Register for limited access Register to receive our newsletter and gain limited access to subscriber content. Register now Subscribe to unlock unlimited access Get news, unique commentary, expert analysis and essential resources from the IAM experts. Subscribe now Already have access?
Prepare for Changes to Patent Procurement and Enforcement in Europe | Firm Alert
Unitary Patent and Unified Patent Court The long-awaited Unitary Patent and Unified Patent Court in Europe are now expected to come into existence on June 1, 2023. These related developments are described below.
The West Worries Too Much About Escalation in Ukraine
Dan Altman Foreign Affairs Magazine July 19, 2022 NATO can do more without provoking Moscow. Read Full Article »
The West Worries Too Much About Escalation in Ukraine
As the world looks on while Ukrainians fight for their lives and their freedom, many feel a burning desire to do more to support them. The problem is not a lack of forces or resources—it is fear of provoking a wider, perhaps nuclear, war with Russia. That fear is why U.S. President Joe Biden and other NATO leaders have consistently made clear that they will not intervene directly in the conflict, instead limiting their help to weapons, money, intelligence, and sanctions.
7/19/22 National Security News and Commentary
Informal Institute for National Security Thinkers and Practitioners Quotes of the Day: 1. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JULY 18 (Putin's War) 2. Amid flow of weapons to Ukraine, DefMin says black market smuggling is 'artificial' concern 3. Sabotage and War in Cyberspace 4. The West Worries Too Much About Escalation in Ukraine 5. The Quad needs a futures focus 6. Russia’s War Has Created Opportunities for Biden to Go Big 7. Senate Armed Services releases full $847 billion defense bill 8.
The Evolution of Territorial Conquest After 1945 and the Limits of the Territorial Integrity Norm
References Altman, Dan. 2017. By Fait Accompli, Not Coercion: How States Wrest Territory from Their Adversaries. International Studies Quarterly 61 (4):881–91.CrossRefGoogle Scholar Altman, Dan. 2018. Advancing Without Attacking: The Strategic Game Around the Use of Force. Security Studies 27 (1):58–88.CrossRefGoogle Scholar Altman, Dan, and Lee, Melissa M.. 2019. The Causes of Modern Conquest. Paper presented at the 115th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association.
When Redlines Fail
Dan Altman & Kathleen Powers Foreign Affairs February 3, 2022 With Russia massing troops on its border with Ukraine and apparently readying for an invasion, U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration has faced persistent questions about its redlines in that conflict. Senior U.S. officials have avoided spelling out exactly how much Russian aggression is too much, but they have stated clearly that a military invasion would trigger “massive” economic consequences for Moscow. Read Full Article »
When Redlines Fail
With Russia massing troops on its border with Ukraine and apparently readying for an invasion, U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration has faced persistent questions about its redlines in that conflict. Senior U.S. officials have avoided spelling out exactly how much Russian aggression is too much, but they have stated clearly that a military invasion would trigger “massive” economic consequences for Moscow.
When and Where to File Patent Applications | JD Supra
Attorneys Dan Altman and Vlad Teplitskiy authored, "When and Where to File Patent Applications," which was published on the Maple Business Council website. Excerpt: "In general, a patent is only valid in the country (or, in some cases, countries) where the patent office that issued it has responsibility.
Red lines: Enforcement, declaration, and ambiguity in the Cuban Missile Crisis
ABSTRACT Using declassified materials to examine the eleven red lines of the Cuban Missile Crisis, this study qualifies and amends two popular beliefs about them: failing to punish violations damages credibility and deterrence requires declaring unambiguous red lines. I argue, first, that violations of red lines create fleeting ‘windows of credibility’ wherein violators fear retaliation.
The Future of Conquest
The relationship between conquest and conflict may seem straightforward: start a war, prevail on the battlefield, take control of desired territory. Yet more and more, this is not how states take each other’s land. Instead, they use a different strategy: seize a small piece of territory quickly and with minimal bloodshed, then try to avoid war. Today, conquest looks like what Russia did in Crimea and what China could do once again in the South China Sea.
