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Articles by Ellen E. Wald
The impact of the Iran conflict on global energy markets
On Tuesday, March 10 at 2:00 p.m. ET, the Atlantic Council’s Global Energy Center and Middle East Programs will host a virtual discussion on the impact of escalating tensions in the Middle East on global energy markets. US and Israeli strikes on Iran, and Tehran’s subsequent response, have heightened tensions across the region and disrupted shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most critical energy chokepoints.
Technology and innovation pathways
Four energy deals Trump will look to make on his Middle East trip By Ellen Wald How shifting political leadership, war, and generative AI are shaping the energy outlook: Insights from the 2025 Global Energy Agenda By Landon Derentz, Christine Suh, Bailee Mathews What China’s BYD really wants from EV investments in Mexico By Haley Nelson DOGE should use AI to fix environmental review By William Yancey Brown Innovation can accelerate Southeast Asia’s energy transition By Reed Blakemore, Chase...
A united Canada must take Trump seriously and literally
We’ve spent nearly a decade now talking about how to handle Donald Trump – and whether to take him seriously, literally, or some combination of the two. No matter what Trump says, there will always be a cadre who’ll brush it off, hope to compromise, or even plan to strategically use the Republican’s threats to their own advantage. How has that been working out for us?
Canada's Conservatives can't wait to surrender to Trump
For all the money and privilege he was handed by his parents, Donald Trump’s most valuable inheritance might be his instinctive ability to detect and expose weakness in others. He’s used it to devastating effect on any number of political foes in his own country, from former opponents like Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz to his own vice-president, JD Vance.
The world is about to judge Canadian oil. Companies better shape up
Over the past decade, Canada has emerged as a global energy leader, due in large part to its growth as a reliable producer and exporter of oil and natural gas. This rapid rise has helped fuel economic growth throughout the country and reduce dependence on external energy suppliers, a fact not lost on three quarters of the Canadian people.
Despite panicked markets, Israel is unlikely to attack Iranian oil facilities
Since Iran fired over 180 ballistic missiles at Israel on October 1, speculation about Israel’s response has intensified. According to Israeli officials, the country is planning a “significant retaliation” that could target Iran’s crude oil production and export infrastructure. Iran is taking this threat seriously.
Canada’s best green hydrogen play is based in reality
The global energy industry is abuzz with hydrogen. Despite being one of the simplest elements on the periodic table, it has quickly emerged as one of the industry’s most attention-grabbing developments. The potential for “green hydrogen,” or hydrogen produced from renewable energy sources, has captured the interest of players all along the value chain — from major oil producers such as Aramco and ExxonMobil to tech startups, chemical companies, venture capital and local political leaders.
Escalating Middle East conflict means North America must bolster global energy security
In recent weeks, attacks on ships in the Red Sea have significantly raised shipping costs and caused delays for traded goods, from hospital supplies to food and clothes. Though the global energy supply is so far uninterrupted, a broader conflict in the region would mean disruptive attacks on energy and transport infrastructure, whether through Iranian naval action or Iranian proxies.
What’s behind the attacks on ships in the Red Sea
Economy & Business Energy & Environment Middle East Oil and Gas Politics & Diplomacy Trade What’s behind the attacks on ships in the Red Sea For years, a Yemen-based Islamist group called the Houthis have periodically attacked ships traversing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait at the opening of the Red Sea.
DeRussification of European natural gas imports by 55 bcm in 5 years: A three-pronged strategy to reduce, reroute, and reserve supplies
Russia’s unprovoked assault on Ukraine has triggered an unprecedented impetus for a bolder vision to defend European energy security, starting with the deRussification of the European gas market, with 35-40 percent of its supply currently coming from Russia. Natural gas supplies are less fungible than oil due to multiple factors, including pipeline and LNG infrastructure constraints and how LNG and pipeline gas is priced and sold.
Rapid Response: The future of European energy security
The Ukraine crisis has generated a level of attention on energy security that has been sorely lacking over the past decade. European dependence on Russian gas and global dependence on Russian oil is limiting Western action against Russia.
Energy Week: Episode 173 - Cali to close nuclear plant
55 min Why California is shutting down its last nuclear plant https://www.cnbc.com/2021/10/02/why-is-california-closing-diablo-canyon-nuclear-plant.html - why, if California is trying to increase clean energy while in a power crunch? - safety concerns, but the nuclear chief says that there are no safety concerns and Diablo Canyon could safely operate for 40 years?
