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Articles by Sinem Adar
Diasporapolitik im Zeitalter der Autokratisierung
Eine konzeptionelle Annäherung an Diasporapolitik Sinem Adar/Isabelle Werenfels Während politische Akteure in Deutschland sich erst in jüngerer Zeit eingehender mit dem Thema Diaspora beschäftigen, findet sich in der wissenschaftlichen Literatur seit bald drei Jahrzehnten eine wachsende Zahl von Studien dazu. Dabei lag der Schwerpunkt anfänglich vorwiegend auf Diasporagruppen als Akteuren.
Sinem Adar on Turkey’s role in a fracturing Western alliance
Turkey Book Talk #274 – Sinem Adar, head of the Centre for Applied Turkey Studies at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, returns to the podcast. The conversation takes stock of Turkey’s international profile and domestic political trajectory after its recent hosting of the NATO summit in Ankara. Download the episode or listen below: Read a transcript of the interview on Substack.
Targeting the Opposition: Türkiye’s Democracy at a Crossroads
The MED This Week newsletter provides informed insights on the most significant developments in the MENA region, bringing together unique opinions and reliable foresight on future scenarios. Today, we shed light on the implications of Türkiye’s CHP crisis for Turkish politics and democracy. Latest developments in Turkish politics cast new shadows on the state of democracy and its implications for the future of a key regional actor.
CHP-Urteil: mehr als ein Angriff auf die türkische Opposition
Das Urteil gegen die CHP ist mehr als ein weiterer Angriff auf die türkische Opposition. Es markiert einen politischen Systemwechsel: Die Türkei bewegt sich weg vom Wettbewerb gesellschaftlicher Kräfte hin zu einem autoritär stabilisierten Elitenarrangement, in dem Opposition nicht mehr besiegt, sondern kontrolliert wird. Genau das zeigt die Entscheidung des Gerichts in Ankara vom 21. Mai 2026.
The next phase of Turkey-PKK peace talks with Sinem Adar
Sinem Adar, an associate at the Center for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS Network) in the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), joined us to discuss the Turkey-PKK peace process. Adar outlined recent steps taken by Kurdish militants to disarm and withdraw from Turkey as members of the parliamentary peace commission consider a meeting with PKK leader Abdullah Öcalan.
Washington und Ankara: Grenzen der Annäherung
Auf den Besuch des türkischen Präsidenten Recep Tayyip Erdoğan im Weißen Haus am 25. September hatte Ankara seit Jahren hingearbeitet. Die Begegnung mit US-Präsident Donald Trump war jedoch eine Mischung aus Schmeichelei und Zynismus. Zwischen wiederholten Komplimenten an die türkische Delegation machte Trump abfällige Bemerkungen über Wahlmanipulationen und drängte Erdoğan zum Verzicht auf russisches Gas und Öl. Nach der zweistündigen Arbeitssitzung fand keine Pressekonferenz statt.
"Das sind politische Prozesse"
Seit Monaten erhöht der türkische Staatspräsident Recep Tayyip Erdoğan den Druck auf die Opposition im Land. Eine Gerichtsverhandlung gegen die Oppositionspartei CHP am Montag könnte das Ende des politischen Wettbewerbs im Land bedeuten, sagt die Politikwissenschaftlerin Sinem Adar im Interview über die Lage in der Türkei. Adar ist wissenschaftliche Mitarbeiterin am Zentrum für angewandte Türkeistudien der Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP).
Alignment of Necessity
The current Trump administration’s asymmetric stance on the war in Ukraine appears to have created new momentum for enhanced cooperation between Ankara and Brussels. Turkey has attended the meetings of the “coalition of the willing”, led by the United Kingdom and France, and expressed readiness to monitor a potential ceasefire in Ukraine. It has also reportedly signalled a willingness to assume responsibility for the maritime dimension of any multinational deployment.
Will Turkey-PKK Negotiations Lead to Multicultural Authoritarianism?
Middle East and North Africa In a carefully choreographed ceremony on July 11 in Sulaimaniyah, Iraq, 30 members of the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) symbolically burned their weapons. This unprecedented act was a signal of goodwill toward Ankara amid ongoing peace talks that both sides hope will end Turkey’s decade-long Kurdish conflict.
