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Articles by Evan Buck
Rapid expansion of genotype D1.1 A(H5N1) influenza viruses in wild birds across North America during the 2024 migratory season
Abstract In late 2021, high pathogenicity avian influenza A(H5N1) clade 2.3.4.4b viruses entered North America and reassorted rapidly with local avian influenza viruses. In September 2024, we detected a new reassortant later classified as genotype D1.1. Using active and passive avian influenza surveillance across Canada and the USA, we tracked the emergence and rapid spread of D1.1 viruses in wild birds during the 2024 fall migration.
How To Play A Possible War On Credit Cards
Evan Buck 266 Followers Comments Summary Trump's proposed 10% credit card interest cap could materially impact banks with high credit card exposure, notably Capital One and Synchrony. COF's portfolio is now over 56% credit card balances, making it especially vulnerable to regulatory changes targeting interest rates. Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) lenders like Affirm and Klarna are positioned to benefit in the short term as consumers seek alternatives.
Is The Apple Card Deal Really A Triple Win?
Evan Buck 265 Followers Comments Summary JPMorgan Chase (JPM) has reached a deal to acquire Apple Card's $20B portfolio from Goldman Sachs at a discount, deepening its relationship with Apple. The acquired portfolio is riskier than JPM's norm, with 34% subprime exposure, and a current loss rates near 4%. Goldman Sachs exits its consumer finance ventures with a $1B discount sale, and will realize a significant one-time earnings boost.
Allied Esports Won't Pop Like GameStop (NASDAQ:AESE)
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Amazon's Tire Deal Won't Stop Sears' Skidding
Any good news for Sears (NASDAQ:SHLD) these days is few and far between. Its shares thus soared when news broke that the company would be expanding a deal involving its auto centers and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). However, despite this pop, I don't think anything substantial has changed for Sears' long-term prospects.
In Boeing Vs. Airbus, Boeing Has The Advantage
Boeing (BA) and Airbus (OTCPK:EADSF) are locked in a global battle for airplane supremacy, and thus far it appears that Boeing is in a much stronger position for the latter half of 2018. The fallout from the Iranian nuclear deal isn't going to destroy either company's business but will definitely hurt Airbus more. Boeing is in a stronger position as its present and future plans are positioning the firm well for future growth, while Airbus is, for the time being, relegated to second place.
Despite Business Overhaul, LiNiu Technology Is Not Primed For Growth
Guangzhou, China-based LiNiu Technology (NASDAQ:LINU) is quite an enigmatic stock, to put it mildly. While there seems to be some positives for the firm at first glance, I believe investors should stay far away from the stock unless you are fine with potentially losing your speculative investment. As seen in the chart above, LINU stock skyrocketed after their latest earnings report, for the first 6 months of FY2017.
Harley-Davidson's Earnings Miss Is A Sign Of More Pain Ahead
It's no secret that market conditions have not been that great lately for the iconic motorcycle brand Harley Davidson, Inc. (NYSE:HOG). Due to concerning sales numbers, a lack of marketing direction, an overvalued stock, and an uncertain future for the forthcoming electric Harley, I believe HOG shares are due for continued declines in the medium term. The latest quarterly report seems to indicate concerning trends are going to continue in 2018.
Get Out Of Blue Apron, But Not Because Of Amazon
The public market has not been too kind for Blue Apron (NYSE:APRN). After Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) announced its intention to buy out Whole Foods (NASDAQ:WFM), Blue Apron had to slash its IPO price. Ever since Blue Apron went public, the stock hasn't traded above its lowered initial offering price, and sits at about $6.50 a share at the time of this article. If that wasn't enough for the company's beleaguered shareholders, Amazon has filed for a trademark to enter into the meal kit preparation market.
