Holly Fuong
New York
Analytics, animals, basketball. Former: Data editor @FiveThirtyEight, intern @okcthunder. @Columbia @E3BColumbia PhD. @UCLA alum. she/her
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Articles by Holly Fuong
Do Americans agree with Trump on abortion?
Test your knowledge of public sentiment on abortion, IVF and more. ByKatie Marriner, Kaleigh Rogers, and Holly Fuong During the 2022 midterm elections, abortion proved to be a defining issue, and many Democrats are banking on it remaining one in the 2024 election. Just this morning, former President Donald Trump announced his own plan on how he would handle abortion as president. But where exactly do Americans stand on this divisive issue now, and how might it impact their vote come November?
Can you guess where Americans stand on abortion?
Test your knowledge of public sentiment on abortion, IVF and more. For decades, many Americans considered abortion a settled debate. From 1992 to 2020, anywhere from 23 to 39 percent of adults didn’t consider it a major voting issue, according to regular polling from Gallup. But in June 2022, when the Supreme Court overturned the constitutional right to abortion in its ruling on Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, that all changed.
Where do Republican voters stand ahead of the New Hampshire primary? Original
With Ipsos, we asked likely primary voters about candidates and key issues. ByHolly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, and Nathaniel Rakich January 18, 2024, 11:41 AM The best-laid plans of politicians and pollsters often go awry. Thursday night was supposed to be the sixth debate of the Republican presidential primary, and three candidates were originally lined up to participate: former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley.
Where do Republican voters stand ahead of the New Hampshire primary?
Canadian Press Videos Some New Hampshire Democrats will show Biden support with write-in vote in primary President Joe Biden's name will not be on New Hampshire's primary ballot, but his supporters are determined to write in his name when they cast their votes next week to register their support. (Jan.
Where Do Republican Voters Stand Ahead Of The New Hampshire Primary?
Share of likely Republican primary voters who said each issue was among the most important to determining their primary vote The top {{ top_n }} issues are shown. Other issues are {{ other_issues }}. Respondents could select up to three issues from a list of 20, with additional options for “something else” and “don’t know.” Next, we presented likely Republican primary voters with a list of 20 issues and asked them to pick up to three that would be most important in determining their vote.
College-Educated Voters Aren't Saving Nikki Haley - Yet
Despite her surge in the primary polls, she is still well behind Trump. Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley is having a moment. At 11 percent nationally and 30 percent in New Hampshire, she is polling higher than ever in the Republican presidential primary and has arguably eclipsed Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as the main alternative to former President Donald Trump.
College-educated voters aren't saving Nikki Haley - yet
Despite her surge in the primary polls, she is still well behind Trump. ByLeah Askarinam, Cooper Burton, Holly Fuong, and Mary Radcliffe January 10, 2024, 4:40 PM Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley is having a moment. At 11 percent nationally and 30 percent in New Hampshire, she is polling higher than ever in the Republican presidential primary and has arguably eclipsed Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as the main alternative to former President Donald Trump.
College-educated voters aren't saving Nikki Haley - yet
Former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley is having a moment. At 11 percent nationally and 30 percent in New Hampshire, she is polling higher than ever in the Republican presidential primary and has arguably eclipsed Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as the main alternative to former President Donald Trump. And, not surprisingly, it looks like the group of Republicans who were slowest to accept Trumpism are driving Haley's rise: college-educated voters.
What issues will matter most to Hispanic voters in 2024? Original
Here’s where they stand on immigration, the environment, abortion and more. ByMonica Potts and Holly Fuong December 22, 2023, 10:43 AM Are Hispanic voters shifting to the right? It's a question that's dominated the last few election cycles. Even as Democrats maintain an overall advantage with Hispanic voters, Republicans have slowly made gains, especially in key states like Florida.
