Every new poll seems to provide support for one of two impressions of the race: one in which Hillary Clinton is pulling away toward a historic landslide, and another in which Clinton holds a lead but Donald Trump remains on the fringes of contention.
In this week's politics chat, we examine the cracks in the Democratic Party's coalition. The transcript below has been lightly edited. More Politics micah ( Micah Cohen, politics editor): The WikiLeaks dumps of hacked Hillary Clinton campaign emails have mostly been :zzz:. "Clinton Campaign Found To Be Doing Things Campaigns Do" does not a good headline make.
Want these election updates emailed to you right when they're published? Sign up here More Politics . As I wrote last week, Hillary Clinton is probably going to become the next president. But there's an awful lot of room to debate what "probably" means.
0 DAYS : 00 HOURS : 00 MINUTES : 00 SECONDS Join a live stream of Schwab's Trading Services specialists as they share their perspectives on current events, emerging market trends, and timely trade ideas. They'll even take time to answer questions submitted directly by traders like you.
I've been asked to recommend a good book on big data that's not Big Data, which I coauthored with Viktor Mayer-Schönberger (images below). It's a hard question for several reasons. First, though I'm usually brutally critical of my work, it's not a bad book.
Instead of a poll, let's start today's Election Update with some actual votes. According to the esteemable Nevada journalist Jon Ralston, Democrats have a 26-percentage-point turnout edge so far based on early and absentee voting in Clark County (home to Las Vegas), Nevada. And they have a 10-point edge in Washoe County (home to Reno).
It's tempting to say that voters have made up their minds and that the presidential vote is set. Hillary Clinton has a 6.6-percentage-point lead in the popular vote and an 87 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, according to our polls-only forecast.
Browser does not support script. Browser does not support script. Browser does not support script. Browser does not support script. Speaker(s): Nate Silver Chair: Professor Craig Calhoun Recorded on 29 April 2013 at Old Theatre, Old Building In this age of information-overload, Silver argues it is more difficult than ever to distinguish a true "signal" from the noisy universe of data.
Want these election updates emailed to you right when they're published? Sign up here More Politics . FiveThirtyEight's highest traffic often comes on the day just after major events, like debates or key presidential primaries. Everyone wants to know how those events are going to move the polls.
Muck Rack makes it simple to find people, tweets, or articles that mention any name, keyword, company, hashtag etc. We've compiled this guide to help you make the most of your search.
Selecting a term
Start searching tweets, articles from media outlets, articles mentioned in tweets, journalists'
names, titles and bios with some suggested searches:
Companies or Topics (e.g. iPhone, Microsoft)
Phrases (e.g. "cloud computing") — use quotes to keep the terms together
Twitter handles (e.g. @username) — returns those who have mentioned or replied to
Names (e.g. "David Pogue")
Hashtags (e.g. #sxsw, #london2012)
Bio details (e.g. vegan, Olympics, father)
Muck Rack's Advanced Search allows for many boolean operators.
Find results that mention multiple specified terms, use AND or
+. For example, ensure each result contains both Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg by
searching Obama AND Romney or Obama + Romney.
Use the operators OR or , to broaden your search when you'd like either of
multiple terms to appear in results. (This is the default behavior of our search when no operators
are used.) For example, search for democrat OR republican to find results that refer to
Democrats and/or Republicans.
Use NOT or - to subtract results from your search. For
example, searching Disney will yield results about the Walt Disney Company as well as Walt Disney
World Resort. To exclude mentions of Disney World, search for Disney -World or Disney
When using one of these operators with a phrase, enclose it in quotation marks. For example, you can
find results about smartphones excluding Apple's iPhone 4S by searching smartphone -"iPhone
Use parentheses to separate multiple
boolean phrases. For example, to find journalists talking about having fun in Disney World or
Disneyland, search for ("disney world" OR disneyland) AND fun.
An asterisk can be used to search for any variation of a root word truncated by the asterisk. For example, searching for admin* will return results for administrator, administration, administer, administered, etc.
A near operator is an AND operator where you can control the distance between the words. You can vary the distance the near operation uses by adding a forward slash and number (between 0-99) such as strawberries NEAR/10 "whipped cream", which means the strawberries must exist within 10 words of "whipped cream".