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Daniel Donner

  • Senior Managing Director, Guggenheim Securities
As seen in: Wiley Online Library, Yahoo News, Yahoo Sports Canada, Daily Kos, BioRxiv, Tacoma News Tribune, Idaho Statesman, Tri-City Herald, Hufvudstadsbladet, The National Memo and
Contributor at The Downballot. Data, maps, and demographics. Find me at donnermaps.bsky.social. US Politics Starter Pack: go.bsky.app/VF6EH5g
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Articles

100+ specials since Trump’s return show Democrats in good position to reclaim the House

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By Daniel Donner
| The Downballot Verified
The final legislative special election before November brought the cycle to a close in dramatic fashion on Tuesday, with Democrat Brandon Dukes flipping Pennsylvania’s 12th House District while overperforming Kamala Harris’ margin in the district by 19 points. It was also the 31st legislative flip of the cycle, all of them won by Democrats. The overall results since Donald Trump’s return to the White House show strong, consistent overperformance for Democrats similar to what we saw in 2018.
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The Downballot releases our latest House 'hexmap,' updated for redistricting

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By David Nir, Daniel Donner
| The Downballot Verified
The Downballot is pleased to present the latest update to our “hexmap” of congressional districts that shows every district as the same size. This revised version reflects the new maps adopted by 10 states since the 2024 elections. We first introduced this map, which was created by Daniel Donner, more than a decade ago to address a vexing problem.
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The Downballot's live tracker of key races for election night 2025

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By Daniel Donner
| The Downballot Verified
Welcome to election night 2025! The Downballot is pleased to present our live tracker of all of Tuesday’s top contests. To view the complete tracker, be sure to click “+ Show 75 more” at the bottom to display every race. You can also find links to several other election guides we’ve prepared at the top of the tracker. And be sure to tune into The Downballot’s livestream coverage of all the results, with G. Elliott Morris of Strength In Numbers.
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