Energy Week: Episode 170 - Is the Delta wave over? | Still 50% of offshore production offline | German Power, Carbon Rise to Record on Soaring Gas Price on Apple Podcasts
Economic Costs Accumulate as Countries Worried by Delta Variant Extend Border Closures https://www.wsj.com/articles/economic-costs-accumulate-as-countries-worried-by-delta-variant-extend-border-closures-11631387873 Is the Delta wave over? Or has it not hit the Northeast? Can we assume that economic activity and travel isn't going to go back down?
Energy Week: Episode 169 - Market sends mixed signals
Connect with our guest: https://twitter.com/GasBuddyGuy Oil steadies as Hurricane Ida weakens, OPEC+ in focus https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-rises-hurricane-ida-pounds-us-crude-patch-louisiana-2021-08-30/ Louisiana refineries slammed by Hurricane Ida https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/2248918-louisiana-refineries-slammed-by-hurricane-ida Colonial Pipeline expects to resume service after assessing Ida’s impact...
Energy Week: Episode 168 - Oil jumps, for now
48 min Oil jumps 4% on weaker dollar after seven days of losses https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/23/oil-markets-covid-dollar.html Crude Oil Surges; Rebounding After Torrid Week https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crude-oil-surges-rebounding-torrid-092802254.html - Can oil really hit $80 by the end of the year? - Last week's selloff was overdone, so oil is rebounding now. - Plenty of reasons to see demand suffering due to coronavirus - Sentiment is a real thing with the oil market.
Energy Week: Episode 164 - US will rethink policy on sanctions, sort of
42 min Oil falls as coronavirus, slower China imports hit demand https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/oil-prices-little-changed-coronavirus-floods-threaten-demand-2021-07-26/ - how much impact will floods in China actually have on demand? - and what about the teapots? their quotes are down in H2 Chinese oil companies fill void in Iraq https://www.al-monitor.com/originals/2021/07/chinese-oil-companies-fill-void-iraq - But do Chinese companies provide the quality needed?
Energy Week: Episode 163 - Dr. Dean Foreman and June MSR | Does solar create middle class jobs | European aircraft movements rising on Apple Podcasts
38 min Dr. Dean Foreman and June MSR https://www.api.org/products-and-services/statistics/apis-economic-industry-outlook - validating what we’ve seen - Urban driving activity on the gasoline side + tourism - Jet fuel demand is up, June is the strongest month so far. 4th straight month of increase for jet fuel. 8% increase from May. Still 1/5 below where it was in 2019. International travel hasn’t picked up yet. - petrochemicals: medical plastics and packing plastics demand continuing from last year.
Energy Week: Episode 161 - Pemex pipeline sets ocean ablaze
53 min More from Ryan: https://twitter.com/ryanraysr https://shor.by/insidethewarroom Connect with Ellen: https://twitter.com/EnergzdEconomy Paul Hickin with S&P Global Platts @GramscianPaul Undersea gas pipeline rupture causes fire in Gulf of Mexico https://apnews.com/article/mexico-fires-business-e6e053384af21242722f2f3fc1acb27d - PEMEX fault, not “capitalism” - Mexico actually the first country to nationalize its subsoil resources - PEMEX doesn’t maintain infrastructure well and...
Energy Week: Episode 153 - Is Covid in India going to destroy oil demand?
54 min Oil demand to buckle in India as COVID-19 surge wreaks havoc https://financialpost.com/news/oil-demand-to-buckle-in-india-as-covid-19-surge-wreaks-havoc Crude runs, oil demand feel pain as India's COVID-19 crisis hits like never before https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/042621-crude-runs-oil-demand-feel-pain-as-indias-covid-19-crisis-hits-like-never-before - Is Covid in India going to destroy oil demand?
A true Climate Emergency calls for combatting Chinese pollution with Trump-style tactics
By Ellen Wald Yesterday, the International Energy Agency (IEA) released a report warning that global carbon dioxide emissions are on track to increase by 5% this year. The organization predicts that emissions will increase by 1.5 billion tonnes and this will be the “largest single increase in more than a decade.” This sounds dreadfully scary, but a look at the actual numbers reveals that this is just hyperbole.
Greenpeace holds corporations to account, but could it be going too far?
By Ellen Wald A trio of environmentalist advocacy groups—Greenpeace, Earthworks and Global Witness—have jointly complained to the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) about advertisements from Chevron that they claim overstate Chevron’s investments in renewable energy and exaggerate its commitment to cutting pollution from fossil fuels. The environmental groups accuse Chevron of unlawfully deceptive advertisements and greenwashing.
Even Yellen must know the Global Tax Idea is absurd
By Ellen Wald In a speech to the Chicago Council on Global Affairs earlier this week, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen called for a “minimum global corporate income tax” and said the Biden administration planned to work with the G20 on this issue. Now, the Biden team claims to be working on a global floor for corporate income taxes, though this would go against the interests of most other countries.
