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Muyu Xu on Muck Rack

Muyu Xu

  • Oil Analyst, Kpler
Singapore
As seen in: MSN, MSN Australia, MSN Canada, MSN Money Canada, MSN UK, O Globo, Business Insider, Daily Mail, MSN España, MSN South Africa and
Oil analyst at Kpler
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Articles

Dubai still searching for a bottom as Hormuz flows recover

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By Muyu Xu
| kpler.com
The Dubai market is collapsing, with Middle Eastern crude differentials falling to levels not seen in years as oversupply fears overwhelm the market. But has the market found a floor, or is the worst still ahead? ‍ Key takeaways: Backlog clearance for crude stranded in the Persian Gulf has accelerated since the signing of the MoU, leaving only around 23 mb yet to transit the Strait of Hormuz. The remaining backlog is expected to be cleared within the next one to two weeks.
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Returning Persian Gulf barrels risk a short-term supply glut

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By Muyu Xu
| kpler.com
The collapse in the Dubai market was already underway before the US and Iran signed a draft MoU on Friday, with market attention rapidly turning to the risk of imminent oversupply. Shaky grounds indeed. Key Takeaways: The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz (SoH) could immediately release 93 mb of stranded non-Iranian crude. While ballast tankers will take time to enter the Strait, producers are expected to continue relying on STS operations to move cargoes out of the Persian Gulf for the time being.
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Why the real oil shock may only begin when China returns

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By Muyu Xu
| kpler.com
The oil market has so far avoided a full-blown supply shock through inventory drawdowns, rerouted Middle Eastern flows, higher WoS exports and refinery run cuts across Asia. But the market’s uneasy balance also rests on one often overlooked reality: China has yet to return as a major crude buyer.
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