Tim O'Reilly
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Founder and CEO, O'Reilly Media. Watching the alpha geeks, sharing their stories, helping the future unfold. Didn't pay for a blue check, cannot make it go away
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Articles by Tim O'Reilly
Writing with AI
A lot of professional writers say they never do it. And for writers who do, the consequences can be serious. Book contracts have been withdrawn. People have lost jobs. I have a contrarian view. I say AI is a medium, like painting, sculpture, photography, music, or language itself. If AI is a medium, it is a field of possibility from which humans can and will summon up and communicate insights, truth, beauty.
Google’s Westinghouse Bet
On August 5, Google announced what appeared to be a corporate version of Nixon’s Saturday night massacre. Demis Hassabis stepped back from day to day operations at DeepMind. Jeff Dean, the founding father of Google engineering, is leaving to start a new lab called Discovery Loop, taking Sanjay Ghemawat, Quoc Le, and Oriol Vinyals with him.
Daily Productive Sharing 190 - Four Predictions About Future By Tim O'Reilly
Understanding four trends that may shape the future of Silicon Valley is also a road map to some of the biggest technology-enabled opportunities of the next decades The best way to predict the future is to invent it the inventions we most urgently need will take us in a very different direction than the consumer internet and social media revolution that is coming to an unsightly end.
20 Years of Make: Triumph of the Makers
Twenty years ago, I wrote a column called “News from the Future” for the first issue of Make: magazine. I based it on the notion from science-fiction writer William Gibson that “The future is here. It’s just not evenly distributed yet.” Makers, hackers, hobbyists, and enthusiasts, I argued, are living in a future that we will all one day catch up to. The list of projects from early issues of Make: did indeed bring momentous news from the future. Drones, anyone? Ubiquitous wireless networking?
AI Isn’t a Superintelligence. It's a Market in Need of Disclosure.
As United States President Donald Trump moves to end quarterly financial reporting, investors should ask what this means for AI risk disclosure. We argue this is an opportunity to make corporate disclosures more detailed and relevant, especially as AI dependencies grow. Two stories about AI risk compete, but only one belongs in corporate filings. The first imagines a runaway superintelligence that escapes human oversight and triggers catastrophe.
To Understand the Risks Posed by AI, Follow the Money - India America Today
Time and again, leading scientists, technologists, and philosophers have made spectacularly terrible guesses about the direction of innovation. Even Einstein was not immune, claiming, “There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable,” just ten years before Enrico Fermi completed construction of the first fission reactor in Chicago. Shortly thereafter, the consensus switched to fears of an imminent nuclear holocaust.
Para entender os riscos apresentados pela IA, siga o dinheiro
Repetidas vezes, os principais cientistas, tecnólogos e filósofos fizeram suposições espetacularmente terríveis sobre a direção da inovação. Até mesmo Einstein não estava imune, afirmando que “não há a menor indicação de que a energia nuclear possa ser obtida”, apenas dez anos antes de Enrico Fermi concluir a construção do primeiro reator de fissão em Chicago. Pouco tempo depois, o consenso mudou para o medo de um holocausto nuclear iminente.
To understand the risks posed by AI, follow the money
Importantly, rents are a pure return to ownership or some degree of monopoly power, rather than a return earned from producing something in a competitive market (such as many producers making and selling cars). For digital platforms, extracting digital rents usually entails degrading the quality of information shown to the user, on the basis of them “owning” access to a mass of customers.
To understand the risks posed by AI, follow the money Original
Time and again, leading scientists, technologists, and philosophers have made spectacularly terrible guesses about the direction of innovation. Even Einstein was not immune, claiming, “There is not the slightest indication that nuclear energy will ever be obtainable,” just ten years before Enrico Fermi completed construction of the first fission reactor in Chicago. Shortly thereafter, the consensus switched to fears of an imminent nuclear holocaust.
