James Derbyshire on Muck Rack

James Derbyshire

Verified
England
As seen in: Fortitude Magazine, Wiley Online Library, Elsevier, Bury Times, Data Centre Review Magazine, Top Business Tech
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Articles

Potential Surprise Theory as a Practical and Theoretical Cornerstone of the Uncertainty-Based Perspective on Risk

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By James Derbyshire Verified
| Wiley Online Library Verified
1 Introduction Aven (2025) recently highlighted the ongoing transition towards an uncertainty-based perspective in risk analysis. It has been underway for some time; many have contributed to it, and it has led to significant progress in terms of how uncertainty is handled in risk analysis.
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Why ignore expiry dates on cosmetics? A qualitative study of perceived risk and its implications for cosmetics producers and regulators

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By Yujiao Wang, Gary Davies, James Derbyshire Verified, Farid Ullah
| Wiley Online Library Verified
1 INTRODUCTION Using cosmetics beyond their expiry date can represent a significant health risk, as the quality and safety of many such products deteriorate over time, particularly after they are opened (FDA, 2022). There are two types of cosmetic expiry date: its shelf life if unopened and its Period After Opening, or PAO, which is its shelf life once opened.
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Out of sight but still in mind: Developing an expectation for surprises by formalizing unknowledge in a contemporary risk‐assessment framework

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By James Derbyshire Verified, Terje Aven
| Wiley Online Library Verified
1 INTRODUCTION Traditionally, risk assessments employed probabilities to express uncertainties. However, contemporary risk-assessment frameworks recognize the need to “go beyond probability” (Aven, 2016) by including a component that reflects a judgment on the strength of knowledge lying behind a measure of uncertainty, such as a probability.
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