How we spot smarterscout young prospects
By Dan Altman, creator of smarterscout Identifying the most promising young players is a critical part of a club's long-term recruitment strategy. Whether a club wants to increase its revenues by trading players or save on transfer fees by developing its own stars, young players are the key. But sending scouts to see thousands of debutantes around the world is hardly practical. Can data help? I think the answer is yes. But it's not as straightforward as looking at a few metrics.
Will Russian Behavior Toward the US/West 'Improve' When Putin Is Gone?
For many years, political scientists and other experts on Russia—from the United States, Europe and Russia itself—have disagreed on the prospects for Russia's policies toward the United States, and the West more broadly, after Vladimir Putin is no longer president.
Partnering with the NSF on a research institute for AI to improve care for older adults
Jul 29, 2021 time min read L Leslie Yeh Director, University Relations D Dan Altman Senior Public Policy Analyst, Emerging Technologies From the early days of the internet to the development of the Human Genome Project, U.S. government-funded R&D has yielded remarkable progress for society, and today it is an important engine for AI research.
Is player ownership of economic rights the next big thing?
By Dan Altman, creator of smarterscout.com It's been 14 years since a couple of heavily hyped Argentines named Carlos Tevez and Javier Mascherano found themselves leaving Corinthians to sign for West Ham... and very soon afterward for Manchester United, Manchester City, and Liverpool.
What the History of Modern Conquest Tells Us about China and India’s Border Crisis
China and India have come closer to war over the last two months than they have in decades. In May, Chinese troops advanced to seize and fortify positions at multiple points along the disputed border in Ladakh, including Pangong Lake and the Galwan River Valley, marking a serious escalation. The two nations fought the 1962 Sino-Indian War in part over the areas at issue today. Clashes between patrols have been a regular occurrence before and since.
The Evolution of Territorial Conquest After 1945 and the Limits of the Territorial Integrity Norm
Altman, Dan. 2017. By Fait Accompli, Not Coercion: How States Wrest Territory from Their Adversaries. International Studies Quarterly 61 (4):881–91. Altman, Dan. 2018. Advancing Without Attacking: The Strategic Game Around the Use of Force. Security Studies 27 (1):58–88. Altman, Dan, and Lee, Melissa M.. 2019. The Causes of Modern Conquest. Paper presented at the 115th Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association. September, Washington, DC. Atzili, Boaz. 2012.
Intellectual Property Protection Strategies for Successful Business in the US and Canada | JD Supra
Updated: May 25, 2018: JD Supra is a legal publishing service that connects experts and their content with broader audiences of professionals, journalists and associations.
Intellectual Property Protection Strategies for Successful Business in the US and Canada | Lexology
Introduction Imagine that you are a founder of a revolutionary technology startup in Canada. Your company is about to release its blockbuster product that will disrupt the entire industry and catapult your company to fame and fortune. Your product is the result of years of research and development, and backbreaking work. Your product has cutting-edge technical features, a catchy name, and a sleek instruction manual. You have protected the product with Canadian patents and trademarks.
Real Madrid should not buy Eden Hazard from Chelsea
Photo: Aleksandr Osipov I come to bury Eden Hazard, and to praise him. The player whose effortless runs once terrorized Premier League rightbacks is no more. Could he ever come back? Once in a while I scan NYA’s player ratings across different leagues to see if anything unusual is going on. I have a rating for skill in ground duels in possession, and the player I’ve tended to use as a benchmark for this rating is none other than Hazard.
Marcelo Bielsa, let me save your staff some time
Photo: Alejandro Vásquez Núñez Pretty much everyone in the soccer/football world has heard by now that Marcelo Bielsa sent staff to spy on the training sessions of all of Leeds United’s opponents, that he admitted as much in a press conference, and that he then unveiled a substantial amount of his opposition analysis on Derby County. He also revealed that as many as 20 other people work on opposition analysis at Leeds United, and they spent 360 hours analyzing old Derby matches.