Briefing: KKR Taps BlackRock Veteran as Chief Information Officer
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AI Has an Uber Problem
“The economic problem of society…is a problem of the utilization of knowledge which is not given to anyone in its totality.” —Friedrich A. Hayek, “The Use of Knowledge in Society” Silicon Valley venture capitalists and many entrepreneurs espouse libertarian values. In practice, they subscribe to central planning: Rather than competing to win in the marketplace, entrepreneurs compete for funding from the Silicon Valley equivalent of the Central Committee.
AI's copyright problem is fixable
SEBASTOPOL, CALIFORNIA – Generative artificial intelligence stretches current copyright law in unforeseen and uncomfortable ways. The US Copyright Office recently issued guidance stating that the output of image-generating AI isn’t copyrightable unless human creativity went into the prompts that generated it. But that leaves many questions: How much creativity is needed, and is it the same kind of creativity that an artist exercises with a paintbrush?
AI's Copyright Problem Is Fixable
(MENAFN- Jordan Times) By Mike Loukides and Tim O'Reilly SEBASTOPOL, CALIFORNIA - Generative artificial intelligence (AI) stretches current copyright law in unforeseen and uncomfortable ways. The US Copyright Office recently issued guidance stating that the output of image-generating AI isn't copyrightable unless human creativity went into the prompts that generated it.
How to Think About the Future of Technology | by Tim O'Reilly - Project Syndicate
SEBASTOPOL, CALIFORNIA – It is often hard to see the true trajectory of the technology industry because it is hidden by so much financial-industry smoke. For a clear view, one must start with the notion that there are two economies: the operating economy, where people make things or provide services for paying customers; and the betting economy, where people “invest” in things that people might be able to make, and that others might want to buy and sell.
What is Gov 2.0?
What is the open government revolution and why should technologists care about it? Join Tim O'Reilly, O'Reilly Media founder and CEO, for a discussion about improving efficiency and transparency in government, citizen-government collaboration, and government as a platform. There will be an open question and answer session.
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Glad You Love It ! HMU I Got Some New profitable Business Ideas To Share WHATSAPP +44(7309-591338)
Working Backwards by Colin Bryar
Skip to main content Imprint: Pan ‘Essential for any leader in any industry’ – Kim Scott, bestselling author of Radical Candor Working Backwards gives an insider’s account of Amazon’s approach to culture, leadership and best practices from two long-time, top-level Amazon executives. Colin Bryar and Bill Carr joined Amazon in the late 90s, working closely with Jeff Bezos.
Inventing the Future
Inventing the Future by Tim O'Reilly 04/09/2002 The 2002 O'Reilly Emerging Technologies Conference explored how P2P and Web services are coming together in a new Internet operating system. "The future is here. It's just not evenly distributed yet." I recently came across that quote from science-fiction writer William Gibson, and I've been repeating it ever since. So often, signs of the future are all around us, but it isn't until much later that most of the world realizes their significance.
Let’s Open Big Tech’s Financial Black Box
Markets work best when everyone has access to the same information. That’s why the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission requires public companies to file 10-Qs and 10-Ks, and why insider trading rules prohibit trading on the basis of material nonpublic information. Companies are also required (though said requirement is weakly enforced and typically ignored) to report as separate business segments any product line that represents 10% or more of profit or losses, revenue, or assets.
Business perspective: Job opportunities give a second chance, break cycle of poverty
O’Reilly Hospitality Management (OHM) is extremely excited about partnering with the Boys & Girls Clubs of Springfield (BGCS) to launch the Reach Workforce Readiness program at the O’Reilly Unit located at Williams Elementary School. With the Reach Program, BGCS seeks to develop a comprehensive program that addresses and responds to limited access to workforce development opportunities among under-represented and under-resourced communities for both youth and adults.