Israel-Iran War: Turkey Eyes the ‘New’ Middle East Warily
When Israel launched its attacks on Iran last month, Turkey, like several other regional actors, swiftly condemned the strikes as a violation of international law.
Podcasts des Landtags Rheinland-Pfalz
Wichtig: Die Nutzung erfolgt auf Grundlage unserer berechtigten Interessen, d.h. Interesse an einer sicheren und effizienten Bereitstellung, Analyse sowie Optimierung unseres Podcastangebotes gem. Art. 6 Abs. 1 lit. f. DSGVO. Podigee verarbeitet IP-Adressen und Geräteinformationen, um Podcast-Downloads/Wiedergaben zu ermöglichen und statistische Daten, wie z.B. Abrufzahlen zu ermitteln.
Festnahme von Ekrem İmamoğlu: „Die Regierung will ihre Gegner spalten“
taz: Frau Adar, wie bewerten Sie die Vorwürfe gegen Ekrem İmamoğlu? Sinem Adar: Gegen ihn laufen zwei separate Ermittlungen: Einerseits wird ihm vorgeworfen, der Anführer einer kriminellen Vereinigung zu sein. Der zweite Fall betrifft Vorwürfe, dass er die PKK und eine ihrer Schwesterorganisationen unterstützt habe. taz: Als wie substanziell sehen Sie diese Vorwürfe? Adar: Ich habe die ganzen Anklagen nicht gelesen.
The Political Transition in Syria: Regional and International Interests
Germany and its EU partners have a strong interest in securing the stabilisation of Syria and ensuring the country ceases to pose threats to its neighbours and Europe. The fall of the Assad regime offers a unique opportunity to achieve those goals. But there is a high risk of failure. Armed conflicts in Syria could reignite, prompting regional and international actors to intervene militarily once again.
Der politische Übergang in Syrien: Regionale und internationale Interessen
Deutschland und seine Partner in der EU haben großes Interesse daran, dass eine Stabilisierung Syriens gelingt und von dem Land nicht länger Bedrohungen für seine Nachbarschaft und für Europa ausgehen. Mit dem Ende des Assad-Regimes bietet sich dazu jetzt die Gelegenheit. Gleichzeitig ist die Gefahr eines Scheiterns hoch.
The Fall of the Assad Regime: Regional and International Power Shifts
Deutsch SWP Comment 2025/C 09, 25.02.2025, 8 Seiten doi:10.18449/2025C09 On 8 December 2024, the Assad regime in Syria was overthrown by a rebel alliance led by Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS). The collapse of the family dictatorship was made possible by shifts in regional and international power dynamics. Key factors included Turkish support for the rebels, the weakening of Iran and Hezbollah owing to Israeli military strikes and Russia’s changing priorities in the context of its war against Ukraine.
Der Fall des Assad-Regimes: Regionale und internationale Machtverschiebungen
Der Fall Assads bedeutet für Russland mehr als nur einen Reputationsschaden. Er unterminiert auch einen – wenn nicht den wichtigsten – Grundpfeiler der russischen Politik gegenüber dem Nahen und Mittleren Osten im letzten Jahrzehnt. Moskau hatte sich nach Ende des Kalten Krieges weitgehend aus der Region zurückgezogen und im Zuge des Irak-Krieges 2003 wie auch des »Arabischen Frühlings« weiter an Gewicht verloren.
Zwischen Versöhnung und Repression: Was hinter Ankaras neuer Politik steckt
Die türkische Innenpolitik durchlebt seit Oktober vergangenen Jahres äußerst unruhige Zeiten. Es begann mit einem Handschlag zwischen Abgeordneten der kurdischen Partei für Emanzipation und Demokratie der Völker (DEM) und Devlet Bahçeli, dem Vorsitzenden der Partei der Nationalistischen Bewegung (MHP) und wichtigen Partner in der regierenden Volksallianz von Präsident Recep Tayyip Erdoğan.
Sinem Adar: Turkey's Syria Challenge
This week on Babel, Jon Alterman speaks with Sinem Adar, a researcher at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs (SWP), where she works at the Centre for Applied Turkey Studies. Together, they discuss Turkey's evolving interests in Syria and their connection to Turkey’s wider foreign policy agenda.
