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Articles by Austin Carson
Scaling Laws: Live from Ashby: Taking a Long View on AI Governance with Austin Carson and Caleb Whitney
Kevin Frazier hangs out with Caleb Watney of the Institute for Progress and Austin Carson of SeedAI at the Ashby Workshops to discuss the long-run policy foundations needed for the AI Age. Rather than focusing on near-term regulation, the conversation explores how AI challenges existing assumptions about state capacity, research funding, talent pipelines, and institutional design.
Racial Tropes in the Foreign Policy Bureaucracy: A Computational Text Analysis
Hostname: page-component-7bb8b95d7b-nptnm Total loading time: 0 Render date: 2024-09-09T08:47:36.268Z Has data issue: false hasContentIssue false Published online by Cambridge University Press: 02 August 2024 Austin Carson [Opens in a new window] , Eric Min [Opens in a new window] and Maya Van Nuys [Opens in a new window] Show author details Keywords Racismracebureaucracyforeign policytext as datamachine learningarchival researchimplicit biasperceptionintelligence Type Research Article...
Donald Trump
August 1, 2024 Does China Prefer Harris or Trump? Why Chinese Strategists See Little Difference Between the Two Wang Jisi, Hu Ran, and Zhao Jianwei
America Has Long Treated Aging Leaders Differently-and So Might Other Countries Treat Biden or Trump
At age 81, U.S. President Joe Biden is objectively old, but what was striking about his June 27 debate with former U.S. President Donald Trump was just how old he looked and sounded. In the weeks since, Biden’s unsettling performance has triggered a political crisis within the Democratic Party.
The Missing Escalation in Ukraine Original
Since the moment Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the specter of escalation has loomed over the war. For Ukrainian citizens and soldiers, the war is a grueling, horrific, daily reality that has already escalated in notable ways; in August, Kyiv ramped up strikes in Russia, and Moscow has resumed its campaign against Ukrainian grain exports through the Black Sea.
The Missing Escalation in Ukraine
Since the moment Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the specter of escalation has loomed over the war. For Ukrainian citizens and soldiers, the war is a grueling, horrific, daily reality that has already escalated in notable ways; in August, Kyiv ramped up strikes in Russia, and Moscow has resumed its campaign against Ukrainian grain exports through the Black Sea.
9/14/23 National Security News and Commentary
Quotes of the Day: "Only the guy who isn't rowing has time to rock the boat." - Jean-Paul Sartre "Balance your thoughts with action. — If you spend too much time thinking about a thing, you'll never get it done." - Bruce Lee "The one who tells the stories rules the world." - Hopi Proverb Announcement: The OSS Society's William J. Donovan Award® Dinner, the preeminent annual gathering of the US intelligence and Special Operations communities, will be held in Washington, DC, on October 21, 2023.
Guest column: Now is the time to plan for the future of Houston's tech economy
Houston-area energy tech startup Syzygy Plasmonics is helping businesses and other organizations get a handle on greenhouse gas emissions. Syzygy just released a free online tool at CarbonModel.com that enables users to calculate the greenhouse gas emissions and emission-reduction costs in as little as 60 seconds.
The Paradoxes of Escalation in Ukraine
Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a paradox about escalation has emerged. The West carefully avoids certain kinds of involvement—such as sending Kyiv MiG fighter jets, setting up no-fly zones, and putting boots on the ground—for fear that it will provoke a greater war with Moscow. But Western countries do supply Ukraine with sophisticated artillery and intelligence targeting Russian officers and ships.
The Paradoxes of Escalation in Ukraine
Sign in and save to read later Print this article Share on Twitter Share on Facebook Get a link Page url Request Reprint Permissions Since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, a paradox about escalation has emerged. The West carefully avoids certain kinds of involvement—such as sending Kyiv MiG fighter jets, setting up no-fly zones, and putting boots on the ground—for fear that it will provoke a greater war with Moscow.
7/29/22 National Security News and Commentary
Informal Institute for National Security Thinkers and Practitioners Quotes of the Day: 1. RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE CAMPAIGN ASSESSMENT, JULY 28 (Putin's War) 2. China's Xi warns Biden over Taiwan, calls for cooperation 3. The Changing Face of Insurgency 4. Sir Stephen Lovegrove speech at CSIS, Washington DC 5. Russia attacks Kyiv area for the first time in weeks 6. Biden and Xi Conduct Marathon Call During Time of Rising Tensions 7.
U.S. Elections
The Year of Elections Has Been Good for Democracy But the Biggest Test Will Come in America
Rye Revival –
November 1st, 2021 Mixology Once overshadowed by Bourbon, rye whiskey is now in the cocktail spotlight. A popular spirit in the U.S. prior to Prohibition, rye is once again gaining the spotlight. The Her Majesty (pictured) from Fable Lounge in Nashville puts a rye twist on the traditional Sherry Cobbler cocktail. (Photo by Mandy Reid) With the Bourbon boom dominating the whisk(e)y conversation for years now, other whiskies—perhaps especially Bourbon’s close cousin rye— are oft-overlooked.