Why Elon Musk Isn’t Superman
By Tim O’Reilly At one point early this year, Elon Musk briefly became the richest person in the world. After a 750% increase in Tesla’s stock market value added over $180 billion to his fortune, he briefly had a net worth of over $200 billion. It’s now back down to “only” $155 billion. Understanding how our economy produced a result like this—what is good about it and what is dangerous—is crucial to any effort to address the wild inequality that threatens to tear our society apart.
わたしたちの知るシリコンヴァレーの“終わり”の始まり：ティム・オライリー
世間に注目されるイーロン・マスクのような起業家をはじめ、ピーター・ティールやキース・ラボイスといったヴェンチャーキャピタリスト、それにオラクルやヒューレット・パッカード エンタープライズなどの大企業が、こぞってカリフォルニアを離れている。コロナ禍においてヴィデオ会議に使われるアプリ「Zoom」を活用するテック界隈のワーカーたちは、不動産の維持費も安く通勤ラッシュにも無縁なシリコンヴァレー以外の地域に利点を見いだし始めているのだ。 多くの人々にとってリモートワーク（在宅勤務）は、新型コロナウイルスのパンデミックにおける初期の一時的な手段であるはずだった。ところが、現在もこの勤務形態が終わりを迎える気配はない。パンデミックから1年を経たいま、企業が永続的なリモートワーク化に切り替えて事業形態を再考するなかで、ワーカーたちも都市部から離れる傾向が続いている。 これは、わたしたちの知っているシリコンヴァレーの終わりを意味するのだろうか──。わたしはそう考える。だが、シリコンヴァレーという“お祭り騒ぎ”が終わりを告げるかもしれない理由は、才能の流出よりもさらに深いところにある。...
How Much Value Has Amazon Created for the World?
“If you want to be successful in business (in life, actually), you have to create more than you consume. Your goal should be to create value for everyone you interact with. Any business that doesn’t create value for those it touches, even if it appears successful on the surface, isn’t long for this world. It’s on the way out.” So wrote Jeff Bezos in his final letter to shareholders, released last week. It’s a great sentiment, one I heartily agree with and wish that more companies embraced.
How Much Value Has Amazon Created for the World?
In his final letter to shareholders, Jeff Bezos calculated how much his company has benefited stakeholders. Let’s check his math. “If you want to be successful in business (in life, actually), you have to create more than you consume. Your goal should be to create value for everyone you interact with. Any business that doesn’t create value for those it touches, even if it appears successful on the surface, isn’t long for this world.
How Amazon's Customer Obsession Hurts Merchants
Note: This is a republication of an article that I published last week on LinkedIn Pulse exploring the limits of Amazon’s vaunted “customer obsession” when pursued at the expense of suppliers, and contrasting it with the philosophy of Ingram, the book wholesaling platform that gave Amazon its start. A few days later, Jeff Bezos published his 2020 letter to Amazon shareholders, which almost reads like a response to my article.
A Tale of Two Platforms
This is a republication of an article that I published last week on LinkedIn Pulse exploring the limits of Amazon’s vaunted “customer obsession” when pursued at the expense of suppliers, and contrasting it with the philosophy of Ingram, the book wholesaling platform that gave Amazon its start. A few days later, Jeff Bezos published his 2020 letter to Amazon shareholders, which almost reads like a response to my article.
Data Is the New Sand
The metaphors we use are like a map. They can guide us or lead us astray. When British mathematician Clive Humby said “Data is the new oil” back in 2006, he meant that data, like oil, must be refined and transformed to make it into useful products and services. Only then does it become valuable.
Recognizing data points that signal trends for the future of business post-pandemic
Planning for a post-COVID-19 future and creating a robust enterprise strategy require both strategic scenario planning and the ability to recognize what scenario planners call “news from the future” — data points that tell you whether the world is trending in the direction of one or another of your imagined scenarios. As with any scatter plot, data points are all over the map, but when you gather enough of them, you can start to see the trend line emerge.
