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Luke Melchiorre

As seen in: Taylor & Francis Online, The Conversation, News24, The Standard (Kenya), The Wire (India), TimesLIVE, AllAfrica, Modern Ghana, Sowetan, African Arguments and
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Articles

Museveni will win election, but the landscape has changed

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By Luke Melchiorre
| The Standard (Kenya) Verified
A street vendor beside a wall decorated with posters of Uganda’s incumbent president and NRM presidential candidate Yoweri Museveni, ahead of the 2026 Ugandan general elections, in Kampala on January 10, 2026. [AFP] On the eve of Uganda’s 2021 presidential election, it was clear that regardless of how Ugandans voted, the incumbent, Yoweri Museveni, would most likely be declared the winner.
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Uganda election: Bobi Wine remains the face of the opposition

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By Luke Melchiorre
| Echolocation
Museveni will most likely win the upcoming election i Uganda on January 15, using violence and intimidation against his opponents. The charismatic outsider and musician Bobi Wine remains the leader of the opposition, wires Luke Melchiorre from Marist College in this analysis. On the eve of Uganda’s 2021 presidential election, it was clear that regardless of how Ugandans voted, the incumbent, Yoweri Museveni, would most likely be declared the winner.
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Yes, Museveni will win, but the ground has shifted

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By Luke Melchiorre, Marist College
| zurl.co
On the eve of Uganda’s 2021 presidential election, it was clear that regardless of how Ugandans voted, the incumbent, Yoweri Museveni, would most likely be declared the winner. Amid mounting repression, accusations of vote rigging, and an internet blackout, that is exactly what transpired. Museveni was declared the winner for his sixth consecutive term in office. Five years on, that prediction could just as easily and accurately be applied to the 15 January 2026 vote.
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