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Articles by Andrew O'Neil
Political View: Greater accountability and better financial management needed
Disheartening news has recently emerged from our Cabinet and Finance Officers. The so-called “balanced budget” of this February now predicts a £8.9 million deficit by the end of the fiscal year, writes Reform UK councillor Andrew O’Neil. At the recent All Member Briefing and Financial Stability Working Group meetings, Members learnt that the vital, statutory provision of Children’s and Young People’s Services has been ineptly mismanaged.
An AUKUS ultimatum for Australia over Taiwan risks backfiring on Washington
A weekend report in the Financial Times that US Under Secretary of Defence for Policy Elbridge Colby has been privately pushing Australia and Japan for pre-commitment to support the US in a future Taiwan Strait contingency have raised serious challenges for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese during his much-anticipated visit to China.
'An incomplete project': Australians' views of the US alliance
Description As Australia adapts to an altered security landscape, it is more important than ever to look beyond the headlines to understand views and access ideas from across the nation on how strategic policy can and should evolve. The alliance with the United States remains the single most important element in Australia’s approach to managing strategic change in the Indo-Pacific.
Support Pacific neighbours by strengthening indigenous food systems
Across the island states of the Pacific, indigenous food systems have been shaped and refined over centuries to make the most of bountiful natural resources without exhausting them. The exchange of fish and crops is the heartbeat of the Melanesian food system and is deeply embedded in the history, culture, and identity of its people.
Log-jam in the Indo-Pacific economic policy space
In a region that has over the years seen the emergence of multiple forums and agreements with an economic dimension – ASEAN, ASEM, APEC, RCEP, TPPA, CPTPP – the Indo-Pacific Economic Framework for Prosperity (IPEF) could easily join, as one tweet put it, this Asian alphabet soup. The question is whether IPEF, launched in May this year, would complement or instead displace existing regional economic institutions.
Making Indo-Pacific Alliances Fit for Deterrence
As great-power competition intensifies, the role of deterrence and the potential for escalation have taken on renewed importance in the security calculations of Australia and other U.S. allies. How to manage deterrence and escalation is an inherently political question. For deterrence to be effective, allies have to find ways to agree and credibly commit to what they are willing to do for each other. And nowhere is this more important than in relation to the role of U.S. nuclear weapons.
Making Indo-Pacific Alliances Fit for Deterrence
Related Topics: deterrence,Deterrence Strategy,nuclear proliferation,world war ii,US allies,cold war,Nuclear Disarmament,nuclear warfare,Nuclear Weapon,U.S.,Indo-Pacific,Indo-Pacific Strategy
Making Indo-Pacific alliances fit for deterrence
Making Indo-Pacific alliances fit for deterrence As great-power competition intensifies, the role of deterrence and the potential for escalation have taken on renewed importance in the security calculations of Australia and other US allies. How to manage deterrence and escalation is an inherently political question. For deterrence to be effective, allies have to find ways to agree and credibly commit to what they are willing to do for each other.
The pact: a view of AUKUS from Canberra
As far as audacious moves in global strategic affairs go, the Australia-UK-US (AUKUS) security pact is hard to beat. Shrouded in secrecy until it was announced simultaneously by the respective leaders, AUKUS is directed against an increasingly aggressive China, but has had the short-term effect of triggering what one French analyst describes as ‘one of the worst inter-allied crises in living memory’.
Sharpening deterrence
“If you want peace, prepare for war.” The idea that states can avoid war by strengthening their military is attractively simple, and the advice, attributed to Roman author Vegetius, has proved enduringly popular. In modern strategic lingo, it’s embodied in the buzz word “deterrence”. Deterrence assumed centre stage in Australia’s ground-breaking 2020 Defence Strategic Update.
High hopes and hot air on climate change
Amid a very bad week for news about Covid-19, there was a long-awaited ray of hope about climate. Within an hour of US President Joe Biden’s opening to the Virtual Leaders’ Summit on Climate, there was new optimism – but no certainty – that catastrophic global climate change might be averted.
An interim government would bring ruin to Afghanistan
The Afghan government is fighting for survival as external and internal actors exploit its weaknesses in preparation for a US exit. The latest US initiatives to bring “a responsible end” to the Afghan war will likely have the opposite effect, pushing the Afghan government closer to a knife’s edge.