The Ever Given reminds us that chokepoints can be choked
By Ellen Wald For over a week, the container ship Ever Given was stuck sideways in the Suez Canal. The entire canal was closed while excavators worked to free the ship, causing a backlog of over 400 vessels on both sides of the canal and spawning hundreds of bad jokes and internetmemes. Analysts surmised that everything from higher oil prices to toilet paper shortages might be blamed on this incident, though analysts are not always right (since the price of oil has actually dropped).
The Economic Case Against Vaccine Passports
By Ellen Wald We are now a year into the “15 days to slow the spread” and the lockdowns that crushed the United States and the world. The economy still has not fully recovered even in jurisdictions where government restrictions are already limited or gone. Global economic activity is still depressed, domestic air travel is down by at least 20,000 flights per day, and unemployment is higher than it was before the virus was discovered.
Energy Week: Episode 147
47 min The World For Sale, interview with authors Javier Blas and Jack Farchy Inspiration for the book? People know very little about who these commodity traders are. After 20 years covering the industry, decided to write the book about these people themselves. Tell the story of how a few commodity trading houses moved commodities and became influential in the market. Technology- today you couldn’t do what the commodity traders were doing in South Africa with oil because of satellite tracking.
U.S.-Saudi relations: Same as it ever was
By Ellen Wald Now that the Biden team is in place, there is a lot of media buzz around the idea that it is trying to “reset” or, in the words of the Biden administration itself, “recalibrate” relations with Saudi Arabia. This perceived change in policy seems tied to the Jamal Khashoggi situation. However, nothing the Biden team has done or is likely to do indicates a change in policy towards Saudi Arabia’s domestic interests.
Energy Week: Ted Cruz
25 min On this episode of Inside the War Room, Ryan Ray interview US Senator Ted Cruz. You can support the show here ->https://warroommedia.substack.com/837a6912 25 min Top Podcasts In Business News See All
After the Big Freeze, a Big Choice for Texas
By Ellen Wald As the Lone Star State faces a near-apocalyptic cold spell not seen in over thirty years, it seems that every talking head and opinionated American has a view on why Texans are freezing without power. Do these people even understand what powers Texas’s grid? Do they know that people are freezing without their electric heat pumps?
Is there no ‘Modest Proposal’ too far when it comes to Climate Change?
By Ellen Wald In 1729, British satirist Jonathan Swift recommended that poor families sell their babies as food. It was not a serious suggestion, but rather an attack on the absurd theories of the day. In 2019, an activist satirically told Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that the only way to solve climate change was to “start eating babies.” What would have happened if that activist had stood up in this winter of 2021 with such a wild idea?
Is there no ‘Modest Proposal’ too far when it comes to Climate Change? - #hottakeoftheday
By Ellen Wald In 1729, British satirist Jonathan Swift recommended that poor families sell their babies as food. It was not a serious suggestion, but rather an attack on the absurd theories of the day. In 2019, an activist satirically told Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez that the only way to solve climate change was to “start eating babies.” What would have happened if that activist had stood up in this winter of 2021 with such a wild idea?
Why Would The World’s Biggest Fund Push Carbon Credits? - #hottakeoftheday
Why Would The World’s Biggest Fund Push Carbon Credits? Wald Wednesday: Carbon credits, big finance, big oil, and big billionaires By Ellen Wald BlackRock is getting involved in financial environmental engineering.
Bitcoin can’t beat the Government, if it comes to that
By Ellen Wald New presidential administrations bring drastic policy changes, especially in a partisan era such as ours, and crypto currency may be an early victim of those changes. Janet Yellen, the newly confirmed Treasury Secretary and former head of the Federal Reserve, hinted during her confirmation hearing that addressing Bitcoin is on the Biden administration’s agenda.
What’s the deal with carbon pricing?
By Ellen Wald The American Petroleum Institute (API), the premier trade organization for oil companies in the U.S., made headlines recently when it revealed that it is considering supporting carbon-pricing policies. Many are left wondering why the API would support higher prices on oil and gas and their products, which is meant to disincentive their use? As API considers its options, here’s an explanation of what is happening. What is carbon pricing?
Redlining 2021: Banks Denying Services Based on 'Morality'
AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File A proposed regulation would make it illegal for banks to use category-based risk evaluations to deny access to financial services. Read Full Article » Show comments Hide Comments Related Articles
Energy Week: Episode 134 - Air travel down YoY
43 min Sunday was the busiest day for US air travel since the pandemic began https://www.cnn.com/travel/article/thanksgiving-travel-volume-2020-pandemic/index.html - TSA screened 1.17 million people on Sunday after Thanksgiving 2020 - TSA screened 2.8 million people on Sunday after Thanksgiving 2019 - What about gasoline?