Urban Outfitters: Mixed Signals
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania-based Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) might be headquartered in the City of Brotherly Love, but both consumers and investors aren't loving what the company has to offer right now. After the firm posted its fourth-quarter earnings report, the market sent the stock tumbling around 5% before finishing the day down 2.4%. Earnings came in at $64.29 million, a -11.8% decline from the $72.88 million posted the same quarter last year.
The TransDigm Bear Attack: Legitimate Concerns Or Overly Negative?
TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) has recently come under fierce criticism from Citron Research. In a report published January 20th, Citron blasts the airplane parts supplier as the "Valeant of the aerospace industry," a nod to the infamous pharmaceuticals company Valeant Pharmaceuticals International.
Remain Cautious With Caterpillar
"The Very Hungry Caterpillar" by Eric Carle is a beloved children's story you may be familiar with. In this tale, a very hungry caterpillar munches his way through various foods day after day, but remains hungry. That is, until he finally seeks to satiate his appetite by going on a binge eating spree…and ends up getting a stomachache. The next day, he exercises more prudence and eats one tasty leaf to feel better.
Netflix: Pain Before Gains
Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) stock has not been doing too well lately, as a couple bad quarters have left many investors and Wall Street worried about the company's ability to keep expanding its reach. While Netflix is probably due for more short-term pain, it could be a good stock for the medium term - but not at these levels. Let's see why. Netflix stock has usually been trading at very high multiples relative to industry peers and the market as a whole.
Splunk Drops Post-Earnings: Time To Buy?
San Francisco, California-based Splunk (NASDAQ: SPLK) hasn't exactly met my expectations since my initial write up on the firm. Since July 2015, the share price has declined from around $75 to where it stands today at about $55. What's more, the price has dropped further after the company's latest earnings report, adding insult to injury.
Rick Hill Vs. Marissa Mayer: Who Should Run Yahoo?
Starboard Value, the activist hedge fund, is (in)famous for its unapologetic and aggressive approach to enacting change in the companies it owns shares in. And Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) is proving to be no exception. On March 24, Starboard sent a scathing letter to Yahoo and its shareholders, outlining several grievances as well as detailing a plan to replace the company's board of directors and the CEO, Marissa Mayer.
Despite High Valuation, Domino's Should Continue To Rise
It's no secret: Domino's (NYSE:DPZ) has been firing on all cylinders as of late. The company's stock soared after yet another sterling quarterly report. And, since I covered the company almost exactly a year ago, the firm's shares have appreciated substantially from about $100 per share to $135. As the company continues to broaden its reach, it's a good idea to consider whether Domino's is set to continue its winning ways, or if its stock has reached a top due to its relatively rich valuation.
Blackstone Pair Trading Opportunity: Blackstone To Acquire BioMed And Strategic Hotels & Resorts
PE Blackstone (NYSE:BX) ($334 billion AUM as of September 30, 2015), the world's largest independent alternative asset manager, will buy in the following months the real estate companies BioMed Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE: BMR) ("BioMed") and Strategic Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (NYSE:BEE) ("Strategic Hotels") . This situation represents a fantastic opportunity to make a decent return implementing a pair trading strategy. In this article I review both deals and its conditions.
Disney Investors Should Be Concerned - Not Panicked - About ESPN
Disney's sports network ESPN has been shedding subscribers for the past two years, declining from 99 million in 2013 to 92 million today. This loss of subscribers puts ESPN back at 2006 levels and represents a substantial loss of revenue, even for a giant like Disney. While Disney still remains a safe investment, especially with the Good Dinosaur and Star Wars coming, but investors should be concerned about how ESPN might harm the bottom line moving forward.
Is It Time To Get Into Wynn Resorts?
In mid-August, I wrote a piece detailing a bearish thesis on Wynn Resorts stock. In just two months, the stock plunged to near my price target before rallying some. The big declines beg the question: is the company worth investing in now? Is there "blood in the streets" sufficient to warrant purchasing stock, as the investing colloquialism goes? There is arguably not much positive going for the firm right now.
