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Articles by Daniel Steedman
Remembering President Jimmy Carter - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Jimmy Carter, a Democrat, was the 39th president of the United States. His period in office is bookended by the political carnage of mid 1970s America, left by the earlier Richard Nixon and Gerald Ford presidencies, and the Hollywood style of Ronald Reagan from 1981. Carter’s term is largely overlooked and often derided, yet he had some important success. Carter won the November 1976 election and took office in January 1977.
A New Era for France or More Hurdles? - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Two weeks until Paris hosts the Olympic Games, the French have spoken. In the highest voter turnout since 1997, and after three weeks of horse trading and politicking, the results of President Emmanuel Macron’s call for parliamentary elections are in. The leftist alliance, the New Popular Front (NPF), has come out on top with 182 seats but far less than the 289 needed to form a majority out of the 577 seats in the National Assembly. Macron’s Ensemble will finish in second with 168.
Macron’s Election Call: More at Stake Than French Politics - Australian Institute of International Affairs
The recent elections for the European Parliament have shown the ultra-conservative movement is in the ascendant and its most strident impact has been in France. Tough times are ahead for President Emmanuel Macron, particularly if the gamble of the election fails to pay off. President Emmanuel Macron’s announcement to dissolve the National Assembly, as he is entitled to do under the French Constitution, is characteristic of his unconventional place in French politics.
Biden’s moment to decide on nukes is coming
Melbourne, Mar 17 (360info) US foreign policy will change in wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Whether Biden departs from his predecessors on nuclear weapons policy remains to be seen. The nuclear threats that came with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have presented US President Joe Biden his biggest foreign policy test since entering office.
The Fragile Foreign Policy of Donald Trump - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Just days into the Trump presidency’s fourth year, the United States (US) teetered on the brink of war with Iran, in no small part due to the fragile state of mind and foreign policy of Donald Trump. It’s been said that the president’s foreign policymaking is incoherent, or even irrational, but is this really the case? In June 2016, Northwestern University psychology professor Dan P.
Reading Room: Our Time Has Come - AIIA
Alyssa Ayres’ Our Time Has Come: How India is Making its Place in the World is an ambitious, evidence-packed and tightly argued celebration of India’s economic and political rise. Ayres clearly has great affection for India and her book is aimed at making US policymakers give India credit for its considerable achievements. This is an ambitious book.
Bangladesh’s Political Nadir: Violent Crackdown on Student Protests - Australian Institute of International Affairs
Thousands of Bangladeshi high school students are taking to the streets demanding safer roads and justice. Violent government response and suppression of media coverage casts a long shadow ahead of parliamentary elections in December. Thousands of Bangladeshi high school students are taking to the streets demanding safer roads and justice for their peers after a speeding bus ran over two schoolchildren in Kurmitola, Dhaka.
When the US Shoots Itself in the Foot - AIIA
The rift between the US and the EU was evident at the G7 Summit this week. A revisionist US poses a conundrum for both the EU and Australia. When the Trump administration decided to violate the terms of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (“Iran deal”), leave the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), retreat from the Paris Climate accord or tweet-cancel its support for the G7 summit statement, it did not just defend the US national interest. Quite the opposite.
Why Trump's problems in Washington mean problems for Australia.
Australia's strategic policy has relied upon a strong relationship with the United States. However, an unpredictable President brings an unwanted element of uncertainty at a time of great change in Australia's backyard. A recent report in the Australian media about the possibility of a Chinese military facility being established in Vanuatu illustrates Australia's strategic vulnerability. Regional power dynamics are changing rapidly.
Can Facebook Help Steal an Election? - AIIA
Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg recently testified that more than 300,000 Australians were touched by the Cambridge Analytica privacy scandal linked to the 2016 US election. But what evidence is there that Facebook can have a genuine impact on how we vote? Last month there was public outcry when British consulting firm, Cambridge Analytica, was accused of gaining access to and using the personal data of more than 80 million Facebook users for political campaigning.
