Alex Valadez

Tough week overall but the turn around has begun at the tail end of the week. Back to the lab! Logan Gilbert U5.5 Ks +100 *KC avg 7.33 Ks in L3 *KC strikes out 19.5% vs RHP in L30 *3 strikeout targets Gilbert has been absolutely dealing as of late but doesn’t hit over 6 unless its one of the weaker lineups. Kansas City has become one of the better teams at making contact and I like that to continue. Take the under with confidence.

Struggles continue. Back to the lab we go! Aaron Civale U4.5 Ks +100 *CLE avg 7.67 Ks in L3 *CLE strikes out 17.4% vs RHP in L30 *2 strikeout targets Narrative aside I like the under here with Civale facing his former club. Guardians are some of the best contact lineups and I like it to continue. He struggled to finish off Tiger batters and Guardians won’t be easier.

Struggles continue – adjusting the model and getting back to the lab. Kenta Maeda O6.5 Ks -137 *DET strikes out 2nd most in L3 (11.67) *DET strikes out 24.5% vs RHP in L30 *4 strikeout targets Maeda has been a strikeout artist this season. Maeda’s away splits are superior and this Detroit lineup yielded 12 Ks yesterday. Trust the sub 2 ERA man over last two months.