Roundtable 12-8 on In the Shadow of International Law: Secrecy and Regime Change in the Postwar World.
Researching covert action is not easy. States pursue such operations to influence events without revealing their handiwork. Doing this successfully requires limiting the number of officials in the know, and enforcing secrecy measures to avoid leaving an incriminating paper trail. The documentary record is deliberately porous as a result, which complicates any effort to test theories about the logic of covert action.
Why Tipping Is A Broken System For Restaurant Workers-and Owners
Austin Carson, co-owner of Restaurant Olivia. Photo by Joni Schrantz Eat and Drink Restaurant Olivia’s Austin Carson speaks out on pay equity in the hospitality industry. By Austin Carson • November 2, 2020 The world needs actors and artists and students—those individuals who often find periodical work in the restaurant industry—just as it needs doctors and dentists, chefs and restaurateurs. Do you know what else the world needs? Heather Morrison, and those like her.
Govt Execs Must Be ‘Brave, Bold and Benevolent’ to Hasten AI Adoption
Hundreds of technology experts from the public and private sectors, as well as academia, came together earlier this month for NVIDIA’s GPU Technology Conference to discuss U.S. federal agency adoption of AI and how industry can help.
US Lawmakers Encourage ‘Massive Investment’ in AI
The upcoming election isn’t the only thing on lawmakers’ minds. Several congressional representatives have been grappling with U.S. AI policy for years, and their work is getting closer to being made into law. The issue is one of America’s greatest challenges and opportunities: What should the U.S. do to harness AI for the public good, to benefit citizens and companies, and to extend the nation’s prosperity?
Analysis | Holding Syria accountable for chemical attacks will be tough without sharing intelligence
A chemical weapons confrontation is escalating in Syria, after an international watchdog agency concluded this month that Damascus used chemical weapons, lied to investigators and violated its commitment to dismantle its chemical weapons arsenal. Syria has 90 days to respond — or face a referral to the U.N. Security Council for possible punishment.
Secrets in Global Governance
Scholars have long argued that transparency makes international rule violations more visible and improves outcomes. Secrets in Global Governance revises this claim to show how equipping international organizations (IOs) with secrecy can be a critical tool for eliciting sensitive information and increasing cooperation.
Roundtable 11-13 on Global Data Shock: Strategic Ambiguity, Deception, and Surprise in an Age of Information Overload | H-Diplo | ISSF
In an age of information overload, H-Diplo/ISSF roundtables help you decide which books to add to your reading list and which to leave aside. Robert Mandel’s Global Data Shock is itself a book about information overload, and it does provide readers with a lot of information. For a book about strategic ambiguity, deception, and surprise, however, it may or may not be surprising that the experts in intelligence affairs gathered together here offer ambivalent reviews.
When Dissent Is the Only Choice: A Response to 'Intelligence and Public Dissent'
Joshua Rovner’s insightful response to my post on politicization by a loyalist director of national intelligence (DNI) focuses on the issue of public dissent. Rovner and I share many concerns about who President Trump may seek to install as DNI. However, he takes issue with my claim that, under the Trump presidency, public departures by past DNIs from the White House’s messaging have been valuable.
When Dissent Is the Only Choice: A Response to 'Intelligence and Public Dissent'
Published by The Lawfare Institute in Cooperation With Joshua Rovner’s insightful response to my post on politicization by a loyalist director of national intelligence (DNI) focuses on the issue of public dissent. Rovner and I share many concerns about who President Trump may seek to install as DNI. However, he takes issue with my claim that, under the Trump presidency, public departures by past DNIs from the White House’s messaging have been valuable.
Government Experts Take On Critical AI Issues at GTC DC
Influential leaders and industry experts will give an inside look at AI policy matters at GTC DC, the largest AI conference in Washington, from Nov. 4-6. Key topics to be focused on include the national AI strategy, cybersecurity, healthcare, workforce training and diversity.
The Dangers of a Loyalist Director of National Intelligence
Editor’s Note: The acting director of national intelligence, Joseph Maguire, distanced himself from the Trump administration’s rhetoric during congressional testimony this past week as he defended the actions of the whistleblower who filed a complaint regarding President Donald Trump’s communications with the Ukrainian government. His predecessor, former Senator Dan Coats, also proved to be professional and unbiased director of national intelligence.
