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Articles by Rob Lorge
Week 17 Waiver Wire Pickups: Fantasy Football Targets (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
Tristan da SilvaDecember 22, 2025 Ruled Out for Monday Jalen SuggsDecember 22, 2025 Ruled Out for Monday Quentin GrimesDecember 22, 2025 Uncertain to Suit Up Against Nets Aaron WigginsDecember 22, 2025 Ruled Out for Monday Dominick BarlowDecember 22, 2025 Might Miss Tuesday's Meeting with Brooklyn Jalen DurenDecember 22, 2025 Available for Monday Ron Holland IIDecember 22, 2025 Ruled Out for Monday Jerami GrantDecember 22, 2025 Ruled Out for Monday CFBDecember 22, 2025 Bobby Petrino Joining...
Week 16 Waiver Wire Pickups: Fantasy Football Targets (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
NFL MLB NBA PGA NHL NHLDecember 16, 2025 NHL DFS Picks and Heat Map (Premium Content) - December 16, 2025 Morgan RiellyDecember 16, 2025 NHL DFS Lineup Picks for DraftKings: Goalies, Value Plays, Stacks, and Power Plays Picks (12/16/25) Brandon RoyvalDecember 15, 2025 Suffers First-Round TKO Loss CFBDecember 15, 2025 Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway CFBDecember 15, 2025 Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal Manel KapeDecember 15, 2025 Shines At UFC Vegas 112 Kevin...
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Week 13 (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
RotoBaller staff's fantasy football sleepers, avoids, and start 'em sit 'em picks for Week 13 of 2025. Expert lineup advice from Adam Koffler, Frank Rob Lorge, and Thunder Dan Palyo. Three games are already in the Week 13 rear-view mirror, and whether you are out to a big lead or a deficit, it's important to nail lineup decisions for the rest of the slate.
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Week 8 (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
RotoBaller staff's fantasy football sleepers, avoids, and start 'em sit 'em picks for Week 8 of 2025. Expert lineup advice from Adam Koffler, Rob Lorge, and Thunder Dan Palyo. With six teams on a bye and injuries piling up, this is arguably the toughest week of start-sit calls this season. Finding sleepers on the waiver wire to plug into lineups is key, and so is knowing which players to sit if you are deciding between a handful of options. We've got you covered for Sunday and Monday games.
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Week 7 (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
RotoBaller staff's fantasy football sleepers, avoids, and start 'em sit 'em picks for Week 7 of 2025. Expert lineup advice from Adam Koffler, Rob Lorge, and Frank Ammirante. It feels like we have never seen injuries ravage the fantasy football landscape as much as this season, but nevertheless, managers must continue to piece together starting lineups in hopes of winning a fantasy championship at year's end. Our experts are here to help with those Week 7 lineup calls.
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Week 4 (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
RotoBaller staff's fantasy football sleepers, avoids, and start 'em sit 'em picks for Week 4 of 2025. Expert lineup advice from Adam Koffler, Rob Lorge, and Thunder Dan Palyo. If your fantasy team is off to a hot start, then you have done something right, but things can change quickly with role changes and injuries, so continue to stay diligent with your start-sit calls. And if you're struggling through three weeks of NFL action, there is still plenty of time to turn the tide.
Fantasy Football Sleepers: Start 'Em, Sit 'Em for Week 2 (RotoBaller Staff Picks)
RotoBaller staff's fantasy football sleepers, avoids, and start 'em sit 'em picks for Week 2 of 2025. Expert lineup advice from Adam Koffler, Scott Engel, Rob Lorge. As always, Week 1 of the fantasy football season brought plenty of surprise boom and bust performances. Several big-name receivers were silenced in the opening week of the NFL season, while players like Quentin Johnston and Daniel Jones delivered big-time performances.
Rankings Changelog (2023)
Note: Significant projections changes will appear here, but minor changes will not be included. (11/25) Removed Raheem Mostert and Leonard Fournette, who are both doubtful to play. Jeff Wilson and Rachaad White look like strong plays in terrific matchups. Added Gus Edwards, which makes Kenyan Drake less appealing as a Sneaky Start.