Education, Perceptions, and Delivery: Factors Shaping the Perceived Role in the Pre-Exposure Prophylaxis (PrEP) Care Continuum Among a Sample of Osteopathic Medical Students
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A 'No-First-Use' Doctrine Would Undermine U.S. Nuclear Deterrence
Related Topics: Nuclear Posture Review (NPR),No First-Use Policy,nuclear weapons,Nuclear Deterrence,US Foreign Policy,Biden administration,U.S. Navy,Nuclear Weapons Policy,world war ii,U.S.,Nuclear Weapon
A “No-First-Use” Doctrine Would Undermine American Nuclear Deterrence
By Andrew O'Neil & Stephan Fruhling January 21, 2021 (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert ) And Australia should make clear to the Biden administration any such commitment is not in the interests of allies. Given the widespread relief accompanying Joe Biden’s transition to the White House, it seems churlish to start picking apart his policy agenda. Yet, there are grounds for concern about how the incoming administration will reshape U.S. nuclear weapons policy over the next four years.
A “No-First-Use” doctrine would undermine American nuclear deterrence
Given the widespread relief accompanying Joe Biden’s transition to the White House, it seems churlish to start picking apart his policy agenda. Yet, there are grounds for concern about how the incoming administration will reshape US nuclear weapons policy over the next four years.
Why a First Strike Option on North Korea is a Very Bad Idea
The prospect of South Korean and North Korean athletes marching together under a “unification” flag at this month’s Pyeongchang Winter Olympics signifies a brief respite in tensions rather than being a genuine thawing on the Korean peninsula. After an initial surge of optimism in response to Pyongyang’s decision to accept Seoul’s offer to march as one Korea, reality has started to bite with the mechanics of implementing the deal.
Partners in deterrence
Book Information Format: eBook ISBN: 978-1-5261-5071-4 Publisher: Manchester University Press Published Date: July 2021 BIC Category: US Politics, POLITICAL SCIENCE / Geopolitics, POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General, HISTORY / Military / Nuclear Warfare, Society & social sciences / Geopolitics, c 1945 to c 2000 (Post-war period), Nuclear Weapons, The Cold War Description From Truman to Trump, US administrations have regarded allies as important in supporting America's...
Partners in deterrence
Book Information Format: Hardcover ISBN: 978-1-5261-5072-1 Pages: 256 Publisher: Manchester University Press Price: £80.00 Published Date: July 2021 BIC Category: c 1945 to c 2000 (Post-war period), US Politics, POLITICAL SCIENCE / Geopolitics, POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General, HISTORY / Military / Nuclear Warfare, Nuclear Weapons, The Cold War, Society & social sciences / Geopolitics Description From the dawn of the atomic age to today, nuclear weapons have been central...
Nuclear Deterrence and the U.S.–Australia Alliance | RealClearDefense
Speaking at the Hudson Institute in Washington two weeks ago, Defence Minister Linda Reynolds affirmed Australia’s readiness to play a more active role in supporting U.S. deterrence in the Indo-Pacific. Her remarks come at a time when the United States is demanding more burden-sharing from its allies, fiscally and strategically.
Nuclear deterrence and the US–Australia alliance | The Strategist
Speaking at the Hudson Institute in Washington two weeks ago, Defence Minister Linda Reynolds affirmed Australia’s readiness to play a more active role in supporting US deterrence in the Indo-Pacific. Her remarks come at a time when the United States is demanding more burden-sharing from its allies, fiscally and strategically.
Don’t leave business out of Olympic planning
MOST ordinary Australians love sport, but politicians are especially captivated by mega-sporting events. The prospect of cutting ribbons on major infrastructure projects, rubbing shoulders with sporting royalty, and the halo effect of “Team Australia” exercises a special attraction for political elites at all levels of government.
Cara Therapeutics: Wait For A Better Entry Opportunity
Introduction Cara Therapeutics is a small-cap biotech stock specializing in treating both acute and chronic pain management. In addition, the company is also focused on treating individuals with pruritus, a side effect of many diseases like chronic kidney disease, which causes individuals to develop painful itches. 20 million individuals with pruritus are treated with prescription drugs every year.
Business Researchers, Have You Helped Society Lately?
Australia recently adopted a new method to assess the impact and engagement of academic researchers. This change has forced the nation’s universities to rethink the ways they incentivize their faculty’s scholarship. David Grant and Andrew O'Neil • July 01, 2019 Image from iStock In Australia, the overwhelming majority of research is publicly funded, but with the government research dollar shrinking, verifying the return on investment in research has increasingly become the name of the game.