Manage Retirement Funds For Growth, Not Personal Activism
AP Photo/Elise Amendola, File RISA plan manager can prioritize environmental or social goals with his or her own investments, but not with others' money. An E Read Full Article » Show comments Hide Comments Related Articles
Energy Week v Apple Podcasts
Epizody: 138 Ellen Wald and Ryan Ray discuss the week's events in energy, and what it all means to you. Ellen Wald and Ryan Ray discuss the week's events in energy, and what it all means to you. 05.10.2020 Episode 126 - Trump is up and so is oil | Exxon smeared by Bloomberg | Saudi's planning for $50 oil? Episode 126 - Trump is up and so is oil | Exxon smeared by Bloomberg | Saudi's planning for $50 oil?
It's Time for Candidate Biden to Clarify His Stance On Energy
It's Time for Candidate Biden to Clarify His Stance On Energy America's oil and gas production is important even to states that don't have production.
Energy Week: Episode 125 - Shale webinar
50 min Jet Fuel So Cheap, Now Being Blended For Use By Ships https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-09-20/jet-fuel-is-now-so-cheap-it-s-being-blended-for-use-by-ships - possibility that this will help eliminate jet fuel overhang in the market - Dr. Foreman from API discussed this back in August - but be careful, too much straight kerosene can lower temperature at which fuel can catch fire Oil refiners worldwide struggle with weak demand, inventory glut...
Correcting Myths On the Labor Department's ESG Rule
Ellen Wald RealClearMarkets September 11, 2020 The Labor Department is now considering new rules that address whether criteria other than financial opportunity can be used to determine the investment of ERISA funds used for private employee pensions.
Correcting the Myths On the Labor Department's ESG Rule
By Ellen Wald September 11, 2020 The Labor Department is now considering new rules that address whether criteria other than financial opportunity can be used to determine the investment of ERISA funds used for private employee pensions.
ESG May Be Popular, But It Could Hurt Your Retirement Portfolio
ESG May Be Popular, But It Could Hurt Your Retirement Portfolio If l egacy energy firms don't meet nebulous standards, investors are missing out on investing in potentially transformative technologies. Read Full Article »
Energy Week: Episode 116 - OPEC and oil prices
43 min OPEC Readies Next Move in Bid to Avoid Oil-Market Taper Tantrum https://finance.yahoo.com/amphtml/news/opec-readies-next-move-bid-230100213.html OPEC, Allies Set to Ease Oil Cuts, Anticipating Demand Recovery https://www.wsj.com/articles/opec-allies-set-to-ease-oil-cuts-seeing-pandemic-recovery-11594510347? - OPEC+ plans to increase production by 2 million bpd starting in August, but is this too much considering that other than China, oil demand isn’t normalizing.
The Oil Recovery Will Be Complicated. Here Are the 3 Stages to Expect.
By Ellen Wald Updated May 27, 2020 3:28 pm ET / Original May 27, 2020 3:20 pm ET Order Reprints Print Article Text size A crane stands on board the Nordmarlin, a crude oil tanker operated by Nord Group, off the coast of Southwold, U.K., on Friday, May 15, 2020. Photograph by Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg The price of oil has risen from last month’s lows, raising hopes that we are on track to see a simple recovery.
Energy Week: Episode 107
55 min Special Guest Texas Railroad Commissioner Christi Craddick - Meeting at 9:30 am CT (10:30 am ET). Will discuss proration. Will be first vote we will take on this issue.
Consider energy issues in Florida primary
Ellen Wald Sunday Mar 15, 2020 at 8:12 AM Guest column: Consider energy issues when voting in Florida primary. When Florida Democrats cast their choice to nominate the next presidential candidate, one of the crucial issues they need to consider is energy. Our state produces almost no fossil fuels of its own, but it depends heavily on oil and natural gas production in other states.
OPEC+ or OPEC-?
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Energy Week: Episode 98 - The Bromance is over
55 min Markets are looking for drama and Coronavirus provides it.
The United States and Saudi Arabia aren't allies. They never have been.
The New York Times recently asked Democratic candidates for president if they "still consider Saudi Arabia an ally" after the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, ongoing human rights violations and the war in Yemen. But the question is based upon a false premise: Technically, Saudi Arabia has never been an ally of the United States. The two countries have never signed a treaty or a mutual defense pact, and the relationship between them has never gone beyond a narrow partnership on select issues.
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