Fantasy Football: Quarterback SOS Beneficiaries & Ideal Late-Round Pairings
With ever-increasing hype building around specific player analysis, it’s sometimes difficult to see the forest for the trees. The Spring months are meant for the budding of individual player evaluations, and we certainly did an incredible amount of those here at 4for4, but now with those safely flowering here in Summer, it’s time we turn more attention towards incorporating those appraisals into bonafide drafting strategies.
Fantasy Football Debate: Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Jaylen Waddle
Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jaylen Waddle are being drafted at picks 21 and 24, respectively in early Yahoo drafts. In this debate, Pranav Rajaram argues for Waddle while Jennifer Eakins makes the case for St. Brown in 2023. Read other player-specific analysis from the 4for4 staff: Player Profiles | WR Rankings The Case for Jaylen Waddle Pranav: Jaylen Waddle has had an electric start to his NFL career.
Fantasy Football Skill Position Stacking in 2023
Last year, I examined the idea of the “Skill Position Stack” in fantasy football. While the typical “stack” consists of pairing a quarterback with one of his top receivers on your fantasy team, the skill position stack involves drafting both a team’s top running back and receiver. In this article, I will be using a set of guidelines to assess if there are any viable skill position stacks in 2023.
Russell Wilson's 2023 Fantasy Football Outlook: Redemption or Decline?
After a disappointing first season in Denver, can Russell Wilson turn things around in 2023? Or will his performance continue to decline? The "let's ride" fiasco and his performance on the field provided plenty of opportunities for people to pile on. There are only two options from there; a redemption story or a continued decline. Is Sean Payton going to be the difference maker or did he come back to the NFL for nothing? Let's explore Wilson's fantasy football outlook for 2023.
Greg Dulcich: The Next Great Fantasy Football Tight End
The tight end position is an annual wasteland of disappointment in fantasy circles. Every year, we try to talk ourselves into a litany of options before the season begins, only to be reluctantly streaming the position by midseason. Last year, 88.9 half-PPR fantasy points separated Travis Kelce from the #2 tight end, T.J. Hockenson. Another 50.1 points separated Hockenson from the #7 tight end, Cole Kmet.
Underdog The Puppy 2: Positional Allocation Guide
Powered by 4for4’s new Underdog Roster Construction Tool, this analysis will show you the skeleton to best ball tournament success in the form of positional allocation guidelines. Knowing how many players to draft at each position is the foundation of being a profitable best ball player and serves as the framework for concepts such as roster construction, positional draft strategies, and stacking considerations. The primary metric used to measure success is playoff advance rate over expectation.
Underdog Rankings, Tools, and Draft Strategy
Here you will find everything Underdog related, with links to our tools, guides, strategy bibles, and articles on how to make the most of all contests on Underdog Fantasy. Underdog Rankings This tool features 4for4's Top 250 rankings for Underdog Best Ball tournaments and is manually curated by John Daigle using John Paulsen's projections, along with some of the rest of our staff's research.
Jerry Jeudy is on the Verge of a Breakout Fantasy Football Season
Fantasy managers are often quick to dismiss Jerry Jeudy after three seemingly disappointing seasons. Coming into the NFL with other receivers such as Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, and Tee Higgins has overshadowed what has otherwise been a pretty good start to his NFL career. Unfortunately, injuries have held him back to some degree, but when he's been healthy, he's been more productive than he's given credit for.
Kadarius Toney: The Ultimate Boom-or-Bust Fantasy Football Player
Kadarius Toney is undoubtedly one of the most polarizing, unpredictable players in the NFL. Since being drafted by the Giants in the first round of the 2021 NFL Draft, he has been through an injury-riddled two seasons and was traded to the Chiefs in the middle of last year. Here’s a look at how fantasy managers should value Toney this season at his current Underdog ADP of WR35.
Christian Watson is Being Drafted at His Fantasy Football Ceiling
If someone were to look at the expected top receivers on NFL teams this year, they would probably be quite surprised at the Packers. That’s because relatively unknown second-year wideout Christian Watson suddenly finds himself as Green Bay's #1 receiving option. As a result, Watson has skyrocketed up fantasy football draft boards this season and is currently being selected as the overall WR19 per Underdog ADP.
