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Articles by Timothy Lay
Global demonstrations in response to the Middle East crisis
The 7 October 2023 Hamas attack on southern Israel and Israel’s subsequent response across the region triggered a wave of demonstrations around the world, especially in the Middle East, North Africa, Western Europe, and the United States. Over the past year, the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip has worsened and violence has spread across the Middle East, most notably into northern Israel and Lebanon, where Israeli forces and Hezbollah have been engaging in an escalating conflict.
Infographic: Global demonstrations in response to the Israel-Palestine conflict
The Hamas attack on southern Israel and subsequent Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip have triggered a wave of protests and rallies around the world. During the first three weeks of the current round of hostilities, ACLED records approximately 4,200 demonstration events related to the conflict in almost 100 countries and territories, accounting for 38% of all demonstration events reported globally. – Rappler.com Graphic design by Christina De Paris.
Infographic: Global Demonstrations in Response to the Israel-Palestine Conflict
The Hamas attack on southern Israel and subsequent Israeli military operations in the Gaza Strip have triggered a wave of protests and rallies around the world. During the first three weeks of the current round of hostilities, ACLED records approximately 4,200 demonstration events related to the conflict in almost 100 countries and territories, accounting for 38% of all demonstration events reported globally.
Infographic: Journalists Under Attack
Mexico and Bangladesh experienced increases of 44% and 64% in 2022 compared to 2021, on the back of increased targeting by gangs and political party-affiliated perpetrators, respectively. Meanwhile, violence targeting journalists in Afghanistan remained at similar levels in 2022 to 2021 amid ongoing Taliban repression. The largest increase in violence targeting journalists was recorded in Ukraine, where ACLED records 35 such events in 2022 — an over three-fold increase compared with 2021.
Global Disorder in 2022
The State of Global Disorder in 2022 Political disorder is widespread. It manifests in diverse ways around the world, involving a range of actors that span from demonstrators and vigilante mobs to non-state armed groups and government forces. As ACLED’s efforts to track disorder have deepened and expanded, so too have the dataset’s insights into the complexity of political violence patterns.
Les opérations du groupe Wagner en Afrique
Les déploiements du groupe Wagner dans le monde Bien que le groupe Wagner figure parmi les SMP les plus connues et les plus actives au monde, de nombreux détails à son sujet restent difficiles à confirmer du fait d’une structure organisationnelle délibérément opaque.
Unrest in French Overseas Territories and Corsica
In contrast, coronavirus-related demonstrations were far more likely to turn violent or destructive across overseas territories in the Americas (see orange on the maps below). In particular, the decision to introduce a vaccine mandate for health workers drew violent opposition in November 2021, resulting in the government delaying its implementation in Guadeloupe and Martinique (France24, 26 November 2021).
Ukraine Crisis: 26 March-1 April 2022
Last week, Ukrainian forces continued counter-offensive operations in the north of the country, amid the withdrawal of Russian forces in the Kyiv and Chernihiv regions. Heavy fighting also persisted in the eastern and southern regions of the country, as Russia continued their bombardment and siege of Mariupol.
The Year in Review
Disorder increased by 5% across all regions of ACLED coverage from 2020 to 2021. This overall growth in disorder was driven by increased demonstration activity, as political violence largely held steady, with a slight decline of less than 2%. This marks the second consecutive annual decline in aggregate political violence as well as the second consecutive increase in demonstration activity.
Regional Overview: Africa8-21 May 202
During the past two weeks in Africa, dozens of civilians were killed in militant attacks within the central Sahel; pro-Palestinian demonstrations were reported across multiple countries; and Al Shabaab launched numerous explosive attacks on state forces in both Kenya and Somalia. In Nigeria, Abubakar Shekau, the leader of the Boko Haram Jamatu Ahli is-Sunnah lid-Dawatai wal-Jihad (JAS) faction of Boko Haram, was reportedly killed after detonating a suicide vest in the Sambisa Forest.
Regional Overview: Africa | 19-25 January 2020
Last week, heightened levels of demonstration activity continued on the back of ongoing nationwide anti-government demonstrations in Guinea. In the Sahel countries, militants employed contrasting tactics in their ongoing insurgency, predominantly targeting civilians in Burkina Faso and state forces in Mali. Meanwhile, Boko Haram launched attacks on civilians across the neighboring countries of Chad, Niger, Nigeria, and Cameroon.
Regional Overview: Africa | 12-18 January 2020
Last week, armed clashes and attacks on civilians fell across the continent. The most pronounced fall was recorded in Western Africa, where militant attacks in the Sahel have claimed hundreds of lives in recent weeks. In Northern Africa, a reduction in violence was also recorded in Libya, as opposing forces observed a shaky ceasefire.
Regional Overview: Africa | 15 December 2019 - 4 January 2020
Over the last three weeks, heightened militant activity has underpinned large numbers of reported fatalities in Western Africa and Eastern Africa. The Libyan conflict and a dramatic escalation of violence in Sudan’s West Darfur dominated violence in Northern Africa. Meanwhile, recent militant campaigns of violence against civilian populations continued in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
Drones and the Tribal Areas: Improving ACLED's Pakistan Coverage (2010-2018)
To download all ACLED data for the entire time period of coverage, simply click ‘export’. To download all available ACLED data for a specific time period, simply enter a date range and click ‘export’. Please be aware that ACLED covers over 80 countries, but the period of active coverage differs. For African states, all data are available from January 1st 1997 onwards. For other countries, more recent periods are available and the details for each country can be found here.
Unmasking Militancy in India: Improving ACLED's India Coverage (2016-2018)
To download all ACLED data for the entire time period of coverage, simply click ‘export’. To download all available ACLED data for a specific time period, simply enter a date range and click ‘export’. Please be aware that ACLED covers over 80 countries, but the period of active coverage differs. For African states, all data are available from January 1st 1997 onwards. For other countries, more recent periods are available and the details for each country can be found here.
Blurring the Line of Control: How Indian Public Engagement has Shaped the Kashmir Conflict
Early on 26 February, India fighter jets crossed the Line of Control (LoC) dividing India and Pakistan, allegedly launching strikes on militant targets in Pakistan (The Economic Times, 26 February 2019).[1] The attack came 12 days after a suicide attack in the Kashmir’s Pulwama district reportedly killed dozens of Indian paramilitary troopers.
Democracy in South Asia
To download all ACLED data for the entire time period of coverage, simply click ‘export’. To download all available ACLED data for a specific time period, simply enter a date range and click ‘export’. Please be aware that ACLED covers over 80 countries, but the period of active coverage differs. For African states, all data are available from January 1st 1997 onwards. For other countries, more recent periods are available and the details for each country can be found here.
Hitting the Home Front: Militant Attacks on Off-Duty Police and Military Personnel in Jammu and Kashmir
In this infographic, Asia researchers Timothy Lay, Paul Swartzendruber, and Daniela Pollmann report on militant attacks in India’s Muslim majority state of Jammu and Kashmir. Hitting the Home Front: Militant Attacks on Off-Duty Police and Military Personnel in Jammu and Kashmir Paul Swartzendruber is an Asia Researcher with ACLED.
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