There's A Reason You Should Be Hyped For Ferrari's IPO
Ferrari is rumored to be valued at nearly $12.4 billion - more than 28 times its 2014 earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). However, while this valuation appears bloated at first glance, the company is about more than just its ultra-luxury cars. The company has opportunities to slowly expand in cars as well as reap rewards from its brand name. High profit margins are encouraging. Fiat Chrysler (NYSE:FCAU) is readying to launch an Initial Public Offering (NYSEARCA:IPO) of Ferrari (Pending:RACE).
Lego Is Printing Money - Will It Go Public?
Danish toymaker Lego is printing money. The company is awash in cash as its diversified operations continue to rake in the dough. The future prospects for the firm look strong as a new Star Wars installment and new video game offerings should drive sales even higher. However, it appears that Lego is nowhere closer to an IPO than at any other point in its history.
If You're Selling Tesla Over 5K Cars, You're Missing The Bigger Picture
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares are falling hard after the company posted slightly improved earnings, but scaled back on production estimates. The stock shed 8% within minutes of the announcement. Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated that the Model X SUV has been giving them trouble and that therefore, the company wouldn't meet its overall shipping projections for the year.
Alpha Natural Resources Files For Chapter 11: What Now?
It's no secret that times are incredibly tough for the coal industry. Coal prices have fallen off a cliff as demand has slacked off and industry innovation is trending towards "cleaner" sources of energy. President Obama recently poured even more fuel on the fire with an address calling for significant reductions of carbon emissions. While the legality and feasibility of Obama's Clean Power Plan are under scrutiny, the specter of new regulations certainly doesn't help an already depressed industry.
A Macy's REIT Is A Bad Idea
Forbes has graced one man with the label of "the investor CEOs fear most" -- and that man, Jeffrey Smith, has now launched a campaign to make Macy's (NYSE:M) spin-off properties into a Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) and use the proceeds to buy back shares. Generally, REITs are a good way for struggling retailers to unlock hidden value from their business that couldn't be realized without a REIT.
Netflix Investors Be Wary Of China's Potential Costs
Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) is a global entertainment powerhouse, boasting over 60 million subscribers in over 40 countries around the world. The firm has plans to enter several more markets in late 2015 and 2016, and recently announced its intentions to enter the Chinese marketplace.
Citigroup's Deal Is What Bank Of Nova Scotia Needs To Increase International Footprint
Citigroup (NYSE:C) and The Bank of Nova Scotia (NYSE:BNS) announced a deal wherein Citigroup will sell its retail and commercial banking businesses in Panama and Costa Rica to the Bank of Nova Scotia. This deal should prove to be mutually beneficial to both firms in the long run, as Citigroup and Scotiabank (the brand name for the Bank of Nova Scotia) are both able to continue pursuing their long-term strategies for growth through the initiative.
Splunk's Growth Story Remains Solid
San Francisco, California,-based Splunk (NASDAQ:SPLK) is an exciting opportunity in the world of the "Internet of Things," IoT for short. Not only does it provide an important data management service for consumers, but it also should continue to grow in the wake of hacking epidemics and the well-timed acquisition of Caspida.
In Light Of Future Interest Rate Hike, It's Time To Play Regional Banks
The U.S. economy, in general, is slowly, but surely, chugging along in an anemic recovery. The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates low for longer than many analysts projected, but now it seems that a rate hike will be coming soon. With turmoil in Greece and China, however previous projections that the Fed could raise rates as early as September 2015 may be in question.
Forget 'Whole Paycheck,' Buy Kroger Instead
Organic supermarket chain Whole Foods (NASDAQ:WFM) is widely known by the derisive nickname "Whole Paycheck" due to how expensive its products are. To be fair, organic food products tend to be higher priced than ordinary food anyway. But now, Whole Foods is in deep trouble in New York, as regulators there are taking the company to task after noting disturbing widespread overcharges.
