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Articles

River channel change can affect flood hazard and impact substantially

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By Laurence Hawker, Stephen Darby, Louise J. Slater, Daniel Parsons, Richard J. Boothroyd, Philip Ashworth, Hannah Cloke, Pauline Delorme, Solomon Gebrechorkos, Helen V. Griffith, Yukiko Hirabayashi, Julian Leyland, Yinxue Liu, Stuart J. McLelland, Jeffrey Neal, Andrew Nicholas, Greg Smith, Chris Sampson, Ellie Vahidi, Michel Wortmann, Dai Yamazaki
| Nature Verified
Abstract More than one billion people are exposed to flood risk globally, with this number projected to double by 2050. Global flood models underpin risk assessment and adaptation planning, yet typically assume that river bankfull capacity corresponds to a fixed two-year return period, neglecting spatial and temporal variability in channel characteristics.
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A high-resolution daily global dataset of statistically downscaled CMIP6 models for climate impact analyses - Scientific Data

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By Louise J. Slater, Georgina Bennett, Richard J. Boothroyd, Pauline Delorme, Laurence Hawker, Jeffrey Neal, Andrew J Tatem, Daniel Parsons, Solomon Gebrechorkos
| Nature Verified
Abstract A large number of historical simulations and future climate projections are available from Global Climate Models, but these are typically of coarse resolution, which limits their effectiveness for assessing local scale changes in climate and attendant impacts.
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