Introducing xGAR: expected goals above replacement
By Dan Altman, creator of smarterscout Though it's not always obvious, many of the metrics we use today in football analytics have been borrowed from other sports. Basketball analysts like Kirk Goldsberry were among the first to gauge the changing value of possessions based on the likelihood of scoring. Our strategy for duel-based skill ratings descends from Arpad Elo's work in chess. The basis for our shooting and saving ratings owes much to ice hockey analysts. And then, there's baseball.
A tribute to Sigi Schmid
Photo: Seattle Sounders FC Last week the soccer world lost Sigi Schmid, the German-American coach who did so much to enhance Major League Soccer and the sport in general across the United States. I’m not a great historian, so I won’t dwell on Schmid’s less measurable contributions. I want to pay tribute to his acumen in ways I can quantify.
Stop sacking managers
Sacking managers is expensive – just ask the folks over at Manchester United, who have reportedly paid at least £12 million to be rid of José Mourinho. Now that the dust has cleared a bit, I want to make a somewhat unpopular point: sacking Mourinho was a mistake. Here’s why. Hiring a top manager in soccer is never easy for a big club. Once the executives think they know the person they want, they lose all their bargaining power.
North Yard Analytics
As Pep Guardiola has just informed us, this weekend Manchester City will play one more time without their talismanic striker Sergio Agüero. As an Independiente fan, I’ve followed Agüero’s career since he was a teenager playing alongside the likes of Gabriel Milito and Daniel Montenegro. He’s 30 years old now and has never been the most durable player, so the question for Manchester City is inevitably how to replace him. Even for a star of his quality, it’s a much harder task than you might expect.
Does soccer analytics work?
(Alternate title: “Do football analytics work?”) This is a question that I like to ask – I don’t find it insulting, dismissive, or silly. To answer it, first we have to define analytics, and then we can talk about whether it might be any good. So let’s start with the basics.
Book Sheryl WuDunn for Speaking, Events and Appearances
Sheryl WuDunn, the first Asian-American reporter to win a Pulitzer Prize, is a business executive and best-selling author. Currently, she works at a small banking boutique helping growth companies, including those operating in the emerging markets. She raises capital for a variety of clients: men and women entrepreneurs in new media, media technology and social enterprise. She also co-founded FullSky Capital, a social enterprise advisory firm, and advises several growth companies.
Latest Developments in European Patent Law: How to Apply Them in Both the United States and Europe
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How to Sell Arms to Taiwan - Harvard - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
The U.S. can sell arms to Taiwan, but it should adopt salami tactics to avoid alarming China. Imagine that in 2020, China learns that the United States will soon deliver an unusually large and comprehensive arms package to Taiwan. Determined to continue growing its military advantage — and therefore its leverage — vis-?-vis Taiwan, China declares a red line against the delivery, threatening severe consequences if the United States proceeds. That announcement ignites a standoff in the Taiwan Strait.
Land Grabs and the Evolution of Territorial Conquest - Harvard - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
Jutting out in the middle of the East China Sea, Uotsuri is the largest island of five in the Senkaku/Diaoyu chain, October 2, 2012. Add to Outlook | Add to Google Calendar | Add to Yahoo Calendar Territorial conquest once went hand in hand with warfare, but no longer. In aggregate, conquest has declined dramatically. Yet, as Russia's 2014 annexation of Crimea evinces, a particular form of conquest—land grabs seizing only a limited part of another state's territory—continues to occur.
"Modern Conquest"
Support rally for Euromaidan and against occupation of Crimea by the Russian army in Prague, Czech Republic.
Diversity in analytics
For the past several months, I’ve been thinking hard about how to correct the diversity deficit in English-speaking soccer analytics. This is overwhelmingly a white male field, and – to my eye at least – poorer for it. Can a white man do anything to improve matters? There is some irony to this problem, as diversity in disciplines is actually one of the great assets of soccer analytics.
