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Articles by Daniel Rubenson
Majorité libérale à Ottawa : une dynamique nouvelle et inespérée
En avril 2025, les électeurs canadiens ont choisi l’improbable en réélisant un gouvernement libéral minoritaire, cette fois-ci sous la houlette du nouveau chef Mark Carney. Un an plus tard, grâce à leurs trois victoires aux élections partielles de lundi, ils arrachent une courte majorité pour la première fois depuis 2019.
Carney majority: Liberal victory in ‘unwinnable’ 2025 election could explain his growing support Original
A year ago this month, Canadians delivered a result that seemed impossible just a few weeks earlier: another Liberal minority government, this time under newly chosen leader Mark Carney. Now, after three byelections, the Liberals have a majority for the first time since 2019. It’s been an astonishing reversal of fortune for the Liberals. For more than two years, the Conservatives had held a comfortable advantage in the polls. Many analysts treated a Conservative victory as all but inevitable.
Half a Million Soccer Fans Show How Group Identity Shapes Behaviour
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Nathan DenetteAires. While shared nationality is a factor, most fans typically think about players in terms of their club team. (AP Photo/Mario De Fina) On Dec. 18, 2022, Argentina defeated France after penalties in what some have called the greatest World Cup final ever. For one month the attention of soccer fans from Brazil to Morocco was devoted to their national teams as the Seleção Canarinho, Atlas Lions and 30 other teams battled through the tournament in Qatar.
A study of close to half a million soccer fans shows how group identity shapes behaviour
On Dec. 18, Argentina defeated France after penalties in what some have called the greatest World Cup final ever . For one month the attention of soccer fans from Brazil to Morocco was devoted to their national teams as the Seleção Canarinho, Atlas Lions and 30 other teams battled through the tournament in Qatar. Now fans’ focus is returning to Real Madrid, Chelsea, AC Milan and other clubs, as the major domestic leagues resume matches.
Value-added and Transparent Experiments
Introduction Audit experiments are widely used in political science (Butler and Crabtree, 2021; Grose, 2021). These experiments typically take the form of an experimental subject interacting with another individual or organization, except that the second actor is a confederate of the experiment (see Butler et al., 2012), and may not be a real person at all (e.g. Butler and Broockman, 2011; Pfaff et al., 2021).
Erin O’Toole has nearly three weeks to convince Canadians he has the character to be prime minister Original
By Laura Stephenson, Allison Harell, Daniel Rubenson and Peter Loewen Wed., Sept. 1, 2021timer5 min. read Formally, Canadian elections are 338 separate elections, one in each constituency. But politically, Canadian elections are ultimately about leadership. Our leaders stand atop their parties, seemingly able to change policy on a whim and enforce a discipline envied by leaders in most other countries.
War Deaths Can Increase Support for Incumbents
Please be advised that ecommerce services will be unavailable for up to 2 hours on Saturday 5 March (12:00 – 14:00 GMT), affecting purchasing on Cambridge Core during this time. Apologies for any inconvenience. War Deaths Can Increase Support for Incumbents
What the Canadian and British election polls tell us about Donald Trump
In recent months, Canada and Britain held elections. In both cases, an unexpected result occurred. Justin Trudeau’s Liberal Party won a substantial majority of seats in the Canadian parliament. Many commentators seemed surprised by this result, having predicted a “hung parliament” where no party has a governing majority. A similar situation occurred in Britain.
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