Editor's note: As you get ready for fantasy football 2026, be sure to get plenty of practice by using our Mock Draft Lobby and keep track of Mike Clay's updated projections throughout the season. Football statistics can prove hard to predict, but history continues to show that projecting touchdown regression to the mean is significantly easier than you might imagine. The 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024 and 2025 versions of this yearly report provide overwhelming evidence.