The New US National Security Advisor and the Indo-Pacific - AIIA
Australia had hoped to join hands with the US, Japan and India in a quadrilateral to maintain stability in the Indo-Pacific region. But with the hawkish John Bolton taking over as US national security advisor on Monday, this could all change. On March 23, United States President Donald Trump announced in a tweet that he was removing H.R. McMaster as his national security advisor and that John Bolton would take over on 9 April.
Spies and Sanctions: Russia's Foreign Policy Future
Vladimir Putin’s resounding election victory in the Russian presidential elections on 18 March has been overshadowed by the recent diplomatic fracas with the UK. However, the scandal is unlikely to affect Putin’s new foreign policy objectives. The nerve agent attack on former Russian spy Sergei Skripal in the UK has dominated the recent political and expert debate on Moscow’s approach to international relations.
The Russian Election: Putin and His Seven Dwarves
Under an amendment to the Russian Constitution in 2008, the date of this year’s presidential election has been postponed for ten days in deference to International Women’s Day. It is an opportune time to consider the predicted victory of Putin over his seven opponents. In popular commentary, there is unanimous consensus that Vladimir Putin is assured of a landslide victory in his bid for a fourth presidential term.
International vulnerabilities and opportunities for Australia’s universities - AIIA
The university sector was alarmed last week when news broke that the Chinese Embassy was urging all Chinese students in Australia to protect their safety. Was it a payback? And if yes, how vulnerable are universities to international frictions? On Friday, news broke that the Chinese Embassy had issued a statement in Mandarin on its website urging all Chinese students in Australia to protect their safety.
Promise, Possibility and Unpredictability in Modern Day Russia - AIIA
Just as Winston Churchill called Russia “a riddle, wrapped in a mystery, inside an enigma”, in 2018, the country continues to defy prediction. So what’s next for a country with a history full of contradiction? Mr Kyle Wilson, former Australian diplomat and Australia National University fellow at the Centre for European Studies, spoke with AIIA WA’s Flavia Bellieni Zimmermann on his experience during his posting to Russia and current perspectives in Russian politics.
Best Of: Foreign Policy in an Uncertain World - AIIA
In October, Minister for Foreign Affairs Julie Bishop MP told the 2017 AIIA National Conference that the Australian government was engineering its foreign policy to accommodate the new instability of the international order. The forthcoming Foreign Policy White Paper will articulate the priorities, interests and values for Australian foreign policy for the next decade and beyond so that Australia can navigate the uncertain seas ahead.
ASEAN Navies Set Sail in 2017 - AIIA
In 2017’s changing maritime security environment, the 50th anniversary of ASEAN saw the group hold its first multilateral naval exercise. So what is the naval potential of its diverse membership? This has been a momentous year for the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations—better known as ASEAN—which marked its 50th anniversary this year with much revelry, including events that harkened to its maritime imperative.
Australia in Today's World: A Matter of Balance - AIIA
Australia has a role to play in the world’s most important bilateral relationship today, between the US and China, but must recognise the nuances in its own relations with each Great Power. At the turn of the millennium, the government led by John Howard was the first to the articulate the need for Australian foreign policy to maintain a balance in its relations with its traditional ally, the United States, and the rapidly growing China.
Why China is Key to Any North Korean Solution - AIIA
Far from needing nuclear weapons to enhance its defence, North Korea developed them in spite of being one of the most secure countries in the world. This is why Beijing is so vital for any diplomatic resolution. In testing a hydrogen bomb—in the context of a visual display where such a device was pictured with Kim Jong Un adjacent to what appeared to be the nose cone of a missile—North Korea has clearly crossed a red line.
Australian Institute of International Affairs
After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia entered what many assumed to be an inevitable period of decline. Recently, however, the former superpower has increasingly asserted and projected its power. How sustainable is the resurgence? Russia’s return to prominence in international politics has taken many observers by surprise. After all, the received wisdom for much of the first decade of the 21st century was that Russia was experiencing the last death throes of empire.
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