I thank David Blanchflower, Amy Finkelstein, Daniel Hungerman, Shannon Monnat, Andrew Oswald, Hannes Schwandt, Jonathan Skinner, Sophie Trawalter, and seminar participants at Georgia State University for helpful discussions or comments on earlier versions of this manuscript, and the University of Virginia Bankard Fund for financial support. The views expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. Related