Turkey’s Electoral Map Explained: Actors, Dynamics, and Future Prospects
After nearly five decades, Turkey’s main opposition party, the Republican People’s Party (CHP), secured a decisive victory in March’s local elections, capturing nearly 38 percent of the national vote. Following its successes in 2019, when it secured the Istanbul and Ankara municipalities, this year the CHP expanded into municipalities across the inner Aegean, Black Sea, and Central Anatolia regions.
Growing Public Discontent in Turkey: A Breaking Point for Autocracy?
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Diyanet in Europe
Abstract From Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s (rather unexpectedly announced) suggestion during German chancellor Olaf Scholz’s visit to Istanbul in March 2022 to launch a theology faculty at the German-Turkish University (Phafler 2022) to his row with French President Emmanuel Macron in October 2020 over Islam following the beheading of Samuel Patty (Euractiv). This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access. Notes 1.
Turkey’s Electoral Map Explained: Actors, Dynamics, and Future Prospects
After nearly five decades, Turkey’s main opposition party, the Republican People’s Party (CHP), secured a decisive victory in March’s local elections, capturing nearly 38 percent of the national vote. Following its successes in 2019, when it secured the Istanbul and Ankara municipalities, this year the CHP expanded into municipalities across the inner Aegean, Black Sea, and Central Anatolia regions.
Bürgermeisterwahl in Istanbul: Kann die Opposition erneut gegen Erdogans AKP gewinnen?
© AFP/YASIN AKGUL/Bearbeitung Tagesspiegel Das Duell um Istanbuls Bürgermeisteramt ist auch eine Abstimmung darüber, ob Erdoğan noch mehr Einfluss bekommt. Experten erklären, worum es bei der Wahl am Sonntag geht. Von Rosa Burch Sinem Adar Inci Öykü YenerRoderburg Joseph Sattler Heute, 10:48 Uhr Der türkische Kommunalwahlkampf geht in die entscheidende Runde. Am Sonntag wird über die Vergabe wichtiger Posten abgestimmt.
Turkey in MENA, MENA in Turkey
If Ankara’s diverse and expanding economic engagement contributes to the view that Turkey is an economically powerful actor, so do the growing people-to-people contacts associated with soft-power instruments such as humanitarian aid and cultural diplomacy. Turkey has also become a popular tourist destination for MENA under the visa-free regime introduced during the first decade of the 2000s by Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu.
Neue Erdoğan-Partei Dava: Redet der türkische Präsident bald in Berlin und Brüssel mit?
Eine Gruppe türkischstämmiger Politiker hat in Köln eine Partei gegründet, die der AKP des türkischen Präsidenten Recep Tayyip Erdoğan sehr nahesteht. Die „Demokratische Allianz für Vielfalt und Aufbruch“ (Dava) plant, bereits bei der Europawahl am 9. Juni teilzunehmen. Die Tagesspiegel-App Aktuelle Nachrichten, Hintergründe und Analysen direkt auf Ihr Smartphone. Dazu die digitale Zeitung. Hier gratis herunterladen.
EU-Turkey Relations: Between Cooperation and Conflict - Institute for Turkish Studies
Sinem Adar Associate at the Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP) Centre for Applied Turkey Studies (CATS). Klicka här för sammanfattning på svenska Download PDF version SUITS Policy Brief 2024 1 Adar Eu Turkey Relations Between Cooperation and Conflict (264 Kb) Summary Almost two decades after the EU and Turkey started accession negotiations, the future of their relations is uncertain. In these twenty years, Turkey’s political system gradually but steadily turned autocratic.
Turkey’s Geostrategy: Opportunism and Dissonance
Turkish foreign policy has undergone a massive transformation during the past two decades under the rule of the Justice and Development Party (AKP). Today, Turkey is diplomatically, economically, and militarily active in its immediate and wider neighborhood. Ankara has a high potential to disrupt thanks to heavy investment in soft- and hard-power instruments.
Sinem Adar on Turkey’s dilemmas amid the Israel-Gaza war
Turkey Book Talk #207 – Sinem Adar, associate at the Centre for Applied Turkey Studies at the German Institute for International and Security Affairs, on Turkey’s response to the Israel-Gaza war. The conversation builds on her recent article for War on the Rocks arguing that the crisis shows the limits of Turkey’s regional influence.