A robust enterprise strategy: How to manage the post-COVID future
There is a strategic discipline called “scenario planning” that is designed to address the kind of uncertainty we’re facing due to the pandemic. Scenario planning takes for granted that it’s hard for human beings to imagine the future as being radically different from the present. As a result, its practitioners try not to predict what will happen but to stretch the mind to think about what might happen.
AI+1: Shaping Our Integrated Future
As we speak—and browse, and post photos, and move about—artificial intelligence is transforming the fabric of our lives. It is making life easier, better informed, healthier, more convenient. It also threatens to crimp our freedoms, worsen social disparities, and gives inordinate powers to unseen forces.
Machine Money and People Money
A Conversation about Universal Basic Income with John Maynard Keynes and Paul Buchheit At the outset of the Great Depression, John Maynard Keynes penned a remarkable economic prognostication: that despite the ominous storm that was then enfolding the world, mankind was in fact on the brink of solving “the economic problem” — that is, the quest for daily subsistence.
WTF? What’s The Future?
Last Thursday, I had the honor to be one of the warmup acts for President Obama at the White House Frontiers Conference at Carnegie Mellon University in Pittsburgh. Here is the prepared text and slides from the talk I delivered there. As you’ll see if you watch the video, what I ended up saying isn’t exactly what I had written out in advance, but it is reasonably close. (Video is above, slides and text interspersed below, with a link to the actual deck on slideshare at the end.
Meet the Expert: Tim O’Reilly on What's Wrong with Silicon Valley?
live online training icon Live Online training Tim O'Reilly January 22, 2020 9:00am—10:00am PT What you'll learn Instructor Schedule The recent implosion of WeWork and the underperformance of Uber as a public company relative to its inflated pre-IPO expectations are just the tip of the iceberg. Is something wrong with the Silicon Valley funding model and its reliance on venture capital?
Free Speech and Democracy in the Age of Micro-Targeting
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Tidbits from the O'Reilly Radar Executive Briefing at OSCON
by Tim O'Reilly | @timoreilly | +Tim O'Reilly | July 31, 2006 There were a number of detailed blog entries covering some of the sessions from my O’Reilly Radar Executive Briefing at OSCON. I thought I’d point to them for the benefit of those who weren’t there. On ZDNet, Russell Shaw covered Danese Cooper’s interview with Bill Hilf of Microsoft, my conversation with Jim Buckmaster of Craigslist, and my conversation with Ian Wilkes of Second Life. In each case, he captured some good quotes.
Antitrust regulators are using the wrong tools to break up Big Tech
Broken screen (source: Pixabay) This post originally published on Quartz. It’s a nerve-wracking time to be a Big Tech company. Yesterday, a US subcommittee on antitrust grilled representatives from Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Apple in Congress, and presidential candidates have gone so far as to suggest that these behemoths should be broken up.
Antitrust regulators are using the wrong tools to break up Big Tech
It’s a nerve-wracking time to be a Big Tech company. Yesterday, a US subcommittee on antitrust grilled representatives from Amazon, Google, Facebook, and Apple in Congress, and presidential candidates have gone so far as to suggest that these behemoths should be broken up. In the European Union, regulation is already happening: In March, the EU levied its third multibillion-dollar fine against Google for anti-competitive behavior.
In his essay on Income Inequality, Paul Graham credited me for pre-publication feedback.
In his essay on Income Inequality, Paul Graham credited me for pre-publication feedback. Because he didn’t do much with my comments, I thought I’d publish them here. Here’s the email I sent to Paul on reading an early draft of his piece: “I really struggle with your thinking on this. First off, you disallow any thinking about statistical impact and various quantiles of wealth — which, is, by definition, where the problem shows up.
What the Digital Future Holds
March 28, 2019 | MIT Sloan Management Review | Digital Digital technology has profoundly affected the ways that businesses design and produce goods, manage internal communications, and connect with customers. But the next phase of the digital revolution raises a new set of questions about the relationship between technology and the practice of management.
