Baseball’s hardest question is not whether a team is winning, it is whether we should believe it. Photo by Sung Shin on Unsplash The Nationals were supposed to be rebuilding. Most projection systems viewed them as roughly a 65- to 68-win team entering the season, one of the weaker outlooks in baseball. Instead, they have spent much of the first two months hovering around .500 behind one of the league’s best offenses. The clubhouse already looks further along than expected.