2023 NBA Playoff Best Bets
The NBA postseason is finally upon us. This is one of the best times to bet on NBA basketball, as teams condense rotations, and every game carries significant meaning. The only downside is the fact that the day-to-day slates are much smaller than the traditional regular-season slates. Because of this, Rick Camp and Joe Metz have put together this article that will continuously update on a daily basis with their official NBA playoff picks.
2023 NFL Draft Bets
Share Facebook Twitter Reddit Email Google+ The NFL Draft is one of our favorite events on the sports calendar because of how soft the market is. Last year we combined to win over 40 units on unique plays. No double counting between analysts; over 40 units were won on official plays. We can’t guarantee that level of success but are yet to have a losing year of draft betting.
11 ADP Risers & Fallers After Preseason Week 1
As we work our way into redraft league frenzy season, when the bulk of your friends and family drafts take place, analyzing ADP from week to week during the preseason is helpful to gather an overall impression of where players are being selected. Drafters in Underdog leagues tend to be sharper than your average fantasy football participant, so you may find players will slip a bit further in some leagues than others.
17 Fantasy Football Sleepers to Target After Pick 150
The burn-and-churn strategy for re-draft rosters is typically forgotten over the summer with best ball taking precedence. But any winning player would be the first to tell you that upside is what matters most in the later rounds, knowing we can always shed the dead weight to get ahead of potential Free Agency Auction Budget (FAAB) eruptions weekly.
Dynasty Rookie Mock: 8-Team, Superflex, PPR, TE Premium Scoring
Over the last month or so, I've been conducting and writing about my experiences with rookie and start-up dynasty mock drafts here at 4for4. I've been using DLF's new mock draft simulator tool for the drafts to introduce people to the tool itself and to familiarize more traditional fantasy owners with dynasty leagues and their drafts and draft strategy. In this final rookie mock draft, I wanted to look at what might happen in smaller leagues.
Perfect Fantasy Football Draft: 1st in a 12-Team Yahoo! Half-PPR League
The first overall pick in fantasy drafts is one of the most high-pressure situations a fantasy owner can face. There is a saying that you can't win your draft with your first pick, but you can certainly lose it. But it's not just this one pick, of course. How will your roster shape up as you sit and wait for the board to come back to you, with two consecutive picks? Will you be chasing the field, or setting the pace? Intense isn't it? But you need not go in alone and unprepared.
A First Look at FanDuel Week 1 NFL DFS Salaries
FanDuel has released contests for their Week 1 Main slate. With DraftKings salaries out for nearly two weeks now, I will compare salaries across both sites to search for any major discrepancies. We still haven’t even had a full slate of preseason games, so don’t expect to lock these players into any lineups just yet, but it’s a fun exercise to come back to in a month.
Perfect Fantasy Football Draft: 4th in a 12-Team ESPN PPR League
Picking from the fourth spot in fantasy leagues this year presents a unique challenge. With the very top running backs usually off the board, taking one of the three elite wide receivers becomes tempting in a way that my old-school mind struggles to fathom. Gone are the days when eight of the top 10 picks are automatically bell cow running backs, as more and more teams have ushered in committee approaches to the run game and 4,000-yard passing seasons have become the norm.
4 Areas To Help Spice Up Your Fantasy Football League
When the fantasy football season comes around, those of us who run leagues want it to be the greatest experience for the owners in their league. But year after year, the same old league and rules can be a drag. Draft day and the season are supposed to be fun but keeping people interested from August through January isn’t all that easy.
8 Breakout Linebackers To Target For IDP Leagues
It's easy to draft Darius Leonard and Roquan Smith, but the key and fun part of an IDP draft are the middle-to-late rounds when you're identifying those potential lottery tickets. More Breakout IDP Candidates: Defensive Backs | Defensive Linemen I've identified a few linebackers who are seeing increased roles in their defense, which could lead to more snap volume and tackle opportunities - resulting in fantasy points.
2022 Cincinnati Bengals Fantasy Preview
Last year’s rates should be taken with a grain of salt since OC Brian Callahan previously blitzkrieg'd Cincinnati’s offense for the league’s highest pass play rate (66%) from neutral game script and third-most plays per game (70.7) in Joe Burrow’s first 10 starts before he tore his ACL in 2020.
