Michael Lynch
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Oz based Londoner.Sports writer The Age+Syd Morn Herald for 26 years.Now freelance.Specialise in soccer, horse racing, motorsport, like rugby and boxing. #COYS
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Articles by Michael Lynch
Forbes JAPAN 公式サイト（フォーブス ジャパン）
数年前、ジョージ・ワシントン大学のロバート・ワイナーが執筆した記事で、石油産業の黎明期にペンシルベニア州で活発に取引されていた原油先物市場について論じていた。当時のトレーダーはティッカーテープ機の周りに群がり、油井の成功や減産のニュースに逐一反応していた。 最近の状況はまさにそれに近いが、人々が反応するのは米国大統領のソーシャルメディア投稿であり、典型的には「強硬なツイートで買い、融和的なツイートで売り」というパターンだ。 海運回復が遅いとされる見方と、3つの理由 今や価格は、ホルムズ海峡を通過するタンカーの航行に関する報告によって変動しやすい。それは、海運が戦前の水準にどれほど早く戻るかを示す指標と受け取られるからである。多くの専門家は回復が遅いと主張する。理由は次の3点だ。 （1）機雷の除去が必要 （2）船会社が（比喩的にいえば）様子見をして踏み込みたがらない可能性 （3）イスラエルとヒズボラが戦闘を続け、イランが「再開」を一時停止する可能性 合意が破綻すれば急騰、維持されれば低迷...
Forbes JAPAN 公式サイト（フォーブス ジャパン）
アラブ首長国連邦（UAE）の石油輸出国機構（OPEC）からの脱退は、同機構に大きな変化をもたらし、原油市場に影響を与えるのだろうか？ 他の加盟国も同様に離脱を決断するか、あるいはUAEの脱退への報復として価格競争が勃発するなど、さまざまな可能性が考えられる。いずれにせよ、OPECの影響力は衰退し、場合によっては消滅する可能性もある。 言うまでもなく、米作家マーク・トウェインがかつて述べたように、OPECの終焉（しゅうえん）に関するうわさは誇張され過ぎている。市場が均衡している時、あるいはまれではあるが、OPECに余剰生産能力がない時は、同機構は長期間にわたって活動を停止するか、無力な存在となる。家にアイスクリームがない時にダイエットがうまくいくのと同じように、加盟国は余剰生産能力がなければ生産割当量を破ることはない。 そして、1986年、1998年、2014年、2020年のように原油価格が暴落した際、OPECは過去の多くの組織と同様に失敗したのだと考える者もいた。しかし、そのたびに同機構は不死鳥のようによみがえり、暴落前の水準よりは低いものの、目標価格に近い水準まで回復してきた。...
Forbes JAPAN 公式サイト（フォーブス ジャパン）
イラン戦争と現在の原油価格急騰により、多くの人々が「良い危機を無駄にするな」という格言を受け入れている。あらゆる評論家、提唱者、企業、業界が、高騰する石油価格と（米国外では）天然ガス価格の問題に対する解決策を持っているかのようだ。その大半は、自分たちや自分たちが支持する目的や技術により多くの資金を求めるものである。これには、太陽光発電や風力発電、バイオ燃料、そして最も顕著なのは電気自動車といった、いつもの候補が含まれる。 基本的な論理は単純だ。石油やガス以外のものが消費されれば、利用者は石油やガスの価格急騰や供給途絶から守られる。したがって、例えば次のような提案がある。 電気自動車を購入することで「気候の安定化に少しでも貢献し、大手石油会社への資金提供を減らし、さらにはイランやベネズエラのような化石燃料依存国での将来の紛争リスクを軽減しながら、実際にお金を節約できる」。Opinion | Now Is the Perfect Time to Buy an Electric Vehicle - The New York Times...
Forbes JAPAN 公式サイト（フォーブス ジャパン）
中東の戦争は、米国のエネルギー自立、とりわけ米国の（純）石油輸入を終わらせるうえでのシェールオイルの役割に大きな注目を集めてきた。世界価格に連動して米国の石油価格が上昇していると人々は不満を述べるが、石油に費やす資金を海外に送るのではなく国内にとどめることには、きわめて大きな利点がある。 この議論の陰に隠れてしまっているのが、シェールガスの役割と、それがエネルギー安全保障にもたらす貢献である。とりわけ、海外の地政学的な動向に左右されないエネルギー源がもたらす経済的な恩恵は重要だ。米国はカナダから天然ガスを一部輸入し、LNGもごく少量輸入している。しかし北米は大陸規模の市場であり、グローバル市場との接点はコストの高い液化を介したものに限られる。価格は国際情勢とは無関係に、国内の需給バランスで決まる。下図が示すとおり、米国の天然ガスの長期価格は、アジアや欧州を長年にわたり大きく下回ってきた。...
