Editor-in-Chief, @FiveThirtyEight. Author, The Signal and the Noise (http://amzn.to/QdyFYV). Sports/politics/food geek.

Why Obama Might Be Trump’s Biggest Challenge

fivethirtyeight.com — In this week's politics chat, we talk about President Obama and his role in the 2016 election. The transcript below has been lightly edited. More Politics micah ( Micah Cohen, politics editor): This chat comes to you live from the lobby of the Aloft Philadelphia Airport hotel.

Was The Democratic Primary A Close Call Or A Landslide?

fivethirtyeight.com — Hillary Clinton will officially become the Democratic nominee for president this week, at which point we'll finally close the chapter on the 2016 primaries. But when we look back on the 2016 race, how should we think of it, as a close call or as a blowout?

The Worldwide Leader in Sports

espn.com — Visit ESPN to get up-to-the-minute sports news coverage, scores, highlights and commentary for NFL, MLB, NBA, College Football, NCAA Basketball and more.

The Worldwide Leader in Sports

espn.com — Visit ESPN to get up-to-the-minute sports news coverage, scores, highlights and commentary for NFL, MLB, NBA, College Football, NCAA Basketball and more.

The Worldwide Leader in Sports

espn.com — Visit ESPN to get up-to-the-minute sports news coverage, scores, highlights and commentary for NFL, MLB, NBA, College Football, NCAA Basketball and more.

July 18: New Polls, but Little Change in Horse Race

fivethirtyeight.com — Polls from major news organizations, including The New York Times, have a lot going for them. They make a real effort to take a true random sample of Americans - including the substantial number of Americans who rely exclusively on cellphones. They usually have strong standards of disclosure and transparency.

Trump gets convention bounce, drawing polls to dead heat

abc11.com — This article originally appeared on FiveThirtyEight and is reprinted with permission. The first few polls conducted after last week's Republican convention suggested a small to medium convention bounce for Donald Trump, with Hillary Clinton holding on to narrow leads in several surveys. But a series of polls released Monday morning show bigger gains for Trump.

Trump gets convention bounce, drawing polls to dead heat

abc30.com — This article originally appeared on FiveThirtyEight and is reprinted with permission. The first few polls conducted after last week's Republican convention suggested a small to medium convention bounce for Donald Trump, with Hillary Clinton holding on to narrow leads in several surveys. But a series of polls released Monday morning show bigger gains for Trump.

Trump gets convention bounce, drawing polls to dead heat

6abc.com — This article originally appeared on FiveThirtyEight and is reprinted with permission. The first few polls conducted after last week's Republican convention suggested a small to medium convention bounce for Donald Trump, with Hillary Clinton holding on to narrow leads in several surveys. But a series of polls released Monday morning show bigger gains for Trump.

Trump gets convention bounce, drawing polls to dead heat

abc7.com — This article originally appeared on FiveThirtyEight and is reprinted with permission. The first few polls conducted after last week's Republican convention suggested a small to medium convention bounce for Donald Trump, with Hillary Clinton holding on to narrow leads in several surveys. But a series of polls released Monday morning show bigger gains for Trump.
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Jul 27, 2016

We have some thoughts here about Obama's impact on the campaign. Probably still Democrats' biggest asset.  http://53eig.ht/2aKPY0B 

Jul 27, 2016

You can get a small-to-medium, Trump-sized convention bounce by moving undecided "leaners" into your column. Lots of undecideds this year.

Jul 27, 2016

With that said, Trump's convention bounce is meh by historical standards. Seems larger because he was gaining on Clinton before conventions.

Jul 27, 2016

Lesson seems to be that you can get a convention bounce even with a mediocre convention.  https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/758348257764503552 

Jul 27, 2016

I seriously wonder if Trump's going especially nuts because the DNC is getting better TV ratings than the RNC.

Jul 27, 2016

I wonder if Biden makes the full-throttle, Trump-unfit-for-office case tonight.

Jul 27, 2016

Sanders coalition is unusual too. Not just "liberal Democrats". In fact, many aren't Democrats. More leftist than liberal. Many new voters.


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