We’ve Got This Whole Unicorn Thing All Wrong!
“Unicorn” is the term du jour in Silicon Valley, used to describe a startup with a valuation of more than a billion dollars. Fortune Magazine started keeping a list of companies with that exalted status. Techcrunch has a constantly updated “Unicorn Leaderboard.” But there’s another kind of unicorn that may be even more important, and that’s the breakthrough, once remarkable, that becomes taken for granted.
Making Facebook a scapegoat is a mistake
Breaking up Facebook won't solve the disinformation or privacy problems. It might well make it harder for Facebook to work on those problems. May 14, 2019 Grid block (source: Pixabay) Chris Hughes, a co-founder of Facebook, recently wrote an opinion piece for the New York Times presenting an argument for breaking up Facebook. I was trying to stay out of this discussion, and Nick Clegg's response pretty much summed up my opinions.
The fundamental problem with Silicon Valley’s favorite growth strategy
Gradual steps (source: Pixabay) This post originally published on Quartz. The pursuit of monopoly has led Silicon Valley astray. Look no further than the race between Lyft and Uber to dominate the online ride-hailing market. Both companies are gearing up for their IPOs in the next few months. Street talk has Lyft shooting for a valuation between $15 and $30 billion dollars, and Uber valued at an astonishing $120 billion dollars.
Top 10 CEO Influencers
Congo, the Democratic Republic of the Macedonia, the former Yugoslav Republic of Will be deciding on a tool in the next month Will be deciding on a tool in the next 3 months Will be deciding on a tool in the next 6 months
Changing contexts and intents
The internet itself is a changing context—we’re right to worry about data flows, but we also have to worry about the context changing even when data doesn’t flow. By Tim O'ReillyMike Loukides March 13, 2019 Montage (source: Pixabay) Every day, someone comes up with a new use for old data. Recently, IBM scraped a million photos from Flickr and turned them into a training data set for an AI project intending to reduce bias in facial recognition.
Future of the firm
Future of the Firm We’re excited that O’Reilly Radar is partnering with Josh Bersin to cover topics like organizational learning, workforce expectations, adapting to digital transformation, and leveraging technology for human resources—all topics related to the future of the firm. Bersin has a long history of providing prescient advice on the human side of what organizations need to tackle the changing technological landscape they face.
Future of the Firm
Josh Bersin Josh Bersin is an analyst, author, educator, and thought leader focusing on the global talent market and the challenges and trends impacting business workforces around the world. He studies the world of work, HR and leadership practices, and the broad talent technology market. He is often cited as one of the leading HR and workplace industry analysts in the world. He founded Bersin & Associates in 2001 to provide research and advisory services focused on corporate learning.
Piracy is progressive taxation, and other thoughts on the evolution of online distribution
A ship in harbor, flying its flags. Ludolf Bakhuizen. (source: Wikimedia Commons) Tim O'Reilly wrote this piece nearly 14 years ago, and much of what he said is still true. We decided to republish it in honor of Day Against DRM. The continuing controversy over online file sharing sparks me to offer a few thoughts as an author and publisher. To be sure, I write and publish neither movies nor music, but books. But I think that some of the lessons of my experience still apply.
Tim O'Reilly Quotes
Tim O'Reilly Quotes IdleHearts / Quotes by Tim O'Reilly Enjoy the best inspirational, motivational, positive, funny and famous quotes by Tim O'Reilly. Use words and picture quotations to push forward and inspire you keep going in life!
The fundamental problem with Silicon Valley’s favorite growth strategy
The pursuit of monopoly has led Silicon Valley astray. Look no further than the race between Lyft and Uber to dominate the online ride-hailing market. Both companies are gearing up for their IPOs in the next few months. Street talk has Lyft shooting for a valuation between $15 and $30 billion dollars, and Uber valued at an astonishing $120 billion dollars.
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