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Peter Bofinger

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Articles

Siete años de estancamiento exponen la falta de estrategia de Alemania

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By Peter Bofinger
| Agenda Pública
La economía alemana encadena ya siete años de estancamiento. El panorama es todavía peor cuando se desglosan los componentes del producto interior bruto (PIB): la inversión no deja de caer y el consumo público es el único componente que aporta una contribución positiva significativa. Muchos confiaban en que la flexibilización del freno de la deuda en marzo de 2025 —que había impedido de facto financiar la inversión pública mediante deuda— marcaría un antes y un después.
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Germany’s Seventh Year of Stagnation Exposes a Missing Strategy

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By Peter Bofinger
| Social Europe Verified
Seven lean years: Germany faces its seventh year of stagnation, with growth in 2026 forecast at just 0.5 per cent. A pension bet on Sweden: A new mandatory 2 per cent salary contribution to a state pension fund will dampen growth long before it pays off decades later. Tax cuts that barely register: The 2026 income tax reduction is worth only about a quarter of a per cent of GDP, much of it merely offsetting inflation.
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DP21390 Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks in Newspapers using GPT

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By Peter Bofinger, Jonas Dix, Felix Betz
| The Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)
English Français Deutsch Italiano 中文 More Español Ελληνικά 日本語 Português Türkçe One of the central challenges in identifying the causal effects of monetary policy is the inherent endogeneity of its conduct. This paper introduces a novel identification strategy that leverages LLMs to detect monetary policy shocks from newspaper coverage following European Central Bank (ECB) policy decisions.
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