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Articles by Robert Scott
Farmer Focus: Cover crop grazing stalls lamb growth
I signed off 2023 with a downbeat article forecasting an agricultural depression. While I still maintain this as we batten down the hatches, I am trying to start the new year with a cheerier mindset. Firstly, NFU Sugar has done a superb job of agreeing a sugar beet price without going to arbitration. This was followed by Defra ringing in 2024 with the welcome announcement of an uplift to environmental payments, and a raft of other new actions.
The Vandals are Coming! by Alison Cooper
"No, you'll have to go somewhere else. I'll be late for bible study." She slammed the door, so he navigated the brambles that had invaded the alleyway behind the houses and peed on the compost heap that the vandals had mounted to drop into their garden. Mr. Whitaker didn't want to build a new fence, he said, and it hadn't been very charitable of Mr. Ching to put one up without telling him. It blocked the sun and now those ruffians were targeting him, a God-fearing Christian, instead.
Farmer Focus: Farming episodes of doom and gloom
I wondered if I’d jumped the gun by drilling spring barley so early in February. My mind was put at ease with 105mm of rain falling consistently from our Norfolk skies throughout March, limiting further land work. I recall my neighbour telling me when I first returned to the farm, “always seize a weather opportunity”. His words have been ringing in my ears for the past month, and especially over the Easter weekend when we had two rare days of dry weather.
Farmer Focus: First fertiliser is 15 days earlier than last year
Spring has nearly sprung and the favourable February weather has allowed us to get ahead with the early-season work. By 4 March, we had planted 230ha of spring malting barley and got our first dose of nitrogen applied to all crops – 15 days ahead of last year. See also: Can we continue to grow milling wheat at under 13% protein? A quarter of our spring barley has been drilled with our Horsch Avatar, directly into cover crops that were sprayed off early.
The Limits of Recognition
1 For example, Bruce Robbins describes Felski’s project as moving literary scholarship “closer to fandom, a profession that is closer to the industry’s dollars-and-cents metric and its rhetoric of helpful and largely positive advice to the would-be consumer” (372). Likewise, Robert T.
Variation in morphology among populations of threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) from western Newfoundland, Canada.
New Results doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2022.09.08.507156 Abstract Freshwater populations of threespine stickleback (Gasterosteus aculeatus) have diverged from their marine ancestor and show extensive variation among populations throughout most of their range. However, phenotypes of freshwater populations from the east coast of North America does not appear to demonstrate extensive variability observed throughout the rest of the species' range.
Measuring performance When a management procedure, including the HCR, is evaluated with MSE many hundreds of projections with uncertainty, or replicates, are run where each replicate has a different realisation of the uncertainty. To fully understand the performance of the management procedure it is necessary to consider all the replicates together.
With sky-high gas prices, Ford has a political opening
Ontarians have been waiting for four years for Ford to deliver on his promise to cut gas taxes by 5.7 cents per litre The collective blood pressure of Ontario taxpayers surged recently as gas prices hit record levels across the province. In large part, hardworking taxpayers can blame the federal government for soaring costs. For the first time ever, gas prices in Ontario crossed the $1.50 per litre threshold. A family that took their minivan and sedan to fill up for the workweek faced a $200 bill.
US supply chain shortages and the consequences of globalization run amok
It's been a dizzying summer for the nation. Wildfires, floods and power outages have hit while Americans are trying to dig out from the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Complicating things are shortages of everything from lumber and steel to consumer goods and automobiles. These supply chain disruptions are the unfortunate result of America's over-reliance on a complex global web of imports.
National View: Congress must start now to rebuild US economy
Right now, millions of Americans are grappling with the devastating economic impact of the COVID-19 crisis. More than 22 million jobs have disappeared in the wake of the pandemic. It’s expected that the nation won’t see employment return to early 2020 levels until late 2025. More than 30 million workers have been hurt by the Coronavirus recession, including 12.6 million officially unemployed.