Fitbit Is In Good Shape
Fitness wearable tech company Fitbit (NYSE:FIT) sprinted upward in its market debut, seeing its shares rise 48% and close at $29.68 per share, up from an opening price of $20 per share. It's worthy of note that the Initial Public Offering (IPO) saw significant upward revision in the weeks leading up to the offering. The day before Fitbit went public, the company finally priced its initial public offering at $20 a share.
This Is What Monsanto's Next Move In Wooing Syngenta Should Be
Keeping track of the massive agribusiness Monsanto's (NYSE:MON) attempts to buy out Syngenta (NYSE:SYT) is like watching one of those dime-a-dozen, painfully awkward romantic comedies, where the guy keeps striking out on getting a girl to go out with him. It remains to be seen whether the Monsanto-Syngenta story ends up "happily ever after" for Monsanto, but what we can speculate about now is Monsanto's next move in the ongoing saga.
It'll Take More Than A New CEO To Fix Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) shares spiked after its co-owners announced their resignations, in a brutal indictment of just how poor of a job the market thinks Anshu Jain (left in picture) and Jürgen Fitschen (right) have done in leading the bank. And with all of the legal controversies, allegations of misconduct, and weak financial results over the years, who could blame Mr. Market? The new CEO of Germany's largest bank will be John Cryan, who is currently on the bank's supervisory board.
Keep CALM And Carry On With Cal-Maine Foods
During the lead-up period to World War II, the British government mass-produced signs that read "keep calm and carry on" to boost the morale of the British public. Although millions of the signs were printed, the design was hardly ever seen in public, and the signs faded into obscurity until an original copy surfaced in 2000. And now, the design is known the world over.
GoPro's Strategic Pivot Will Translate To Continued Strong Sales Growth
GoPro (NASDAQ:GPRO) is quite a remarkable company. With only one main product line at this time (its sports cameras), GoPro has become a juggernaut in the action camera industry and an incredible financial success story. The company has been a particular subject of interest for me since before it went public. However, since going public, GoPro has seen its stock rise meteorically and then fall due to many investor concerns over market competition and valuation.
Kohl's Outlook Remains Positive, Despite Recent Stock Price Dip
Shares of Kohl's (NYSE:KSS) were hammered after its latest quarterly report was released, falling over 13%. In fact, the drop was so substantial, that it was the single largest drop in Kohl's stock price history, both in terms of dollars and cents as well as on a percentage basis. The decline shaved off nearly $2 billion from the company's market capitalization. A sharp drop this large definitely warrants attention.
Jaguar Animal Health Stumbles Out Of The Gate - Should You Invest?
San Francisco, California,-based Jaguar Animal Health (Pending:JAGX) is an animal medicine company that was subject to tumultuous pre-initial public offering overhauls to the specifics of its IPO. From delays to going public, to price cuts, to reducing the number of shares being offered, most of the developments leading up to Jaguar's May 13th IPO seemed to be negative - and Wall Street has seemingly reacted in kind.
The Party's Just Getting Started At Party City
Elmsford, New York-based Party City (Pending:PRTY) priced its Initial Public Offering (IPO) at the top of the expected price range, at $17 per share. After the first day of trading, shares of the party supply firm were sitting at around $20, about a cool 20% over the opening price. Party City's IPO is a unique opportunity for investors to capitalize in a generally languishing traditional retail environment, despite legitimate concerns over its corporate structure and debt.
Why I've Been Wrong About Freshpet - So Far
On December 30, 2014, I wrote a piece entitled "Freshpet - Is It The Cat's Meow Or Are Investors Barking Up The Wrong Tree?" In this article, I detailed my rationale for staying away from the Freshpet (NASDAQ:FRPT) Initial Public Offering (NYSEARCA:IPO). At that time, the stock had declined after an IPO bump, but since then, the stock has increased about 53%, with much of that increase having come in the last couple of weeks.
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