Peter Turchin on Muck Rack

Peter Turchin

Connecticut, Vienna
As seen in: The Waterstones Podcast, Bloomberg Businessweek, Bloomberg News, Nature, The Guardian, Memory Studies, PLOS, The Atlantic, Triple j, Entrepreneur and
Cliodynamics, Social and Cultural Evolution Project Leader, Complexity Science Hub, Vienna Blog: peterturchin.substack.com/
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Articles

Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

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By Peter Turchin
| Substack
Arthur Berman, commenting on my generally positive review of China’s well-being variables, wrote I believe China’s more positive trajectory is founded on cheap, imported oil and natural gas supply. The Ukraine and now Iran energy shocks produce a massive vulnerability for China. The global supply chain and trade disruptions from the Iran War will have grave effects on China’s future economic immiseration.
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Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

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By Peter Turchin
| Substack
China's Collapse Is Not Imminent In my previous blog, Well-being and Immiseration in Contemporary China, I reviewed a spectrum of quantitative proxies for well-being (and it’s opposite, immiseration), including economic, biological, and psychological variables. It is impressive how much agreement there is between these indicators. And that they all show dramatic improvements in the quality of life in China since 1978 (when Deng Xiaoping assumed supreme power).
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Cliodynamica by Peter Turchin

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By Peter Turchin
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As paying subscribers may remember, last year I polled you about which contemporary state you’d like to see analyzed from the structural-demographic point of view. The clear verdict was: China. No worries, I haven’t forgotten about this promise. For a variety of reasons, this work was delayed somewhat, but my team has been plugging at it, and we will eventually have a full report.
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