Has choosing quality over quantity helped Leicester City?
This week I posed a simple question to the students in the “Sports Analytics in Practice” course that I teach at New York University’s Stern School of Business with Philip Maymin: “Would you rather have two 50% chances to score, or five 20% chances?” It’s a question that teams in the English Premier League and other competitions might want to ask themselves, too, especially in light of Leicester City’s performance this season. If the question was simple, the answer was not.
The Long History of "Green Men" Tactics
In both Crimea and the subsequent fighting in the Donbas region of Ukraine, Russia’s signature tactic has been the use of so-called “Green Men,” soldiers without identifying insignia whose identity as Russian soldiers the Kremlin denied. Ukraine, Georgia, and even NATO members like Estonia now fear that they could be the next target for Russia’s Green Men. NATO, alarmed by the need to prepare for this unexpected tactic, has committed to develop new countermeasures to defend against this threat.
Beyond shots: OptaPro Forum 2015
Today I had the pleasure of presenting at the OptaPro Forum in London alongside some of my favorite analysts, including Simon Gleave and Garry Gelade, and in front of many others: Paul Riley, Mark Taylor, Colin Trainor, Michael Cox, and Omar Chaudhuri, to name just a few. I spoke about creating metrics for players and teams using expected goals – but without basing the models on shots.
What are sports analytics really about?
This week I’ll be speaking at the 10th annual Sloan Sports Analytics Conference along with dozens of professionals from baseball, ice hockey, basketball, and more. It’s a chance to reflect on what this industry is for and also why it has been so controversial. Let me start with the sport where, at least in the public eye, it all began. I’ve been a baseball fan for most of my life.
What would happen if ticket prices fell?
Liverpool Football Club is in the midst of a backlash among fans against planned increases in ticket prices. As an economist, I’ve watched the debate and seen similar arguments to ones from other markets. I’d like to offer a bit of insight into what might happen if ticket prices fell rather than rose. Right now, clubs in the Premier League have no trouble selling most of their tickets. If ticket prices were to fall, then everyone who currently buys a ticket would probably still want one.
The ten traits of ideal soccer metrics
Soccer analytics is still in its infancy. I say that because it lacks a central metric – a way of measuring player performance that is widely accepted by the analytics community, club directors, coaches, players, and fans alike. Yet every day, soccer wonks from around the world come a little bit closer to devising such a metric. Here are some of the traits I think it should have: 1. Accessible.
A new take on soccer analytics
Soccer analytics has come a long way in the past several years. The big teams have hired dozens of number-crunching tyros to sift through data, and academics have started to take an interest as well; not one but two excellent books have charted their progress. The problem, to my eyes, is that lots of people are still doing soccer analytics wrong. Here are some reasons why: 1. Soccer is a team game.
Finding the weak link
Even the best teams have a weak link. In “The Numbers Game”, Chris Anderson and David Sally suggest that a soccer team is only as good as its worst player. I’m not quite ready to sign on to their “O-ring” theory yet, but I do have a tool for finding the players who drag down their teams or simply don’t fit. Shapley values are a sort of sophisticated plus-minus or with-or-without-you metric.
How much has the Premier League changed?
Last week I contributed some charts and data to an article by The Economist’s James Tozer on the current season of the English Premier League. I thought I’d expand on a few of the things he covered. On the general point of the league being a bit wacky, I think several forces are at work. There’s a wide variety of coaching philosophies on show, and clubs are at different stages in their recruitment and performance cycles.
Sam Allardyce knows what he’s doing, Part XVI
One of the hallmarks of good coaching is knowing how to manage a game. Maybe it’s because I grew up in the United States, but I pay special attention to what coaches do at the end of games. In baseball, basketball, and American football, coaches try to control every aspect of the closing stages of a game by stopping play, making substitutions, and using any other trick to either prolong or bring a rapid end to the contest. So how much do soccer coaches do this?
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