The Dangers of a Loyalist Director of National Intelligence
Editor’s Note: The acting director of national intelligence, Joseph Maguire, distanced himself from the Trump administration’s rhetoric during congressional testimony this past week as he defended the actions of the whistleblower who filed a complaint regarding President Donald Trump’s communications with the Ukrainian government. His predecessor, former Senator Dan Coats, also proved to be professional and unbiased director of national intelligence.
Analysis | After the Saudi oil attack, will the U.S. and Saudis start a war with Iran? Here are 3 things to know.
Over the weekend, Saudi oil facilities were attacked, in the latest oil-related skirmish in the Middle East this year — leading some observers to fear that this could escalate dangerously. Initially, Houthi rebels in Yemen claimed credit for the attack. Since then, the Trump administration accused Iran of conducting the attacks, and the Saudi government stated Iranian weapons were involved — all of which Tehran denies. This politically explosive blame game could end in war.
Analysis | The Trump administration is revealing U.S. intelligence operations. Is it revealing too much?
Every administration faces tension between credibility and protecting sources — but it’s especially sharp for Trump. U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo speaks to reporters at the State Department on June 13. (Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg) By Allison Carnegie and June 20 This week, the Trump administration wielded U.S. intelligence in heated international discussions — and as a result, will face a dilemma going forward.
The Spotlight's Harsh Glare: Rethinking Publicity and International Order
Albright, David, and Brannan, Paul. 2008. The Al Kibar Reactor: Extraordinary Camouflage, Troubling Implications. ISIS Report, Institute for Science and International Security, 12 May. Available at <http://www.isis-online.org/publications/syria/SyriaReactorReport_12May2008.pdf>, accessed 5 March 2018. Alt, James E., Calvert, Randall L., and Humes, Brian D.. 1988. Reputation and Hegemonic Stability: A Game-Theoretic Analysis. The American Political Science Review 82 (2):445–66. Bailey, Jennifer L. 2008.
Analysis | Russia and the U.S. just defused a potential crisis in Syria — and showed us how to back away from a war
Last week, mainstream media reported that dozens of Russians died fighting U.S.-backed Syrian forces. Let that sink in. Reporters attributed the casualties to a U.S. airstrike, raising the possibility of a direct and deadly Russian-American clash. At a minimum, it tells us that the creeping internationalization of the Syrian civil war has reached a new and dangerous level. But both Moscow and American officials were quick to clarify that those killed in the Feb.
Austin Taylor Carson - www.chronicle-tribune.com: Frankfort Times
Austin Taylor Carson, 27, of Frankfort, passed away on Tuesday, Aug. 8, 2017, in South Dakota while on a much anticipated motorcycle trip with his dad. He was born on April 10, 1990, in Frankfort to Daniel and Sherrie (Taylor) Carson. He was a 2008 graduate of Frankfort High School and earned his Associate’s Degree in 2011 from Indiana-Purdue University Fort Wayne. He had been employed at Federal Mogul in Frankfort as a manufacturing engineer for 2 ½ years.
Austin Taylor Carson - www.chronicle-tribune.com: Frankfort Times
Posted: Friday, August 11, 2017 6:00 am Austin Taylor Carson Austin Taylor Carson, 27, of Frankfort, passed away Tuesday, Aug. 8, 2017. Services are pending at Archer-Weston Funeral & Cremation Center. Visit archerweston.com for the full obituary. An online service is needed to view this article in its entirety. You need an online service to view this article in its entirety. Choose an online service. Current print subscribers Need an account? Create one now.
Trump and Covert Operations in Syria: A Not-So-Artful Deal?
The Washington Post recently reported that President Donald Trump decided to terminate American covert aid to Syrian rebels fighting against Bashar al-Assad.
Getting Back to the Future of Policy - Morning Consult
If you imagine the future as pollution, crime, technology run amok, or worse, I wouldn’t blame you. Popular movies and books about the future are almost always dystopian. That isn’t necessarily bad; imagining the negative helps us avoid it. But we’ve become so focused on averting the bad we’ve forgotten how great the future could be — and how we’re already getting there. When policy work is about avoiding dystopia, everyone on the other side of an issue presents an existential threat.
Obama used covert retaliation in response to Russian election meddling. Here’s why.
This past weekend, The Washington Post published a new account of the Obama administration’s struggle to respond to Russian covert activity during the 2016 election — and new details on the intelligence and internal debate about retaliation. One fascinating revelation is that the White House did not simply punish Russia symbolically by expelling “diplomatic” personnel. It also fought fire with fire via a covert, retaliatory cyber operation.
The Logic for (Shoddy) U.S. Covert Action in Syria
By most accounts, America’s efforts to covertly train and supply moderate rebels in Syria aren’t going so well. Apart from the obvious (Assad is still firmly entrenched in power and continuing to receive ever-growing external support), The New York Times recently reported that some arms provided by the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and Saudi Arabia haven’t quite reached their intended targets.
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