Update: BNSF closures, Amtrak bus connections continue in Pacific Northwest
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Winter weather hits BNSF hard in the Northwest
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Will Natural Gas Recover from Its Three-Year Low?
Natural gas and energy stocks On June 4, the natural gas July futures rose 0.5% from the lowest closing level in three years and settled at $2.416 per MMBtu (million British thermal units). On June 4, Gulfport Energy (GPOR) and Antero Resources (AR) rose 7.9% and 5.2%, respectively. They were the outperformers among natural gas–weighted stocks. Will natural gas recover? In the trailing week, natural gas prices have fallen 6.5%. Going forward, natural gas supplies could rise.
Oil Is Close to Entering the Bear Market
S&P 500 Index makes oil’s fall worse On June 3, US crude oil prices fell 0.5% and settled at $53.25 per barrel. Since May 24, US crude oil active futures have fallen 9.2%. On May 24–June 3, the S&P 500 Index (SPY) fell 2.9%. More trade war concerns have dragged the equity market. The fall in the equity market is making oil’s fall sharper. Oil is a growth-driven asset.
Oil Is Heading for the Second-Highest Weekly Loss in 2019
Oil Is Heading for the Second-Highest Weekly Loss in 2019 More Energy Portfolio: Analyzing the Broader Market's InfluenceOil dragged energy stocks lowerOn May 30, US crude oil July futures fell 3.8% and settled at $56.59 per barrel—the lowest closing level for active US crude oil futures since March 8. A
Oil Is Heading for the Second-Highest Weekly Loss in 2019
31 May Oil dragged energy stocks lower On May 30, US crude oil July futures fell 3.8% and settled at $56.59 per barrel—the lowest closing level for active US crude oil futures since March 8. A 0.3% rise in the S&P 500 Index (SPY) didn’t support oil prices. In the trailing week, US crude oil active futures fell 2.3%. On average, our list of oil-weighted stocks fell 2.6%. Callon Petroleum (CPE) and Carrizo Oil & Gas (CRZO) fell 8% and 6.6%. They were the underperformers among oil-weighted stocks.
Will Weakness in Natural Gas Continue Next Week?
Natural gas dragged energy stocks On May 30, natural gas July futures fell 2.9% to $2.547 per MMBtu (million British thermal units). Inventory data could be behind the fall in natural gas prices. On the same day, Southwestern Energy (SWN), Antero Resources (AR), and Gulfport Energy (GPOR) fell 6.5%, 6%, and 5.6%, respectively, and were underperformers among natural-gas-weighted stocks.
Cabot Oil & Gas: What Do Wall Street Analysts Recommend?
Analysts’ recommendations Among the 30 analysts tracking Cabot Oil & Gas (COG), according to data compiled by Reuters, 50% have given it “buys,” 43% have given it “holds,” and only 7% have given it “sells.” On May 15, JPMorgan Chase reduced its target price on COG by $1 to $29. On May 14, BMO increased its target price on COG by $1 to $31. On May 24, COG closed at $25.70. Stock prices defied weak energy commodities in May In May so far, COG has fallen just 0.7%.
US Crude Oil Heading for Highest Weekly Loss in 2019
US Crude Oil Heading for Highest Weekly Loss in 2019 More Oil and Broader Market Dragged the Energy PortfolioOil dragged energy stocks lowerOn May 16, US crude oil June futures fell 5.7% and settled at $57.91 per barrel—the biggest daily decline for active US crude oil futures since December 24. A 1.2%
US Crude Oil Heading for Highest Weekly Loss in 2019
Oil dragged energy stocks lower On May 16, US crude oil June futures fell 5.7% and settled at $57.91 per barrel—the biggest daily decline for active US crude oil futures since December 24. A 1.2% fall in the S&P 500 Index (SPY) due to rising trade war tensions might have made oil prices fall sharper. In the trailing week, US crude oil active futures fell 8.2%. On average, our list of oil-weighted stocks fell 11.8%. California Resources (CRC) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL) fell 23.9% and 21.3%.
