Laurie Laybourn
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Articles by Laurie Laybourn
Andy Burnham must act fast on the climate – or risk getting stuck in a 'derailment' doom loop
Recent unprecedented heatwaves in the UK may have killed thousands of people. Children are suffering in overheating schools . NHS trusts are straining under record-breaking demand . This all comes after climate extremes have even affected national security, with three of Britain's five worst harvests coming since 2020 , impairing food security. This is what life looks like in the “adaptation gap”. It's the difference between the climate society is built for and the one that exists.
Environmental collapse is officially a national security threat
All this points to the political difficulties in facing up to the severity of the failure to tackle environmental degradation. Decades of warnings have been manipulated by media, politicians, and vested interests to portray environmental concerns as ‘crying wolf’. Yet in the eponymous fable, a wolf eventually comes. Environmentally, that moment is now. For example, far more damage has been done to UK food security by climate extremes in recent years than the actions of any hostile power.
‘The UK isn’t ready to survive global heating, but right-wing politicians are ready to exploit the fallout’
In October 2024, something unexpected and unsettling happened in Spain. Devastating floods tore through the Valencia region. That was expected, with climate change supercharging the risk. It’s what happened next that was shocking: there was a political backlash against climate action. The floods killed hundreds and caused billions in damage. The authorities bungled the emergency response, sparking fierce public anger. This was exploited by the far right Vox party for political gain.
Integrating tipping point concepts across diverse systems
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Abstract The concept of a “tipping point” is widely used to describe abrupt, potentially irreversible changes in complex systems - from climate subsystems to ecosystems and social dynamics. However, concerns have been raised about definitional ambiguity and conceptual overuse that may obscure rather than highlight potential systemic risk.
By Jesse F. Abrams, Laura Pereira, Viktoria Spaiser, Nico Wunderling, Sebastian Villasante, J. David Tàbara, David McKay Verified, Caroline Zimm, Manjana Milkoreit, Sara M. Constantino, Ramit Debnath, Vasilis Dakos, Paul Ritchie, Steven Smith, Juan Rocha, Sonia Kéfi, Joshua E. Buxton, Chris A. Boulton, Kai Greenlees, Sirkku Juhola, Avit Bhowmik, Lukas P. Fesenfeld, Joseph Clarke, James Dyke, Laurie Laybourn, Steven J. Lade, Ben Bampton, Timothy M. Lenton, Mia Marjanović-Abrams
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Nature
Verified
How to survive 1.5: Laurie Laybourn on his new documentary series, 'Overshoot'.
We are not ready for what’s coming. Worse than that, we’re deliberately making sure we don’t think about what’s going to be required to adapt to the climate we’ve created and is becoming clear. No amount of tax revenue will be sufficient to build flood defences high enough to prevent some towns washing away.
A ‘Doom Loop’ of Climate Change and Geopolitical Instability Is Beginning
December 09, 2024 | Source: THE CONVERSATION | by and It is a common refrain to say that geopolitics gets in the way of climate action. From the war in Ukraine to trade tensions, each year seems to bring another immediate priority that diverts focus from the imperative to act on climate change. This dynamic was on show at the recent UN climate conference – Cop29 – in Azerbaijan. Many world leaders stayed at home, busy handling political crises and conflict.
A ‘doom loop’ of climate change and geopolitical instability is beginning Original
It is a common refrain to say that geopolitics gets in the way of climate action. From the war in Ukraine to trade tensions, each year seems to bring another immediate priority that diverts focus from the imperative to act on climate change. This dynamic was on show at the recent UN climate conference – Cop29 – in Azerbaijan. Many world leaders stayed at home, busy handling political crises and conflict.
A ‘doom loop’ of climate change and geopolitical instability is beginning
Now ‘This is all pink and attractive, but we are going to die’: Anastasia Samoylova on photographing Florida’s climate anxiety CNN — Russian-born American photographer Anastasia Samoylova loves “Barbie.” Not only did she wear a hot pink suit to the opening of her own photography exhibition at the Metropolitan Museum of Art in October, she also insisted on taking her teenage son to see Greta Gerwig’s 2023 film — considering … 10 hours ago Trump Aide Won’t Answer Questions, So CNN Kicks Him Off...
Report: Climate emergencies threaten our collective security, but governments are flying blind into the storm
You probably missed it, but a few months ago a report was published that inspected how the UK government prepared for major emergencies. What it found has profound implications for the whole country.
Climate emergencies threaten our collective security, but governments are flying blind into the storm Original
You probably missed it, but a few months ago a report was published that inspected how the UK government prepared for major emergencies. What it found has profound implications for the whole country. The report was written by the UK’s public inquiry into the COVID-19 pandemic and explained how the pandemic was an example of what’s called a “non-malicious threat”.
Keeping the UK Secure in a Climate-Changed World
Matt Ince and Laurie Laybourn 10 Minute Read The new UK government faces a world being made more volatile by climate change. In response, the forthcoming Strategic Defence Review must place climate considerations at the heart of national security decision-making. The UK’s new government has been quick to signal its commitment to improving the country’s security.
Climate emergencies threaten our collective security, but governments are flying blind into the storm
You probably missed it, but a few months ago a report was published that inspected how the UK government prepared for major emergencies. What it found has profound implications for the whole country. The report was written by the UK’s public inquiry into the COVID-19 pandemic and explained how the pandemic was an example of what’s called a “non-malicious threat”.
Derailment risk: A systems analysis that identifies risks which could derail the sustainability transition
Preprints Preprint egusphere-2023-1459 Preprints https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1459 © Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1459 © Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Crisis Policies: What We Need From COP27 | Laurie Laybourn
Share Laurie Laybourn is a policy researcher and author. He leads Cohort 2040, which explores how to deepen rapid action toward a more sustainable and equitable world even as the effects of the environmental crisis get far worse. Laurie is a visiting fellow at Chatham House and at the Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, as well as an associate fellow at the Institute for Public Policy Research (IPPR).
Weaning the World off Russian Energy
The brutality of Russia’s military, the Kremlin’s leverage over NATO, and the resulting global impact of the crisis have, to a large extent, all been made possible by the fossil fuels powering Russian President Vladimir Putin’s war. Most recently, Josep Borrell, the European Union’s (EU’s) foreign policy chief, pointed out that while the EU has sent one billion dollars in aid to Ukraine, it spends roughly that same amount each day on fossil fuel imports from Russia. Read Full Article »
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