I write for The New York Times at @UpshotNYT. I cover elections, polling, and demographics. Northwest expat.

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@Nate_Cohn — 130,571 followers, 34,307 tweets

Apr 29, 2017

@PatrickRuffini yes, i agree with that--and probably influences what districts they target, too

Apr 29, 2017

@PatrickRuffini You may have better covariates than I do, but, for me, 92% of >85% Clinton white voters are past Dem primary v. 47% of nonwhite >85% Clinton

Apr 29, 2017

@PatrickRuffini yes, but, realistically, your partisanship modeling depends heavily on primary vote history in this district

Apr 29, 2017

.@PatrickRuffini Importantly, turnout among Black voters with a history of Dem primary turnout was ahead of white voters with GOP primary turnout https://t.co/bQBTxqyRAs

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