Southwestern Energy: Analysts' Recommendations and Key Drivers
Analysts’ recommendations Among the 28 analysts tracking Southwestern Energy (SWN), according to data compiled by Reuters, 7% recommended a “buy,” 68% recommended a “hold,” and 25% recommended a “sell.” On May 16, UBS increased its target price on Southwestern Energy by $0.2 to $3.8. On May 22, Southwestern Energy’s stock prices closed at $3.77. Stock prices fell Since Southwestern Energy’s first-quarter earnings results, the stock prices have fallen 7.1%.
Oil Prices: Will the Risk Premium Evaporate?
Oil Prices: Will the Risk Premium Evaporate? More Oil Prices: Will the Risk Premium Evaporate?Oil prices and broader market divergedOn May 21, US crude oil July futures fell 0.1% and settled at $63.13 per barrel despite a 0.8% gain in the S&P 500 Index (SPY). Based on the API’s data on May
Oil Prices: Will the Risk Premium Evaporate?
Latest articles The cannabis space has been under pressure in May amid weakness in broader equity markets. Supreme Cannabis has lost 5.5% in May. Analysts expect Best Buy’s revenue to rise 0.3% to $9.1 billion and adjusted EPS to increase 4.9% to $0.86 in the first quarter of fiscal 2020.
Will Oil Continue to Rise This Week?
20 May US crude oil last week Last week, US crude oil June futures rose 1.8% and closed at $62.76 per barrel on May 17—the first weekly gain since April 19. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) fell 0.8% last week. The fall in the broader market might have limited oil’s upside despite rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Will oil rise continue this week? At 5:15 AM EST on May 20, US crude oil prices rose 0.4% from the closing level last week. Earlier on May 20, US crude oil prices were 1.7% higher.
How Broader Markets Affected Oil Last Week
13 May US crude oil last week Last week, US crude oil June futures fell 0.5% and closed at $61.66 per barrel on May 10. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) fell 2.2% last week. The fall in broader market might have dragged oil prices despite a decrease in weekly US crude oil supplies. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email. What’s Next?
Oil Heading for Flat Weekly Close
10 May Oil and energy stocks diverging On May 9, US crude oil June futures fell 0.7% and settled at $61.7 per barrel. A 0.3% fall in the S&P 500 Index (SPY) might be behind the fall in oil prices. In the trailing week, US crude oil active futures fell 0.2%. However, our list of oil-weighted stocks on average rose 3.9%. Earnings expectations around energy stocks might be behind the divergence.
Chesapeake Energy's Q1 Earnings Disappoint Investors
8 May Chesapeake’s earnings On May 8, Chesapeake Energy (CHK) reported an adjusted net loss of $0.02 per share for the first quarter of 2019 compared to earnings of $0.21 per share in the previous quarter and analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.14 per share. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email.
Is May Ideal for Oil Bulls?
US crude oil On May 6, US crude oil prices rose 0.5% and settled at $63.5 per barrel—6.1% below the highest closing level for active US crude oil futures since October 31, 2018. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email. Is May ideal for oil? So far in May, US crude oil prices have fallen ~2.3%.
Denbury Resources Stock Falls in the Wake of Its Q1 Earnings
Denbury’s earnings On May 7, Denbury Resources (DNR) reported an adjusted net income of $0.1 per diluted share for the first quarter of 2019, on par with both the previous quarter and analysts’ consensus estimate. Its earnings remained constant despite a 7.5% fall in WTI active futures on a sequential basis in the last quarter. Natural gas prices fell 23.1% in the same period.
Will US Crude Oil Hold $60?