UFC Vegas 58 dos Anjos vs Fiziev: 3 Props to Target at Prize Picks
UFC Vegas 58 dos Anjos vs Fiziev returns to the Apex with an action-packed lightweight main event. This card features a host of fighters that look to take the fight to the mat where we can take advantage of takedown props. Let’s take a look at the best props to target over at Prize Picks. UFC Vegas 58 dos Anjos vs Fiziev: 3 Props to Target at Prize Picks Jared Vanderaa over 10 minutes Jared Vanderaa and Chase Sherman are two of the lower-level heavyweights in the UFC.
Matthew Stafford: Fantasy Football Bargain
Matthew Stafford has had quite the ride as an NFL quarterback and also as a fantasy quarterback. He was highly regarded coming out of Georgia in 2009, then spent his first two seasons largely injured, earning the “if he’s healthy” moniker. Then he became a huge fantasy success with Calvin Johnson, throwing for 41 touchdowns and 5,038 yards in his third season and leading the Lions to a 10-6 record.
2022 Las Vegas Raiders Fantasy Preview
This installment in 4for4's team preview series will take a look at the Las Vegas Raiders. The series will cover every team in the NFL, going over all fantasy-relevant players with betting angles, as well.
Salary Cap Draft Nomination Strategy
The first fantasy football league I ever joined was a salary cap league, and I had no clue about general fantasy football strategy, much less how to navigate a more complex draft. Some of the first advice I heard, and I heard it a lot, was to spend the early rounds nominating players that you don’t want. In theory, this will flush money from the rest of the league’s budget and leave them strapped for funds when the players you want are on the board.
2022 Denver Broncos Fantasy Preview
A fifth consecutive losing season inevitably forced the Broncos to restructure its organization from the top down, replacing Vic Fangio’s prehistoric coaching with former Packers OC Nathaniel Hackett, who previously called plays for both the Bills and Jaguars before settling in under Matt LaFleur in Wisconsin.
How to Manage 2022 Bye Weeks in Your Fantasy Football League
Navigating bye weeks can be a serious cause of stress for fantasy owners throughout the season. During the draft, it’s enough to make sure you’re drafting the best possible players without having to worry about whether or not your two stud running backs have the same bye week—here’s looking at you Jonathan Taylor and Aaron Jones. But does it really matter?
8 Dynasty Risers and Fallers (June 2022)
We are in the painful portion of the NFL offseason, with almost no meaningful news blurbs trickling in on a daily basis. Weeks away from the opening of training camps, you might expect dynasty player value to become static, but that’s not the case. Sometimes all it takes is a tweet of speculation from a beat writer or an impressive catch in optional mini-camps for a player’s value to change. At Dynasty League Football, we produce monthly dynasty ADP data year-round.
4 Quarterbacks Who Had Outlier Touchdown Seasons in 2021
Since the 2016 offseason, I’ve used touchdown expectation to pinpoint players that are due for reversion to the mean in the touchdown column and, consequently, in fantasy scoring. Calculating expected touchdowns improves on metrics such as touchdown rate or red zone opportunities by giving an accurate representation of how much players should have scored based on specific field position and play type.
Should Fantasy Football Managers Go All In on Derek Carr?
Derek Carr threw for 4,804 yards last year, which was the fifth-most in the NFL. Despite this and the fact he threw the fifth-most passes with 626, the eight-year veteran had just 23 touchdowns. While this was the 13th-highest mark in the NFL, his touchdown rate of 3.7% was tied for 23rd. He was behind the likes of Jared Goff, Tyler Heinicke, and Davis Mills.
Tom Brady: The Perfect Fantasy Football Mid-Round QB
Tom Brady needs no introduction. After a crazy offseason where he retired and then unretired, the GOAT is officially back for his 23rd (!) NFL season. He is looking to build off a phenomenal 2021 output, where he threw for a league-high 5,316 passing yards and 43 touchdowns en route to an overall QB3 finish. Current Underdog ADP shows Brady being drafted in the middle of the 7th round as the QB9, which I think is the perfect spot for him to go.
Adam Thielen Remains a Fantasy Football Value
At some point during this lull between now and the start of the NFL season, Adam Thielen will get his praise for being a trustworthy wide receiver that is being discounted because of factors beyond his control. That time is now. Despite missing a fistful of games the past two seasons, Thielen has been one of the most reliable wideouts in the NFL and has been a touchdown monster, regression be damned.
