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Maxim Lott

New York
As seen in: Maximum Truth Newsletter, Apple Podcasts, Yahoo News, Fox News, Journal of Automated Methods and Management in Chemistry, New York Post, News.com.au, Substack, Fox Business, Reason, The Herald Sun and
WH Domestic Policy Council. Fmr exec producer for John Stossel. Creator of maximumtruth.org/, ElectionBettingOdds.com & TrackingAI.org:
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Articles

Election Betting Odds

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By Maxim Lott
| electionbettingodds.com
Election Betting Odds By Maxim Lott and John Stossel Why This Beats Polls | Odds from Betfair, Smarkets, PredictIt, Polymarket, Kalshi | How People Bet Hover over candidate pics to see market breakdown. Hover over underlined titles for amount bet. Chance of...
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Election betting odds react to the 2025 election results

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By Maxim Lott
| Substack
Some observations on last night’s off-year elections in New Jersey and Virginia: The betting markets have adjusted to the Democratic sweep last night Democrats won last night across the board, and bettors quickly updated their 2026 predictions accordingly.
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By the Numbers: Has Federal Action in DC Reduced Crime?

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By Maxim Lott
| Maximum Truth Newsletter
In August, President Trump sent the National Guard to DC. He also invoked an emergency law to federalize control of DC’s police force for one month. Arrests, and federal prosecutions, also rose. Did that have an impact on crime? I haven’t seen anyone else analyze that, so I pulled up the numbers. Below, the gray lines show cumulative DC homicides in 2024. The blue lines show the same for 2025, up until August 11. The green lines show what happened after National Guard deployment on August 11.
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