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As seen in: Wiley Online Library
Lead Economist at Oxford Economics Ltd. All views my own.
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Articles

World Economic Prospects Monthly | Global

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By Ben May, Daniel Harenberg, Michael Pearce
| Wiley Online Library Verified
US and Chinese strength won't boost all other economies ▀ Upward revisions to US and Chinese GDP growth in Q4 meant that the previously anticipated soft end to 2025 failed to materialise. While we now project activity will rebound by less than we previously expected in early 2026, world GDP growth this year has been mechanically nudged up by 0.1ppt to 3%, in line with last year's gain. ▀ The US government shutdown dragged on growth late last year.
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Feature Article: Tariff uncertainty weighs on fixed investment

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By Daniel Harenberg
| Wiley Online Library Verified
Please review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article. I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of Use Use the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.
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Feature Article: Why the neutral interest rate will stay structurally low

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By Daniel Harenberg
| Wiley Online Library Verified
Please review our Terms and Conditions of Use and check box below to share full-text version of article. I have read and accept the Wiley Online Library Terms and Conditions of Use Use the link below to share a full-text version of this article with your friends and colleagues. Learn more.
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