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Julia Jansson Valter on Muck Rack

Julia Jansson Valter

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The 𝑄 Q $$ Q $$ -Score: A Magnitude-Weighted Goodness-of-Fit Score for Earthquake Forecasting

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By Francesco Serafini, Julia Jansson Valter, Alejandra Arjon
| Wiley Online Library Verified
1 Introduction Although seismic regions such as California frequently experience earthquakes, the vast majority are minor and do not significantly disrupt daily life. Major earthquakes occur rarely, but the accurate forecasting of them is essential to facilitate preparedness, mitigate fatalities, and reduce infrastructure damage. Earthquakes can be modeled with spatial–temporal point processes, such as the Epidemic-Type-Aftershock-Sequence (ETAS) model (Ogata 1988).
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