Trey Lance is Set for a Fantasy Football Breakout in 2022
The San Francisco 49ers made a huge splash in 2021, swapping their first-round pick that year with the Miami Dolphins while also sending 2022 and 2023 first-round selections for the right to select quarterback Trey Lance. While many people were excited about the thought of the rookie taking the NFL by storm, he spent most of the season on the sidelines. After significant playing time in just three games, just what should we expect from Lance in 2022?
Injury Profile: What Can We Expect from J.K. Dobbins in 2022?
After missing all of the 2021 season with a torn ACL, Baltimore Ravens’ running back J.K. Dobbins is a player that some fantasy managers may be targeting in the middle round of their fantasy drafts. Dobbins is a year removed from his injury and is being viewed as someone who should be able to return to his pre-injury form since his ACL tear occurred in the preseason.
The Rule of One: How to Avoid Derailing Your Salary Cap Drafts
Salary cap fantasy drafts are filled with unpredictability. In snake drafts, you might see a player go half a round before or after their consensus ADP, but in salary cap drafts, player value is driven by both ADP and the psychology of drafters. Even advanced players can derail their draft if they find themselves overpaying for a player they are fixated on or desperately trying to fill a roster hole after most of the top talent has been drafted.
Dynasty Rookie Mock: Superflex PPR
Are you a seasoned fantasy football player but new to dynasty leagues? Not sure where to begin? Obviously, keeping your roster forever is the most significant difference between redraft and dynasty leagues. However, most veteran dynasty owners will tell you the best part of playing dynasty is the annual rookie draft. Dynasty League Football recently launched a new Mock Draft Simulator to help people get a feel for how things might go during their upcoming rookie drafts.
NBA Player Prop Bets: A Three-Leaf Clover of Celtics Props
Boston is just two wins away from their 18th NBA Championship. Golden State is trying to avoid going down 3-1 and needing three straight wins for this year's title. The Warriors are worried about the health of superstar Steph Curry, who hurt his foot diving for a loose ball late in Game 3. While Game 3 was a pivotal matchup, tonight's Game 4 is even more important. Boston is a 3.5-point favorite with a 214-point game total.
Expert Fantasy Football Mock Draft Recap: 12-Team Half-PPR (June 2022)
Throughout the summer, players' values will have ebbs and flows. Identifying these changes is what can give you an edge over the other fantasy managers in your league. To best evaluate where the biggest and worst values are, we conducted a 12-team redraft mock draft with several other fantasy analysts to give you the best information and the most up-to-date information about how the fantasy community is currently perceiving certain players.
Fantasy Football: FInding Value in Salary Cap Drafts
It was coming into the 2018 draft that I had my first Moneyball moment when looking at the salary cap landscape, it seemed clear to me that my league was undervaluing elite running backs. Top-tier running backs are usually the most valuable assets in fantasy football, which is why in a snake draft they make up the bulk of first and second-round picks.
Dalton Schultz is the Perfectly-Priced Fantasy Football Tight End
Many are calling for a breakout season for Dalton Schultz in 2022 when in reality, it already happened last year. The Dallas TE went from an unassuming 7.2 half-PPR points per game in 2020 to 9.6 as the TE7 in that category last year, and that was with a Cowboys roster that read a bit differently. Schultz’s output last season has the potential to be his floor in 2022 and I’ll lay out why below.
2022 Fantasy Football IDP Rankings Breakdown: Defensive Backs
It's rankings season. The NFL Draft is well in our rearview mirror and, although we're still waiting for a few defenders to find new homes, free agency is just about wrapped up. The 2022 IDP rankings have been published and I'm going to break down each position into tiers. Rankings are a bit subjective and can vary based on league scoring, so that's why I like to break the rankings into tiers.
Underdog Best Ball Mania Bible: Stacking Strategy
Anyone that has played in large-field fantasy football tournaments—whether best ball, redraft, or DFS—has some understanding of stacking, the strategy of rostering multiple teammates from the same team. The basic premise of stacking is that by getting multiple pieces of a single offense, the likelihood of ceiling weeks and outlier seasons increases for a roster.
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