James Knightley on Muck Rack

James Knightley

New York
As seen in: ING Think, The London Standard, AU Investing, Flipboard, Investing Canada, Investing.com, Seeking Alpha, Financial Express, KOMO-TV (Seattle, WA), Observador, Zero Hedge and
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Articles

THINK Ahead: US jobs data and the ECB’s inflation test

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By James Knightley, Bert Colijn, Adam Antoniak
| ING Think
THINK Ahead in developed markets United States (James Knightley) Jobs Report (Thu): America will be celebrating the 250th anniversary of the signing of the Declaration of Independence next Saturday, resulting in a holiday-shortened week. Thursday’s June jobs report should also be a cause for cheer, with the fourth consecutive 100k+ reading for non-farm payrolls having averaged merely 8,500 per month between January 2025 and February 2026.
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Why we don’t think the Fed will hike rates

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By James Knightley
| ING Think
The Federal Reserve is not like other central banks Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting saw a hawkish shift in the Federal Open Market Committee’s stance. Half the committee now expects to hike rates before the end of the year, versus none back in March. The signal was enough to tip a market already leaning toward tightening: investors now fully price a 25bp hike by October and are well on their way to pencilling in a second move in early 2027.
Open in Who Shared View Duplicates (4) Issue with article?

Hawkish shift opens the door to Fed rate hikes

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By James Knightley, Padhraic Garvey Verified, Chris Turner
| ING Think
Impact reaction to the FOMC outcome was a flatter curve, led by the front end. That bit is straightforward, given the change in tone from the FOMC as a whole, and the upshift in the median dots. The 10yr yield is up, back to the 4.45% area, and rising. What’s interesting is the breakout of this, as the breakeven inflation rate fell, while the real rate rose. The aggregate rise in the 10yr yield came from a bigger pop in the real yield versus the fall in breakeven inflation.
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