Padhraic Garvey on Muck Rack

Padhraic Garvey

Verified
New York
As seen in: ING Think, AU Investing, Flipboard, Investing Canada, Investing.com, Seeking Alpha, MENAFN, bne IntelliNews, Asia Financial, Markets Media, Finno Expert
ING's Regional Head of Research, Americas
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Articles

Rates Spark: UK political risk closely tied to inflation outlook

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By Michiel Tukker, Padhraic Garvey Verified
| ING Think
Download Sterling markets remain sensitive to inflation risks, which means any near-term fiscal spending initiatives would have a significant upward impact on GBP rates. The impact of spending further out in the future should be more muted.
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Here’s why Colombia does not need to hike rates

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By Padhraic Garvey Verified
| ING Think
Here are some of the pushes and pulls BanRep is dealing with Before Banco de la República (BanRep) embarked on its latest rate-hiking spree, we sent out this note. It highlights key inputs such as the 24% minimum-wage announcement, a series of 2025 downgrades, a lurch into the BB credit-rating zone, and a heavy re-funding requirement (the 5.5% area for the fiscal deficit). Fast-forward through 2026, the congressional elections have come and gone, resulting in policy stasis. This is not great.
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Rates Spark: Lower despite the ECB’s hawkish holdouts

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By Padhraic Garvey Verified, Benjamin Schroeder, Michiel Tukker
| ING Think
Download Rates markets remain in bullish mode, given a benign energy price backdrop, tech stock narratives to worry about, and even data with a whiff of macro weakness Padhraic Garvey, CFA, Benjamin Schroeder and Michiel Tukker The ECB's Isabel Schnabel has stated that “as things stand, [the ECB] will have to raise interest rates further." Such calls are starting to ring hollow with market participants, however Treasury yields headed lower on a whiff of macro weakness The US 10yr Treasury...
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