Forbes JAPAN 公式サイト（フォーブス ジャパン）
インターネット上では、原油が金価格や株式市場、過去の水準などと比較して過小評価されているという主張が溢れている。一方でトランプ大統領はさらなる価格下落を求めている。原油価格が安いと主張する人々の多くは、市場のファンダメンタルズや基本的なミクロ経済学よりも金融指標に依存する強気派だが、OPECの余剰生産能力の低さやシェールオイル生産の減少の可能性などを指摘する声もある。 原油が安いという主張は、過去の意味のない比較を思い起こさせる。例えば、原油はコカ・コーラやジャック・ダニエルズより安いという指摘だ。これは事実だが、ガソリンの代わりにこれらの飲料を飲んだり、車のエンジンに入れたりはしないだろう。「安い」という概念は見る人の視点によるという示唆があるが、これは単純化しすぎている。...
To sell or not to sell?
Hi, We flipped a home last year for $300.000 and used the money to purchase another home for $296,000 that is way better in all aspects. ( age, layout, location, looks, yard, etc. ) We decided to give Airbnb and VRBO a try. After all of last year we have a 5 star rating, but it was a lot of hands on work. ( cleaners not doing a fantastic job, unauthorized guests and pets in home, Airbnb and VRBO would not try to help us get rid of the with the extra guests and pets.
How to Write Blog Posts that Developers Read
I recently spoke to a developer who tried blogging but gave up because nobody was reading his posts. I checked out his blog, and it was immediately obvious why he didn’t have any readers. The developer had interesting insights, but he made so many mistakes in presenting his ideas that he was driving everyone away. The tragedy was that these errors were easy to fix. Once you learn to recognize them, they feel obvious, but some bloggers make these mistakes for years. I know because I’m one of them.
The Dumb Energy Things People Believe
People believe a lot of dumb things. I mean, really dumb things, including things that are obviously either wrong or irrelevant but that are repeated without being given much thought. One great example is the common remark that because weather is chaotic, a butterfly flapping its wings in the …
Fortune favours the brave as Dion Luciani chases elusive Group 1 win
In the two decades since he began his racing life as a jockey shortly after his 15th birthday, Perth trainer Dion Luciani has never had a Group 1 winner. Plenty of near misses, both as a rider and trainer, have only brought greater determination to strike at the highest level rather than frustration and disappointment.
Why does an extraneous build step make my Zig app 10x faster?
March 19, 2024 11-minute read For the past few months, I’ve been curious about two technologies: the Zig programming language and Ethereum cryptocurrency. To learn more about both, I’ve been using Zig to write a bytecode interpreter for the Ethereum Virtual Machine. Zig is a great language for performance optimization, as it gives you fine-grained control over memory and control flow. To motivate myself, I’ve been benchmarking my Ethereum implementation against the official Go implementation.
Commentary: California Must Invest in Young Men of Color This Budget Season
By Michael Lynch, Special to California Black Media Partners College matters. Obtaining a college degree continues to be the most powerful tool we have to combat poverty. College graduates earn more than $1 million more in their lifetime than individuals with a high school diploma. For low-income youth, it is the most promising path out of poverty. Despite the economic value of a college degree, Black and Brown boys are still the least likely group to attend and graduate from college.
The story behind Okinawa's sacrificial cows, stone lions
The story behind Okinawa's sacrificial cows, stone lions A guidebook for the Village of Ginoza led to the discovery of three ancient stone carvings, located within the district of Sokei and the legend behind annual rituals performed there. The statues were placed in the north, south and west boundaries of the settlement to ward off evil. Known as “Shisa” throughout most of Okinawa, they are referred to as “Ishigantou” in Ginoza.
About the Blu-ray - Quigley Down Under
0 / 10 Rate this item Certificate: 15 Running Time: 120 mins Retail Price: £29.99 Release Date: Content Type: Movie Synopsis: The action-packed adventure western is released for the first time in the UK on Blu-ray in a Limited Collector's Edition Mediabook with DVD, extensive bonus material, 24-page booklet and restored PCM 2.0 soundtrack. American sniper Matthew Quigley (Tom Selleck) is known for his exceptional shooting skills.
So Trump is Really Hitler?
Free Republic Browse · Search News/Activism Topics · Post Article Skip to comments. So Trump is Really Hitler? American Thinker ^ | December 28, 2023 | By Michael Lynch Posted on by Kazan From the end of World War I when Hitler was nearly 30 years old he devoted his life exclusively to seeking power. Donald Trump, on the other hand, graduated from U. Penn at the age of 22, and for the next 40 years or more devoted himself to making money.
Carl Sagan was wrong: ordinary evidence is enough | Sean McMahon
“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence” said Carl Sagan; a dictum which asks us to use the scepticism of Hume to dismiss miracles and false claims. But what counts as extraordinary, and should common sense be our guide to it? An innate scepticism at the heart of science needs to be balanced and we should instead accept that the bizarre and counter-intuitive is what modern science is all about, argues Sean McMahon.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
BookTrib’s Bites: Marvelous Characters and Real-Life Stories
(NewsUSA) - “Tuscan Son” by Robert Berne Called “a tour de force adventure within the modern university that is both a great read and eerily familiar,” a university vice president finds himself thrust into a hellish Panamanian prison, at the mercy of unknown forces. When a university receives a bequest of a village in Tuscany to use as a study-abroad site, Bill, the vice president, has to negotiate terms with the donor’s angry son, who thinks the village belongs to him.
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