James Smith on Muck Rack

James Smith

  • Market Economist and Contributor, ING Think
London
As seen in: ING Think, The New York Times, Daily Mail, The Guardian, The Independent (UK), Daily Express, Good Food, Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health, JSTOR Daily, Flipboard, Investing.com and
Economist at @ING_economics
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Articles

THINK Ahead: Why an AI bust wouldn’t stop at tech

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By James Smith
| ING Think
Why an AI bust wouldn’t stop at tech We economists aren’t exactly renowned for calling stock market crashes. Collectively, we’ve probably predicted ten of the last two bear markets, which is almost as impressive as our record on recessions… Markets may not be our patch, but the fallout from a big sell-off is.
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A Bank of England rate hike in July can’t be ruled out

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By James Smith
| ING Think
A June rate hike no longer looks likely Our view on the Bank of England has shifted over recent weeks. Six weeks ago, at the Bank’s April meeting, it felt as though officials were edging closer to a rate hike. While policymakers looked notably more reluctant to tighten policy than their counterparts at the European Central Bank, most were also working off a more benign energy scenario than our own base case at a time when sentiment around the Middle East crisis remained fragile.
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Webinar: War, oil, and stagflation – The central bank stress test

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By Carsten Brzeski, James Knightley, James Smith
| ING Think
If central banks were hoping for clarity on the Middle East by their June decisions, they’re likely to be left bitterly disappointed. Energy prices are down but the Strait of Hormuz remains far from open. Inflation is climbing and with every passing day, supply chains become ever more disrupted. Yet economies, particularly in Europe, are starting to show the strain. The case for rate hikes is far from clear-cut.
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