When I was doing an internship at NAM (Shell/Exxon joint venture) in the Netherlands in 2003, an experienced geologist took me aside and said, “Henk, be aware, China is coming, and you’d better be aware of that.” It is now 22 years later, and I increasingly realise that the geologist was right, even when I wasn’t overly concerned at the time. This article is based on some more recent conversations. And these conversations, or sometimes rather just some off-the-cuff remarks, tell a story.