High suburban turnout may be the new norm
We took a detailed look at who turned out to vote in five states in 2023. ByTia Yang, Mary Radcliffe, and Holly Fuong December 21, 2023, 12:56 PM "It will all come down to turnout" is an oft-ridiculed cliche in election circles. But there's some truth to it: In a highly polarized political environment like the one we're in, election results may be determined more by changes in turnout patterns than by changes in partisan preference.
Who won the fourth Republican debate? Original
538 partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll Republican voters. ByHolly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, and Nathaniel Rakich December 7, 2023, 3:11 PM The fourth Republican presidential primary debate was marked by tense, personal exchanges between individual candidates — and it looks like viewers very much took sides. According to new polling data from 538, The Washington Post and Ipsos, Florida Gov.
Who will win the fourth Republican debate?
On Wednesday evening in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, Republicans will hold their fourth presidential primary debate — and as is now tradition, 538 has partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to conduct a poll of likely Republican primary voters both before and after the debate to see how they react to it and whether it changes their minds about any of the candidates. Click here to see the full results .
Who will win the fourth Republican debate?
538 partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll Republican voters.
Who Will Win The Fourth Republican Debate?
We’re partnering with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll voters before and after the candidates take the stage. On Wednesday evening in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, Republicans will hold their fourth presidential primary debate — and with only four candidates on stage, it will be less crowded than ever. Will that provide an opportunity for one candidate to stand out more? Or do the debates’ declining viewership mean nothing the candidates say can meaningfully affect the campaign?
Why is Biden losing support from people of color?
ABC7 New York 24/7 Eyewitness News Stream THE LOOP | NYC Weather and Traffic Cams WATCH LIVE Welcome, Your Account Log Out ByLeah Askarinam, Holly Fuong and Mary Radcliffe Friday, December 1, 2023 2:00AM President Joe Biden is struggling in the polls one year before voters will decide whether to give him a second term in the Oval Office. And it's the Americans who were most supportive of him at the beginning of his term that have turned on the president the most.
Why is Biden losing support from people of color?
His numbers among Black, Hispanic and Asian Americans have reached a new low. ByLeah Askarinam, Holly Fuong, and Mary Radcliffe November 30, 2023, 5:00 PM President Joe Biden is struggling in the polls one year before voters will decide whether to give him a second term in the Oval Office. And it's the Americans who were most supportive of him at the beginning of his term that have turned on the president the most.
Who won the third Republican debate?
538 partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll Republican voters. ByHolly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, and Nathaniel Rakich November 9, 2023, 3:01 PM Republican voters thought former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley turned in the strongest debate performance on Wednesday night, while businessman Vivek Ramaswamy’s rubbed many voters the wrong way. But when it comes to whom they might vote for, the debate doesn’t seem to have changed many voters’ minds.
Who will win the third Republican debate?
538 partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll Republican voters. ByHolly Fuong, Aaron Bycoffe, and Nathaniel Rakich November 8, 2023, 9:42 AM As we did for the first and second primary debates, 538 is partnering with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll likely Republican primary voters both before and after the debate to see how they reacted to it and whether it changed their minds about any of the candidates. Click here to see how they felt going into the debate.
Who Won The Third Republican Debate?
Republican voters thought former U.N. Ambassador Nikki Haley turned in the strongest debate performance on Wednesday night, while businessman Vivek Ramaswamy’s rubbed many voters the wrong way. But when it comes to whom they might vote for, the debate doesn’t seem to have changed many voters’ minds. That’s based on the findings of a new 538/Washington Post/Ipsos poll, conducted using Ipsos’s KnowledgePanel late Wednesday and early Thursday, right after the debate.
Voters under 30 are trending left of the general electorate
They could make a difference for Democrats in 2024 — if they bother to vote. ByMonica Potts and Holly Fuong October 23, 2023, 3:34 PM Voters under the age of 30 have largely been part of the Democratic camp since former President Barack Obama won two-thirds of them in 2008. That same age group may have helped put President Joe Biden over the top in 2020, and assisted Democrats in broadly overperforming expectations in the 2022 midterms.
