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Articles by Mathias Hoffmann
Navigating climate policy shocks: How should central banks respond?
Author(s): Marco Carli | Italian Ministry of Economy and Finance Francesca Diluiso | Bank of England Mathias Hoffmann | Deutsche Bundesbank Keywords: Climate policy , monetary policy , energy prices , output gap JEL Codes: E31 , E52 , Q43 , Q58 This policy brief is based on Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper 24/2026. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the institutions the authors are affiliated with. Aoki, K.
Digital twins of the earth can take energy systems modeling to the next level
Keywords energy systems analysis Earth system digital twin uncertainty reliability validation resources adequacy assessment climate change extreme events co-design Introduction As a response to climate change, countries around the world have implemented ambitious targets for integrating renewable resources into existing electricity systems.
Dollar funding and housing markets: the role of non-US global banks
Focus House prices co-move considerably across countries. Understanding international house price synchronisation is highly policy-relevant. In most countries, housing wealth represents the largest component of household wealth and is the single most important collateralisable asset. We show that non-US global banks and their exposure to US dollar funding conditions help explain the international synchronisation of house prices.
Advancing sustainable agricultural transformation through the synergy of automated experimental platforms and living labs - Nature Communications
Transforming agricultural landscapes to be more sustainable and resilient requires integrated and multidisciplinary approaches. Linking automated experimental platforms with living labs can accelerate knowledge gain, enhance interdisciplinary collaboration, and support real-world change by addressing key challenges in current agricultural systems.
Impact of plant succession on greenhouse gas fluxes during the transition of a flooded fen peatland - Communications Earth & Environment
Abstract It remains uncertain whether and when rewetting of drained fen peatlands contributes to climate change mitigation by reducing carbon dioxide and methane emissions. Recolonization by emergent macrophytes is considered a key factor in this process. We present 5 years of carbon dioxide and methane emission data from a rewetted fen peatland in northeast Germany.
Working Paper（25-008E）Branch Banking and Regional Financial Markets: Evidence from Prewar Japan
In Japan in the 1920s, several financial crises and government policy led to bank mergers and the consolidation and expansion of branch networks. Using unique historical bank branch-level lending and deposit data, we show that branch banking integrated peripheral markets with the rest of the country, with large urban banks—those headquartered in Tokyo and Osaka—using deposit supply shocks in peripheral areas to fund lending elsewhere.
Central bank communication in times of high inflation
Consistent with the recent increase in consumer price inflation and in light of persistent or even intensifying supply shortages, the ECB’s inflation projections have been revised upwards twice since December 2021. In particular, the current-year outlook for 2022 was raised substantially from 1.7% to 3.2% in December 2021, to 5.1% in March 2022, and then to 6.8% in June 2022.
How high local public debt and local public banks crowd out private
Growing like Germany: How high local public debt and local public banks crowd out private investment – and what the debt brake has to do with it Mathias Hoffmann, Iryna Stewen, Michael Stiefel 22 May 2021 Germany’s current account surplus and corporate savings have both been increasing in the last decade. This column shows that German private investment has been low because it has been crowded out by local public bank lending to municipalities.
Banking integration in the EMU: Let’s get real!
Mathias Hoffmann, Egor Maslov, Bent Sørensen, Iryna Stewen 10 January 2019 Bank-to-bank lending in the euro area has increased, direct cross-border lending has not. The column shows that dependence on domestic banks reduces risk-sharing in a crisis, reducing GDP growth in affected country-sectors. Benefits from banking integration are only robust to global shocks if banking integration takes the form of cross-border lending to firms and households.
Disagreement and monetary policy
How disagreement in inflation expectations can influence the transmission of monetary policy Existing theoretical and empirical evidence suggests that less expansionary monetary policies lead to lower inflation and dampened inflation expectations. This column considers how the dispersion of inflation expectations can affect this relationship. The results show that an increase in the policy rate can give rise to higher inflation in the short run if professional inflation forecasts differ widely.
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