6 May US crude oil last week On April 26–May 3, US crude oil June futures fell 2.1% and closed at $61.94 per barrel on May 3. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) rose 0.2% last week. Profit-booking and weekly US crude oil supplies making a new record high of 12.3 MMbpd (million barrels of oil per day) for the week ending April 26 might have dominated oil prices last week. Will US crude oil hold $60? At 6:52 AM EST on May 6, US crude oil prices have fallen 74 cents from the closing level last week.
Are New Short Positions Building over Oil?
29 Apr US crude oil last week On April 18–26, US crude oil June futures fell 1.2% and closed at $63.3 per barrel. On April 26, US crude oil prices had the third-highest one-day decline in 2019. Profit-booking and concerns about President Trump’s demand for OPEC to raise the oil output and lower oil prices might be behind the sharp fall in oil.
Will Natural Gas Rise This Week?
29 Apr Natural gas last week On April 18–26, natural gas active futures rose 1.8%. The fall in natural gas production and short covering helped natural gas to close at $2.58 per MMBtu (million British thermal units) on April 26—3.6% above the lowest closing level since June 8, 2016. Natural gas on April 29 At 6:42 AM EST on April 29, natural gas active futures were almost unchanged. The winter storm in April might support the recovery in natural gas during trading.
What Might Impact US Oil Exports in the Coming Days?
Brent-WTI spread On April 22, Brent crude oil June futures settled ~$8.5 higher than the WTI crude oil June futures. On April 15, the spread was at ~$7.6. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email.
Are Oil Bulls Back?
22 Apr WRITTEN BY Robert Scott FEATURED IN Commodities US crude oil last week On April 12–18, US crude oil June futures rose 0.1% and closed at $64 per barrel. Profit-booking and concerns surrounding possible production cut extensions into the second half of the year dominated oil prices last week.
Why Apache’s Earnings May Halve in Q1 2019
Apache’s earnings Apache (APA) is set to announce its first-quarter results on May 1. Analysts expect its adjusted EPS to fall ~52% sequentially in the quarter. Meanwhile, they expectConocoPhillips’s (COP) and Occidental Petroleum’s (OXY) earnings to fall 24% and 38.5% sequentially, respectively.
Letter: Kudos for a fixed pothole
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Will Natural Gas Keep Plunging?
Natural gas On April 17, natural gas prices fell 2.1% and settled at $2.517 per MMBtu (million British thermal unit)—the lowest closing level for active natural gas futures since June 8, 2016. In the trailing week, natural gas futures plunged 6.8%. During this period, forecasts of warmer weather dragged natural gas prices.
Will Natural Gas Recover from Its Two-Month Low?
Natural gas prices On April 16, natural gas May futures fell 0.8% and settled at $2.57 per MMBtu (million British thermal units)—the lowest closing level for active natural gas futures since February 7. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email. Natural gas prices recover In the trailing week, natural gas prices fell 4.7%.
Will Oil Extend Its Gains following China's Latest Data Release?
Oil prices Today at around 10:56 AM EDT, US crude oil May futures were $0.16 higher than their last closing price. Today, US crude oil active futures made an intraday high of $64.61, the fifth-highest level for US crude oil since November 2018. Ready to put your morning scrolling to use? Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email.
What to Expect from ConocoPhillips' Q1 Earnings
Oil prices and ConocoPhillips’ earnings ConocoPhillips’ (COP) adjusted EPS might fall ~24% in the first quarter on a sequential basis based on analysts’ consensus estimate for an adjusted EPS of $0.86. During the same period, Brent crude oil prices fell 6.9% on a sequential basis—an important factor that might drag ConocoPhillips’ earnings.
Has Oil Lost Its Uptrend?
US crude oil On April 15, US crude oil prices fell 0.8% and settled at $63.4 per barrel. Profit-booking and concerns about a possible extension of the OPEC and non-OPEC production cut into the second half of 2019 have dragged oil prices. OPEC and non-OPEC supply cuts impacted oil’s recent uptrend.
Will Oil Trend Lower This Week?