Opinion Today
Americans' Weak Economic Ratings Slip Further in SeptemberLydia Saad, Gallup Americans’ already negative assessments of the U.S. economy have become slightly worse in September, both in their perception of current economic conditions and their outlook for the economy’s direction.
Who Won The Second Republican Debate?
We partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll voters before and after the candidates took the stage. It was hard to crown a winner after Wednesday night’s chaotic Republican primary debate, as the candidates seemed more interested in talking over each other than answering the questions they’d been asked. So maybe it’s not surprising that the debate didn’t seem to change many voters’ minds.
The biggest differences between Republican primary voters and the general electorate
Tomorrow night, seven GOP candidates will debate in California. Their task is a complicated one: to set themselves apart from President Donald Trump while making themselves appealing to voters who largely still support him. To woo those Republican primary voters, these candidates may end up taking some positions that put them outside the mainstream of public opinion — which could hurt them if they wind up making it onto the general election ballot next year.
The biggest differences between Republican primary voters and the general electorate
Tomorrow night, seven GOP candidates will debate in California. Their task is a complicated one: to set themselves apart from President Donald Trump while making themselves appealing to voters who largely still support him. To woo those Republican primary voters, these candidates may end up taking some positions that put them outside the mainstream of public opinion — which could hurt them if they wind up making it onto the general election ballot next year.
Who Will Win The First Republican Debate?
We’re partnering with Ipsos and The Washington Post to poll voters before and after the candidates take the stage. Wednesday is the biggest day of the 2024 presidential race so far. Eight candidates will take the stage in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, for the first Republican primary debate. Chances are good that something will happen tonight that will be touted as a potential game-changer in the race: a viral moment, a particularly withering attack line, an out-of-nowhere tour de force.
Which Super Bowl Halftime Show Had The Most Star Power?
17 hours ago Rihanna will make her long-awaited return to live music this weekend at Super Bowl LVII. This is a thrilling development to 99.999 percent of the 110-plus million people who are expected to watch the game. The other 0.0001 percent is made up of Stephen A. Smith and Texas congressman Ronny Jackson, …
How We’re Improving Our NBA Forecast For 2022-23
Ever since we introduced a depth charts-based method for keeping track of NBA rosters in our NBA forecast model, one of its biggest recurring criticisms — from those outside the ranks of Boston Celtics haters, that is — has been that the playing-time projections are just off for certain teams and players. That’s fair: Though we’ve done our best to apportion the 240 individual minutes available on each team per regulation game, the results have not always been completely precise.
Humera Lodhi
Humera Lodhi is an associate visual journalist at FiveThirtyEight.
Do Democrats And Republicans Agree On Anything About Climate Change And Immigration?
This article is part of our America's Issues series. The last few weeks have been tumultuous for the issues of climate change and immigration. Record-setting summer temperatures, historic floods and devastating hurricanes have raised the stakes for the climate-change provisions contained within the Inflation Reduction Act. Meanwhile, Republican governors in Florida and Texas have attracted media attention for paying to transport migrants and asylum seekers to liberal areas of the country.
May 17 Primary Elections: Live Updates And Results
Americans are really concerned about political extremism and polarization. In our recent FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos poll, 29 percent of respondents highlighted it as...
It Can Already Take Weeks To Get An Abortion
Last week, Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt signed a law outlawing abortion in the state. If it isn’t blocked by the courts, the legislation — which has no exceptions for rape or incest — would be one of the harshest measures to become law at a time when anti-abortion lawmakers are all but competing with each other to pass new restrictions. But in a sense, Oklahoma legislators who want to end abortion don’t have much more to do in their state.
How Popular Is Joe Biden?
An updating calculation of the president's approval rating, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. KEY ESTIMATE 95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE Jan. 21, 2021May 19Sept. 14Jan. 10May 8Sept. 3Dec. 30April 27Aug.
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