The Bulwark

Brendan Harnett and Will Saletan put their encyclopedic knowledge of Donald Trump to the test by predicting which words he would use in a major speech. The fake bets produce some eerie wins, one brutal near-miss, and a new appreciation for how quickly prediction markets can become addictive. As always: Watch, listen, and leave a comment. Bulwark+ Takes is home to short videos, livestreams, and event archives exclusively for Bulwark+ members. Add Bulwark+ Takes feed to your player of choice, here.

(Photo illustration by Sarah Rogers/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock, Church of Glad Tidings) PROMOTERS OF QANON and other lurid pro-Trump conspiracy theories will head to California next month to visit a women’s prison.

Trump tried to steal the limelight and the valor of Spain at the World Cup, even as more troops died overseas; Stephen Miller regularly encourages ICE to be violent while Pete Hegseth pushes soldiers to be macho bullies. The leaders in this country are men with no center and no core. Now with the arrest of the Tate brothers in Miami, Trump gets a chance to extend his record of standing by sex pests and assaulters.

(Photo Illustration by Sarah Rogers/Photos Truth Social, Getty, Shutterstock) Last week reports surfaced that the Trump Media & Technology Group—the parent company of Truth Social—is looking to ship a new product. The company is preparing to sell faster access to posts. This feature, called Truth API, will allow subscribers to see posts before they show up in the general public’s feed. The price of a subscription is reportedly $100,000. Per month.

Bulwark+ Takes brings you bite-sized takes on the news of the day from the entire Bulwark team. This is the home to ad-free video shorts, Bulwark+ member-only livestreams, and live event archives. The news cycle doesn’t slow down, and neither do we. Bulwark+ Takes brings you bite-sized takes on the news of the day from the entire Bulwark team. This is the home to ad-free video shorts, Bulwark+ member-only livestreams, and live event archives. The news cycle doesn’t slow down, and neither do we.

Britain’s got a new prime minister: Labour leader Andy Burnham takes office today after winning his seat in Parliament just last month. Will he have better luck in steering post-Brexit Britain back to smoother seas than did Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, Rishi Sunak, and Keir Starmer? Only one way to find out! Happy Monday. Join Will Sommer and Sam Stein for MAGA Mondays today at 10:00 a.m. EDT on Substack and YouTube.

Eric welcomes back friend of the show Professor Hal Brands, the Henry A. Kissinger Distinguished Professor of Global Studies at Johns Hopkins University’s School of Advanced International Studies. The two discuss Hal’s recent work, beginning with his column in Bloomberg dissecting the key strategic errors that Trump has made in the ongoing war with Iran.

(Photo illustration by Sarah Rogers/The Bulwark | Photos: Getty, Shutterstock) WHEN GRAHAM PLATNER FORMALLY WITHDREW from the Maine Senate race a little over a week ago, Democratic officials hoped that it would bring an end to the bitter intraparty fight over electability and ideology that had engulfed the party for months. But such tensions run deep, and it didn’t take long for another race to pit progressives and establishment Democrats against each other.

Bulwark+ Takes brings you bite-sized takes on the news of the day from the entire Bulwark team. This is the home to ad-free video shorts, Bulwark+ member-only livestreams, and live event archives. The news cycle doesn’t slow down, and neither do we. Bulwark+ Takes brings you bite-sized takes on the news of the day from the entire Bulwark team. This is the home to ad-free video shorts, Bulwark+ member-only livestreams, and live event archives. The news cycle doesn’t slow down, and neither do we.

THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION is contemplating radical and potentially destructive changes to one of America’s most famous anti-poverty programs, according to several people familiar with internal administration deliberations and one with direct knowledge of them. The program is Head Start, which provides free, specially enhanced childcare to more than 700,000 low-income preschoolers, toddlers, and infants.