15 Apr US crude oil last week On April 5–12, US crude oil May futures rose 1.3% and closed at $63.89 per barrel—1.1% below the highest closing level for US crude oil active futures since November 2018. Sign up for Bagels & Stox, our witty take on the top market and investment news, straight to your inbox! Whether you’re a serious investor or just want to be informed, Bagels & Stox will be your favorite email. The S&P 500 Index (SPY) rose 0.5% last week—a bullish factor for oil prices.
What Hurt Natural Gas This Week?
12 Apr Natural gas On April 11, natural gas May futures fell 1.3% to $2.66 per MMBtu, just 0.8% above their lowest closing level since February 20. In the trailing week, natural gas futures rose 0.8%. In the trailing week, forecasts of cooler weather helped natural gas prices to rise. However, on April 11, the EIA reported a rise of 29 Bcf (billion cubic feet) in the natural gas inventories level.
Why US Oil Exports Might Slow Down
Brent-WTI spread On April 8, Brent crude oil June futures settled ~$6.7 higher than WTI crude oil May futures—the lowest level for the spread since August 21, 2018. On April 1, the spread was at ~$7.4. In the past five trading sessions, Brent crude oil June futures have risen 3%—1.6 percentage points less than the rise in WTI or US crude oil May futures. During this period, the United States Brent Oil ETF (BNO) rose 3%—1.5 percentage points less than the rise in the United States Oil ETF (USO).
What Could Impact Natural Gas on March 29?
29 Mar WRITTEN BY Robert Scott FEATURED IN Commodities Natural gas on March 28 On March 28, natural gas May futures fell 0.3% to $2.71 per MMBtu—the lowest closing level for active natural gas futures since February 21. The draw in natural gas inventories was just below Reuters’ poll for the week ending March 22. However, the outage at Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas export terminal in Louisiana could be the main reason behind natural gas’s decline.
Analysts Have Mixed Opinions on AbbVie in March
Analysts’ recommendations and target price Wall Street analysts expect a potential upside of 15.38% for AbbVie (ABBV) based on the company’s closing price on March 27. Analysts revised the company’s target price downward from $94.18 in January to $92.18 in February and then reiterated its target price of $92.18 in March.
Can US and China Iron Out Differences to Make Trade Deal?
US-China trade talks resume US-China trade talks restarted today after US (SPY) trade representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin arrived in Beijing. This round is a part of the ongoing negotiations between the two sides to end a trade war that has been going on for months. China making unprecedented offers Yesterday, Reuters reported that Chinese (FXI) officials have made unprecedented offers to the US regarding forced technology transfers.
ExxonMobil Stock Has Risen 16% in Q1
ExxonMobil stock So far, ExxonMobil (XOM) stock has risen 15.5% in the first quarter. We’ll discuss ExxonMobil’s stock performance compared to the oil price changes and equity market movements in the first quarter. Oil prices and equity markets In the first quarter, West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices have risen 26.9%. Oil prices have increased due to production cuts being implemented by OPEC. The prices are being supported due to the possibility of OPEC’s production cuts extending beyond June.
Will Natural Gas Recover from Its One-Month Low?
Natural gas prices On March 26, natural gas May futures fell 0.8% and settled at $2.75 per MMBtu (million British thermal units). On the same day, natural gas prices closed at the lowest level since February 22. Will natural gas recover from its one-month low? In the trailing week, natural gas prices fell 4.2%. The outage at Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas export terminal in Louisiana and the forecast for warmer weather might have dragged natural gas prices.
What Could Impact Natural Gas on March 26?
On March 25, natural gas May futures rose just 0.3%. The outage at Cheniere Energy’s Sabine Pass liquefied natural gas export terminal in Louisiana and weather forecast data that suggested warmer weather for the next two weeks have limited the upside in natural gas prices. Based on the weather forecast on March 25, the total degree days for the next two weeks moderated from 247 on the previous day to 225, according to Refinitiv data.
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