Turkey's Response to the War in Gaza
Hamas’ unexpected and gruesome attack on Oct. 7 and Israel’s disproportionate effort to remove the group from power in Gaza constitute a watershed moment. Both Israeli and Palestinian societies are caught by the trauma of their interconnected histories and the violence of war. The myth of an invincible Israeli military and intelligence is broken.
Erdoğan's Syria Policy: Continuation of the Status Quo? - Foreign Policy Research Institute
Bottom Line Erdoğan’s victory was driven by rhetoric stoking further conflict with Kurdish actors in Turkey and Syria. He is unlikely to back down from this position in the future. Turkey will seek to balance its “forever war” with the PKK against desires to repatriate Syrian refugees in potential negotiations with Syria’s Bashar al-Assad. Editor’s Note: FPRI is publishing a collection of essays analyzing Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s victory in the Turkish presidential election in May 2023.
"Wir wissen nicht, wie Doppelstaatler*innen wählen"
MEDIENDIENST: Frau Adar, kam der Wahlsieg von Recep Tayyip Erdoğan und seiner Koalition für Sie überraschend? Sinem Adar: Nicht wirklich. Nach der ersten Wahlrunde haben wir gesehen, dass trotz der massiven wirtschaftlichen und gesellschaftlichen Probleme viele Wähler*innen noch den regierenden Präsidenten unterstützen. Insbesondere für die AKP war das allerdings dennoch das schlechteste Wahlergebnis der letzten 20 Jahre.
Perceptions in Turkey about the War in Ukraine
Recommendations for the EU Notwithstanding, it is likely that in the short term Turkey’s NATO membership and its Association Agreement with the EU will continue to anchor it, geopolitically and economically, to the West – not least because of Turkey’s geographical location. Recent developments allude to this.
Embracing Biden’s Democracy Agenda? Start with Turkey
Ilke Toygür Point of View, 22.06.2021 Research Areas Ilke Toygür As economic woes edge Ankara towards dialogue, the European Union has a long list of geopolitical issues to discuss. Ilke Toygür argues that questions of democracy must not be forgotten. European Union leaders are getting ready to discuss Turkey once again. The timing of the 24–25 June European Council is auspicious, after a week of G7, NATO and EU-US summits.
Turkey, the EU and the Eastern Mediterranean Crisis
The Eastern Mediterranean crisis reflects two overlapping developments. On the one hand, it is a manifestation of Turkey’s increasingly assertive posturing in the international arena. At the same time, it shows the intensity of the geopolitical competition between Turkey and its adversaries, such as Egypt and the UAE. The EU Member States’ different levels and forms of engagement with Turkey obstruct a consensus on how to coherently respond to these developments.
A Nation in Fight with Itself: The Hagia Sophia between Ideas and Elites
Most of the debate about the reasons for the reconversion of the Hagia Sophia into a mosque so far has focused on either tactical motivations or the government’s ideological orientations. Even though the Hagia Sophia decision has clearly been useful for the AKP and the president to regain some of their lost popularity, as the METROPOLL’s July survey demonstrates, electoral logic falls short to explain the timing of the decision. After all, Turkey’s next elections do not happen until 2023.
Turkey and the Unfolding Humanitarian Catastrophe in Idlib
Idlib, Syria on 12/19/2019. © SS Studio Photography / Shutterstock On February 28, Turkey opened its borders with the European Union in the wake of the death of 34 Turkish soldiers in Syria. In response, Greece and Bulgaria stepped their border protections, insisting that they would not admit any Syrian refugees fleeing the civil war. In the meantime, the EU called on Ankara to uphold the 2016 EU-Turkey agreement to curb migration into Europe.
(PDF) Public Perceptions on Turkish Foreign Policy - 2019
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Paradoxes of ‘New Turkey’
“New Turkey” has become since 2014 a popular slogan employed by the Justice and Development Party (AKP) to express its political project of remaking the nation. However, it has been in a political abyss since the parliamentary elections on 7 June 2015, when the People’s Democratic Party (HDP) gained around thirteen percent of the votes, thereby becoming the first pro-Kurdish party to exceed the electoral threshold in the history of Turkey’s parliamentary democracy.
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