Businesses still feel hangover effect of 2018 Commonwealth Games, say Griffith University researchers
Queenslanders are all too familiar with the promised economic benefits of hosting a Commonwealth Games. A government report forecasted a $1.7 billion boost to the Gold Coast economy and over 1 million visitors who would spend more than $870m in Queensland. But in phase two of our research project on the impact of the 2018 Commonwealth Games (GC2018) on Gold Coast businesses, we are finding many of the operators we’ve interviewed did not do as well as expected.
Why the Quad Won’t Ever Be an Asian NATO | RealClearDefense
The most recent meeting of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit in Singapore last November suggests that the U.S., India, Japan and Australia regard the initiative as a geostrategic multiplier in the Indo-Pacific. Despite the evident convergence, there have been few signs of a genuine renewal of the Quad’s purpose since it was resuscitated in 2017 after a decade-long hiatus.
Why the Quad won’t ever be an Asian NATO
Why the Quad won’t ever be an Asian NATO The most recent meeting of the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit in Singapore last November suggests that the US, India, Japan and Australia regard the initiative as a geostrategic multiplier in the Indo-Pacific. Despite the evident convergence, there have been few signs of a genuine renewal of the Quad’s purpose since it was resuscitated in 2017 after a decade-long hiatus.
At Home's Fair Value: A DCF Model Approach
At Home (HOME) launched its initial public offering back in 2016 but quickly faded from investor’s radar, falling nearly 33% from its IPO price of $15. The company announced its ambitious plans to grow its store count to 600 and expand into many new markets along the way. If you had purchased At Home at its November 2016 lows, you would have realized a 400% gain in your investment.
New Catalysts Will Propel Turtle Beach Higher
Editor's note: Seeking Alpha is proud to welcome Andrew O'Neil as a new contributor. It's easy to become a Seeking Alpha contributor and earn money for your best investment ideas. Active contributors also get free access to the SA PRO archive. Click here to find out more » Turtle Beach (HEAR), must not be familiar with Aesop's fable "The Tortoise and the Hare." While the Aesop's turtle was criticized for moving too slow, Turtle Beach has had no such issue.
A US first strike option against North Korea is a very bad idea. Here's why
The prospect of South Korean and North Korean athletes marching together under a “unification” flag at this month’s Pyeongchang signifies a brief respite in tensions rather than being a genuine thawing on the After an initial surge of optimism in response to Pyongyang’s decision to accept Seoul’s offer to march as one Korea, reality has started to bite with the mechanics of implementing the deal.
Why a first strike option on North Korea is a very bad idea
The prospect of South Korean and North Korean athletes marching together under a “unification” flag at this month’s Pyeongchang Winter Olympics signifies a brief respite in tensions rather than being a genuine thawing on the Korean peninsula. After an initial surge of optimism in response to Pyongyang’s decision to accept Seoul’s offer to march as one Korea, reality has started to bite with the mechanics of implementing the deal.
A Rational North Korea Might Still Strike America First
Editor’s Note: This was originally published by The Interpreter, the online magazine of the Lowy Institute for International Policy, an independent, nonpartisan think tank based in Sydney. War on the Rocks is proud to be publishing select articles from The Interpreter. Conventional wisdom tells us that because North Korea’s elites are rational actors, they will conclude that the benefits of employing nuclear weapons will be outweighed by the costs.
North Korea's dangerously rudimentary nuclear command-and-control systems
Conventional wisdom tells us that because North Korea’s elites are rational actors, they will conclude that the benefits of employing nuclear weapons will be outweighed by the costs. Regime extinction is identified as the most compelling cost, and Kim Jong-un’s instinct for self-preservation is said to override all other considerations.
North Korea's Dangeously Rudimentary Nuclear Command-and-Control Systems | RealClearDefense
Conventional wisdom tells us that because North Korea’s elites are rational actors, they will conclude that the benefits of employing nuclear weapons will be outweighed by the costs. Regime extinction is identified as the most compelling cost, and Kim Jong-un’s instinct for self-preservation is said to override all other considerations.
The Trump Presidency
Last week Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau completed his first official visit with President Donald Trump in Washington D.C. Trudeau and his staff were no doubt aware that it’s usually the other way around: since the early 1980s, there's been an unofficial tradition that the first
Andrew B. O'Neil - TheDerrick.com: Obituaries
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Show us the money: Big gap between defence spending rhetoric and reality
In an ideal world, strategic guidance determines force acquisition decisions, which are in turn made according to budget priorities. Ministers and ADF chiefs repeat this construct as each successive Defence White Paper is released and analysts ritualistically parse the document for evidence of slippage between guidance, procurement choices and budget realities. It's therefore comforting to note that, in this respect, DWP2016 presents no departure in form.
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