Canada’s climate record is a study in contrasts. We possess the technology, policy frameworks, and public support to lead the way in decarbonization—yet our progress remains uneven and fragile. According to a new analysis from the Institut de l’énergie Trottier (IET), national greenhouse gas emissions are likely to fall only 20 to 25% below 2005 levels by 2030—barely half the federal target. It’s a sobering reality, but not a reason for defeatism. Instead, it’s a roadmap for where to act next.